GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CUSCO 41%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · THU, 21 MAY · 02:00 LOCAL
CUSCO
4TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L L L
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN
L W L D
· 3RD · 7 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 78' Gu-rum Choi ⚽ 90+4' Aldair Fuentes
GOALS
⚽ 13' Francisco Fydriszewski ⚽ 90+1' Baldomero Perlaza ⚽ 90+7' Alexis Serna
Francisco Fydriszewski
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Francisco Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin · 78 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 10% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.03
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
11
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
9
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Francisco Fydriszewski · assist Yony González
    IND
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Diego Soto · assist Joel Herrera
    CUS
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jose Bolivar · assist Marlon Ruidías
    CUS
  4. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Ortiz
    IND
  5. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gu-rum Choi
    CUS
  6. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Francisco Fydriszewski
    IND
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Cataño · assist Alexis Serna
    IND
  8. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alexis Serna
    IND
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    José Miguel Manzaneda · assist Nicolás Silva
    CUS
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Oswaldo Valenzuela · assist Gabriel Carabajal
    CUS
  11. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    José Zevallos · assist J. D. Ali Gutierrez
    CUS
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Francisco Fydriszewski · assist Hayen Palacios
    IND
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Didier Moreno · assist Baldomero Perlaza
    IND
  14. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gu-rum Choi · assist Iván Colman
    CUS
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Frank Fabra · assist Francisco Chaverra
    IND
  16. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yony González · assist Luis Escorcia
    IND
  17. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Baldomero Perlaza · assist Francisco Chaverra
    IND
  18. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Aldair Fuentes · assist Lucas Colitto
    CUS
  19. 90'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alexis Serna · assist Halam Loboa
    IND
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CUSCO AVG 7.2
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
2.0
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
420.0
PASSES
263.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CUSCO 2 shots
Iván Colman
1/1
Gu-rum Choi
1/1
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 4 shots
Francisco Fydriszewski
1/2
Halam Loboa
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.30 – 2.03
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 78' 90' 13' 90' 90' H 1.30 A 2.03 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 3-4-3
4-1-4-1
3-4-3
28
PEDRO DIA
15
JOSE BOLI
 7.5
37
GU-RUM CH
 7.2
8
ALDAIR FU
21
JOSé ZEVA
16
OSWALDO V
7
JOSé MIGU
 7.2
88
DIEGO SOT
 7.5
10
IVáN COLM
22
LUCAS COL
11
JUAN TéVE
 7.3
25
EDER CHAU
33
DANIEL LO
24
JOSé ORTI
2
LéYSER CH
18
FRANK FAB
6
DIDIER MO
 7.0
16
HALAM LOB
26
ESNEYDER
 7.2
10
DANIEL CA
 7.6
19
FRANCISCO
 7.3
11
YONY GONZ
SUBSTITUTES · CUSCO
6
Alvaro Ampue...
D
2
Carlos Gamar...
D
30
Sergio Quill...
M
17
José Alí Gut...
M
32
Julinho Astu...
D
1
Rodolfo Ande...
G
13
Andy Vidal
G
27
Gabriel Cara...
M
26
Nicolás Silv...
F
77
Joel Herrera
M
24
Marlon Ruidí...
D
14
Carlo Diez
M
COACH: Alejandro Orfila
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN
13
Francisco Ch...
M
14
Baldomero Pe...
M
45
Alan Valdela...
D
28
Andrés Dávil...
F
23
Málcom Palac...
D
88
Juan Viveros
D
5
Luis Escorci...
D
30
Hayen Palaci...
D
1
Salvador Ich...
G
8
Alexis Serna
M
20
John Edwin M...
F
COACH: Juan Botero
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Vejar
—
CUS MANAGER
Alejandro Orfila
head coach
IND MANAGER
Juan Botero
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
CUS WINS
1
DRAWS
0
IND WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
01 May 2026
Independiente Medellin
1 – 0
Cusco
L
CUSCO LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L L
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
CUSCO #4
Lost · already at 1 pts
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN #3
Won · already at 7 pts
Copa Sudamericana
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alexis Serna
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Aldair Fuentes
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Baldomero Perlaza
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yony González
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Frank Fabra
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gu-rum Choi
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Didier Moreno
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Francisco Fydriszewski
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · José Zevallos
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Oswaldo Valenzuela
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · José Miguel Manzaneda
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alexis Serna
    Roughing
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Cataño
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Francisco Fydriszewski
    Tripping
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gu-rum Choi
    Tripping
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Ortiz
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jose Bolivar
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Diego Soto
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Francisco Fydriszewski
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CUSCO WIN
2.39
41.8% implied
↑ best 2.45
DRAW
3.28
30.5% implied
↑ best 3.50
INDEPENDIENTE ME WIN
2.93
34.1% implied
↑ best 3.15

Market favors Cusco. AI projects CUSCO 41%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CUSCO 41% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.36 3.35 2.88 -1.4%
1xBet 2.44 3.34 3.00 +0.0%
888Sport 2.38 3.10 2.88 -1.0%
Bet365 2.40 3.40 2.88 -0.7%
Betano 2.40 3.40 2.95 -0.7%
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.88 -0.7%
BetVictor 2.38 3.50 2.88 -0.6%
Dafabet 2.40 3.25 3.15 -0.7%
Marathonbet 2.38 3.25 2.91 -1.0%
Pinnacle 2.45 3.35 3.01 +0.2%
SBO 2.25 2.90 2.77 -3.4%
Superbet 2.45 3.25 3.00 +0.2%
Unibet 2.33 3.45 2.90 -1.0%
William Hill 2.38 3.10 2.88 -1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.76
2.5 O 1.82 U 1.98
3.5 O 3.01 U 1.36
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 11 bks
NO
2.17 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.77
Away -0.5 1.57
Away -0.75 1.40
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.