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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BOCA JUNIORS 45%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · WED, 20 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
BOCA JUNIORS
3RD · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
CRUZEIRO
W D W L W
· 2ND · 8 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 15' Miguel Merentiel
GOALS
⚽ 54' Fagner
Otávio Costa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Otávio Costa
Cruzeiro · 97 mins
· 18% pass acc
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

27%
BALL POSSESSION %
14%
27
TOTAL SHOTS
7
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
302%
PASS ACCURACY %
267%
12
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Miguel Merentiel · assist Leandro Paredes
    BOC
  2. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fagner
    CRU
  3. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fagner · assist Kaiki
    CRU
  4. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bruno Rodrigues · assist Luis Sinisterra
    CRU
  5. 68'
    Card · Red Card
    Gerson
    CRU
  6. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tomás Belmonte · assist Exequiel Zeballos
    BOC
  7. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ayrton Costa
    BOC
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fagner · assist Kauã Moraes
    CRU
  9. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kaio Jorge · assist Néiser Villarreal
    CRU
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matheus Pereira · assist João Marcelo
    CRU
  11. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Exequiel Zeballos
    BOC
  12. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Milton Giménez · assist Ángel Romero
    BOC
  13. 89'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Miguel Merentiel
    BOC
  14. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Néiser Villarreal
    CRU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BOCA JUNIORS AVG 7.6
CRUZEIRO AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
27.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
10.0
ON TARGET
3.0
13.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
27.0%
POSSESSION %
14.0%
370.0
PASSES
342.0
302.0%
PASS ACCURACY
267.0%
SET PIECES
12.0
CORNERS
1.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
18.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
15.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
9.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BOCA JUNIORS 13 shots
Tomás Aranda
2/5
Miguel Merentiel
4/4
Leandro Paredes
0/2
Milton Giménez
1/2
CRUZEIRO 1 shots
Fagner
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
12
LEANDRO B
3
LAUTARO B
32
AYRTON CO
2
LAUTARO D
 7.0
27
MALCOM BR
 7.5
36
TOMáS ARA
18
MILTON DE
 8.6
5
LEANDRO P
30
TOMáS BEL
 7.6
16
MIGUEL ME
 7.3
9
MILTON GI
 8.7
81
OTáVIO CO
6
KAIKI
34
JONATHAN
 7.3
15
FABRíCIO
 7.2
23
FAGNER
11
GERSON
 7.2
29
LUCAS ROM
88
CHRISTIAN
 6.9
10
MATHEUS P
9
BRUNO ROD
19
KAIO JORG
SUBSTITUTES · BOCA JUNIORS
21
Ander Herrer...
M
22
Kevin Zenón
M
11
Lucas Janson
F
7
Exequiel Zeb...
F
20
Alan Velasco
M
15
Williams Ala...
M
23
Marcelo Weig...
D
26
Marco Pelleg...
D
4
Nicolás Figa...
D
24
Juan Barinag...
D
13
Javier Garcí...
G
29
Ángel Romero
F
COACH: Claudio Ubeda
SUBSTITUTES · CRUZEIRO
77
Japa
M
70
Kaique Kenji
F
17
Luis Siniste...
F
91
Chico da Cos...
F
7
Marquinhos
F
94
Wanderson
F
16
Lucas Silva
M
2
Kauã Moraes
D
43
João Marcelo
D
25
Lucas Villal...
D
31
Matheus Cunh...
G
22
Néiser Villa...
M
COACH: Jorge Artur
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BOC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Valenzuela
—
BOC MANAGER
Claudio Ubeda
head coach
CRU MANAGER
Jorge Artur
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
BOC WINS
0
DRAWS
1
CRU WINS
50%
50%
2 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
29 Apr 2026
Cruzeiro
1 – 0
Boca Juniors
L
BOCA JUNIORS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W L
CRUZEIRO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
BOCA JUNIORS #3
Lost · already at 7 pts
Copa Sudamericana
CRUZEIRO #2
Lost · already at 8 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Néiser Villarreal
    Delay of game
  • 89'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Miguel Merentiel
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Milton Giménez
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Exequiel Zeballos
    Tripping
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matheus Pereira
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kaio Jorge
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fagner
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ayrton Costa
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tomás Belmonte
  • 68'
    Card · Red Card · Gerson
    Tripping
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bruno Rodrigues
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fagner
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fagner
    Roughing
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Miguel Merentiel
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
BOCA JUNIORS WIN
1.95
51.3% implied
↑ best 2.01
DRAW
3.12
32.1% implied
↑ best 3.40
CRUZEIRO WIN
4.34
23% implied
↑ best 4.65

Market favors Boca Juniors. AI projects BOCA JUNIORS 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOCA JUNIORS 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.93 3.40 3.90 +1.4%
1xBet 1.97 3.18 4.52 +4.9%
888Sport 1.91 2.90 4.33 +3.9%
Bet365 1.95 3.10 4.50 +4.8%
Betano 2.00 3.20 4.65 +5.5%
Betfair 1.91 3.10 4.33 +3.9%
BetVictor 1.95 3.20 4.33 +3.9%
Dafabet 2.01 3.35 4.10 +2.6%
Marathonbet 1.92 3.10 4.40 +4.3%
Pinnacle 1.98 3.16 4.59 +5.2%
SBO 1.96 2.87 3.69 -0.1%
Superbet 1.97 3.10 4.55 +5.0%
Unibet 1.89 3.15 4.60 +5.3%
William Hill 1.91 2.90 4.33 +3.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.50 U 2.52
2.5 O 2.54 U 1.49
3.5 O 5.05 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.18 11 bks
NO
1.61 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.20
Away -0.5 1.85
Away -0.75 1.61
Away -1 1.38
Away -1.25 1.30
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.