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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · THU, 07 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
SANTA FE
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
CORINTHIANS
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAN
1 – 1
COR
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS SANTA FE TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SAN WIN 38%
DRAW 28%
COR WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 66% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 66% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Corinthians quality edge tempered by Santa Fe's home venue; competitive match with slight away lean.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SANTA FE FAVORED
38%
Santa Fe bottomed out (1 pt, 2 GF / 5 GA) but home venue provides psychological lift vs away-heavy record
+20.0%
WHY CORINTHIANS CHALLENGED
34%
Corinthians league-leading 6 GF / 0 GA suggests dominant form, but only 2 matches played (small sample)
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Recent H2H: Corinthians won 2-0 away; Santa Fe facing must-win pressure in Copa Libertadores group stage
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 59'
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.12
38.0%
2.63
+18.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.68
42.0%
2.38
+12.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.51
66.0%
1.52
-0.3%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.37
72.0%
1.39
-1.5%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.11
46.0%
2.17
-2.8%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.49
34.0%
2.94
-15.2%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
62.0%
1.61
-16.5%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.93
28.0%
3.57
-18.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.