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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ROSARIO CENTRAL 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · TUE, 05 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
ROSARIO CENTRAL
1ST · 13 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W W D
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LIBERTAD ASUNCION
L L L L W
· 4TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 43' Ángel Di María (P) ⚽ 57' Ignacio Ovando
GOALS
Rodrigo Morínigo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Rodrigo Morínigo
Libertad Asuncion · 92 mins
· 16% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

102%
BALL POSSESSION %
97%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
12
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
314%
PASS ACCURACY %
285%
5
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Aguilar
    LIB
  2. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustín Sández
    ROS
  3. 35'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Robert Rojas
    LIB
  4. 43'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Ángel Di María · assist Ángel Di María
    ROS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jaminton Campaz · assist Enzo Copetti
    ROS
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Iván Franco · assist Rodrigo Villalba
    LIB
  7. 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ignacio Ovando
    ROS
  8. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gastón Ávila
    ROS
  9. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Federico Carrizo
    LIB
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Agustín Sández · assist Alexis Soto
    ROS
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alejo Véliz · assist Federico Navarro
    ROS
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Sanabria · assist Matías Rojas
    LIB
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Federico Carrizo · assist Amin Molinas
    LIB
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gustavo Aguilar · assist Jorge Recalde
    LIB
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gastón Ávila · assist Carlos Quintana
    ROS
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Enzo Giménez · assist Elías Verón
    ROS
  17. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Iván Ramírez · assist Estiven Villalba
    LIB
  18. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jorge Recalde
    LIB
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ROSARIO CENTRAL AVG 7.3
LIBERTAD ASUNCION AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
7.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
102.0%
POSSESSION %
97.0%
361.0
PASSES
351.0
314.0%
PASS ACCURACY
285.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
6.0
22.0
OFFSIDES
21.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
18.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ROSARIO CENTRAL 6 shots
Alejo Véliz
1/3
Ángel Di María
2/2
Ignacio Ovando
1/1
LIBERTAD ASUNCION 4 shots
Alexis Fretes
1/2
Iván Ramírez
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
23
JEREMíAS
3
AGUSTíN S
13
GASTóN ÁV
 7.3
46
IGNACIO O
 7.5
32
EMANUEL C
20
VICENTE P
 7.3
28
POL FERNá
8
JAMINTON
 7.3
11
ÁNGEL DI
16
ENZO GIMé
 7.3
9
ALEJO VéL
 8.5
12
RODRIGO M
 7.5
14
ALEXIS FR
5
DIEGO VIE
3
ROBERT RO
 7.3
2
IVáN RAMí
 7.0
8
FEDERICO
 6.9
6
ÁLVARO CA
21
LUCAS SAN
18
IVáN FRAN
10
LORENZO M
11
GUSTAVO A
SUBSTITUTES · ROSARIO CENTRAL
31
Federico Nav...
M
35
Lucas Ramos
D
10
Santiago Seg...
M
7
Marcelo Cabr...
F
33
Alexis Soto
D
42
Elías Verón
D
2
Carlos Quint...
D
15
Facundo Mall...
D
47
Luca Raffin
D
1
Jorge Broun
G
22
Enzo Copetti
F
39
Fabricio Ovi...
F
COACH: Jorge Almiron
SUBSTITUTES · LIBERTAD ASUNCION
7
Matías Rojas
M
19
Jorge Recald...
M
22
Hugo Martíne...
M
23
Pedro Villal...
M
27
Amin Molinas
M
35
Elias Diaz
D
34
Estiven Vill...
D
31
Thiago Ferna...
D
4
Néstor Gimén...
D
25
Ángel Gonzál...
G
24
Rodrigo Vill...
D
26
Hernesto Cab...
M
COACH: Francisco Arce
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ROS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LIB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
—
ROS MANAGER
Jorge Almiron
head coach
LIB MANAGER
Francisco Arce
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
ROS WINS
0
DRAWS
1
LIB WINS
66.7%
33.3%
3 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 3
15 Apr 2026
Libertad Asuncion
0 – 1
Rosario Central
W
08 May 2019
Rosario Central
2 – 1
Libertad Asuncion
W
05 Apr 2019
Libertad Asuncion
2 – 0
Rosario Central
L
ROSARIO CENTRAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W D
LIBERTAD ASUNCION LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
ROSARIO CENTRAL #1
Won · already at 13 pts
Playoffs
LIBERTAD ASUNCION #4
Lost · already at 0 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Jorge Recalde
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Iván Ramírez
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Enzo Giménez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gastón Ávila
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gustavo Aguilar
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Federico Carrizo
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Sanabria
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alejo Véliz
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Agustín Sández
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Federico Carrizo
    Foul
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gastón Ávila
    Foul
  • 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ignacio Ovando
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Iván Franco
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jaminton Campaz
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 43'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Ángel Di María
  • 35'
    Card · Yellow Card · Robert Rojas
    Tripping
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustín Sández
    Tripping
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Aguilar
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ROSARIO CENTRAL WIN
1.30
76.9% implied
↑ best 1.35
DRAW
5.10
19.6% implied
↑ best 5.40
LIBERTAD ASUNCIO WIN
9.89
10.1% implied
↑ best 12.00

Market favors Rosario Central. AI projects ROSARIO CENTRAL 62%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ROSARIO CENTRAL 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.31 4.90 9.75 +5.7%
1xBet 1.31 5.28 10.90 +6.8%
888Sport 1.30 4.80 9.50 +5.5%
Bet365 1.33 5.25 8.50 +4.2%
Betano 1.35 5.40 10.00 +6.0%
Betfair 1.25 5.00 10.50 +6.5%
BetVictor 1.30 5.25 10.50 +6.5%
Dafabet 1.34 5.40 9.60 +5.6%
Marathonbet 1.28 5.05 10.50 +6.5%
Pinnacle 1.32 5.40 9.64 +5.6%
SBO 1.29 4.63 7.62 +2.9%
Unibet 1.27 5.20 12.00 +7.7%
William Hill 1.30 4.80 9.50 +5.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.78
2.5 O 1.78 U 2.01
3.5 O 2.93 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.21 10 bks
NO
1.59 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.12
Away -0.5 3.23
Away -0.75 3.03
Away -1 2.56
Away -1.25 2.14
Away -1.5 1.86
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.