GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · PLATENSE 38%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · THU, 07 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
PLATENSE
2ND · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
PENAROL
D L L
· 4TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 39' Agustín Lagos
GOALS
⚽ 29' Facundo Batista
Agustín Lagos
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Agustín Lagos
Platense · 97 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 27% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

112%
BALL POSSESSION %
112%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
8
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
222%
PASS ACCURACY %
119%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Eric Remedi · assist Diego Laxalt
    PEN
  2. 14'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Ferreira
    PEN
  3. 17'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tomas Nasif · assist Augusto Lotti
    PLA
  4. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Facundo Batista · assist Diego Laxalt
    PEN
  5. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Facundo Batista
    PEN
  6. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauricio Lemos
    PEN
  7. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guido Mainero
    PLA
  8. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Agustín Lagos · assist Franco Zapiola
    PLA
  9. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Franco Zapiola
    PLA
  10. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Maximiliano Olivera
    PEN
  11. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Facundo Batista · assist Gastón Togni
    PEN
  12. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolás Fernández
    PEN
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Leandro Umpierrez · assist Abel Hernández
    PEN
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Franco Zapiola · assist Ivan Gómez
    PLA
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Augusto Lotti · assist Gonzalo Lencina
    PLA
  16. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Guido Mainero · assist Mateo Mendia
    PLA
  17. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nicolás Retamar · assist Juan Gauto
    PLA
  18. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Maximiliano Amarfil · assist Martín Barrios
    PLA
  19. 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card
    Washington Aguerre
    PEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PLATENSE AVG 7.0
PENAROL AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
112.0%
POSSESSION %
112.0%
349.0
PASSES
259.0
222.0%
PASS ACCURACY
119.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
16.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
6.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PLATENSE 4 shots
Agustín Lagos
2/2
Franco Zapiola
0/1
Ignacio Vazquez
1/1
PENAROL 1 shots
Facundo Batista
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
20
MATíAS BO
3
TOMáS ARI
 7.3
31
VíCTOR CU
 6.9
13
IGNACIO V
 7.3
4
AGUSTíN L
26
PABLO FER
15
MAXIMILIA
 7.0
10
FRANCO ZA
43
NICOLáS R
7
GUIDO MAI
9
TOMAS NAS
29
WASHINGTO
2
FRANCO ES
3
MAURICIO
 7.2
6
LUCAS FER
15
MAXIMILIA
 6.9
21
JESúS TRI
5
ERIC REME
8
NICOLáS F
 7.0
32
LEANDRO U
19
MATíAS AR
 7.3
9
FACUNDO B
SUBSTITUTES · PLATENSE
18
Bautista Mer...
F
33
Juan Gauto
F
24
Martín Barri...
M
23
Leonardo Her...
M
5
Ivan Gómez
M
6
Eugenio Ragg...
D
25
Juan Ignacio...
D
32
Santiago Qui...
D
34
Mateo Mendia
D
22
Nicolás Suma...
G
21
Augusto Lott...
F
99
Gonzalo Lenc...
F
COACH: Walter Zunino
SUBSTITUTES · PENAROL
22
Facundo Alve...
D
16
Tomas Olase
M
30
Stiven Muhle...
M
18
German Barba...
M
27
Lucas Hernán...
D
36
Brian Barboz...
D
14
Kevin Rodríg...
D
25
Matías Gonzá...
D
1
Sebastián Br...
G
23
Gastón Togni
F
93
Diego Laxalt
D
11
Abel Hernánd...
F
COACH: Diego Aguirre
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PLA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Juan Gabriel Benitez, Paraguay
—
PLA MANAGER
Walter Zunino
head coach
PEN MANAGER
Diego Aguirre
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
PLA WINS
0
DRAWS
0
PEN WINS
100%
2 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
17 Apr 2026
Penarol
1 – 2
Platense
W
PLATENSE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L L
PENAROL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
PLATENSE #2
Lost · already at 7 pts
Playoffs
PENAROL #4
Lost · already at 3 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card · Washington Aguerre
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Maximiliano Amarfil
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nicolás Retamar
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Guido Mainero
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Augusto Lotti
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Franco Zapiola
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Leandro Umpierrez
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolás Fernández
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Facundo Batista
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Maximiliano Olivera
    Roughing
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Franco Zapiola
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Agustín Lagos
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Guido Mainero
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauricio Lemos
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Facundo Batista
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Facundo Batista
  • 17'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tomas Nasif
  • 14'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Ferreira
  • 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Eric Remedi
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PLATENSE WIN
2.34
42.7% implied
↑ best 2.42
DRAW
2.77
36.1% implied
↑ best 2.95
PENAROL WIN
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.70

Market favors Platense. AI projects PLATENSE 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PLATENSE 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.36 2.76 3.50 +1.8%
1xBet 2.42 2.81 3.66 +2.4%
888Sport 2.30 2.70 3.50 +1.0%
Bet365 2.35 2.80 3.60 +2.3%
Betano 2.42 2.75 3.65 +1.6%
Betfair 2.30 2.75 3.60 +1.6%
Dafabet 2.40 2.90 3.60 +3.5%
Marathonbet 2.34 2.73 3.60 +1.4%
Pinnacle 2.42 2.81 3.70 +2.4%
SBO 2.30 2.62 3.19 -0.2%
Unibet 2.20 2.95 3.65 +4.1%
William Hill 2.30 2.70 3.50 +1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.69 U 2.16
2.5 O 3.02 U 1.35
3.5 O 6.32 U 1.10
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.36 9 bks
NO
1.53 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.86
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.40
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.