GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BOLíVAR 35%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · WED, 06 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
DEPORTIVO LA GUAIRA
4TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
BOLíVAR
L W D
· 2ND · 5 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 31' José Alí Meza
GOALS
⚽ 90+4' L. Justiniano
C. Lampe
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
C. Lampe
Bolívar · 90 mins
· 19% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

82%
BALL POSSESSION %
83%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
256%
PASS ACCURACY %
280%
6
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    José Alí Meza · assist Jorge Gutiérrez
    DEP
  2. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Justiniano
    BOL
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    I. Gariglio · assist S. Echeverría
    BOL
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Oyola · assist J. García
    BOL
  5. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    X. Arreaga
    BOL
  6. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Juan Castellanos · assist Alexis Rodríguez
    DEP
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Alí Meza · assist Rafael Arace
    DEP
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    C. Melgar · assist L. Chávez
    BOL
  9. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guillermo Ortíz
    DEP
  10. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    L. Paz · assist M. Cauteruccio
    BOL
  11. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Flabian Londoño · assist Anthony Uribe
    DEP
  12. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rommell Ibarra · assist Cesar Da Silva
    DEP
  13. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Carlos Faya · assist Franco Cáceres
    DEP
  14. 90'+1
    Var · Card upgrade
    X. Arreaga
    BOL
  15. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luis Pena
    DEP
  16. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Sagredo
    BOL
  17. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Justiniano
    BOL
  18. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Anthony Uribe
    DEP
  19. 90'+9
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cristopher Varela
    DEP
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DEPORTIVO LA GUAIRA AVG 7.5
BOLíVAR AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
82.0%
POSSESSION %
83.0%
321.0
PASSES
348.0
256.0%
PASS ACCURACY
280.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
7.0
21.0
OFFSIDES
19.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
8.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
RED CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DEPORTIVO LA GUAIRA 7 shots
José Alí Meza
2/2
Flabian Londoño
2/2
Jorge Gutiérrez
0/1
Luis Pena
1/1
Guillermo Ortíz
0/1
BOLíVAR 3 shots
L. Justiniano
1/2
X. Arreaga
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-5-1
4-2-3-1
4-5-1
1
CRISTOPHE
 7.7
7
JOSé ALí
 7.6
36
FLABIAN L
6
CARLOS FA
10
JUAN CAST
13
ROMMELL I
27
JOSé CORR
 7.5
20
JORGE GUT
5
MARTíN GI
 7.2
24
GUILLERMO
 7.3
16
LUIS PENA
 8.2
1
C. LAMPE
77
D. ROMERO
17
P. RODRíG
80
C. MELGAR
 7.2
23
L. JUSTIN
14
R. MATHEU
11
B. OYOLA
 6.9
4
J. SAGRED
27
I. GARIGL
 6.9
3
X. ARREAG
8
L. PAZ
SUBSTITUTES · DEPORTIVO LA GUAIRA
33
Nelson Herná...
D
19
Genderson As...
D
15
Miguel Gonzá...
M
18
Yackson Riva...
F
3
Diego Osío
D
12
Jorge Sánche...
G
14
Cesar Da Sil...
M
32
Franco Cácer...
M
9
Anthony Urib...
F
21
Alexis Rodrí...
F
77
Rafael Arace
F
22
Manuel Sulba...
M
COACH: Hector Bidoglio
SUBSTITUTES · BOLíVAR
33
F. Mena
D
6
E. Vaca
M
20
Carlos Sejas
M
26
E. Saavedra
M
35
E. Rivero
D
2
Jesús Sagred...
D
13
D. Méndez
G
9
M. Cauterucc...
F
18
L. Chávez
M
19
J. García
M
5
S. Echeverrí...
D
7
J. Velásquez
F
COACH: Flavio Robatto
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DEP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Bryan Loayza, Ecuador
—
DEP MANAGER
Hector Bidoglio
head coach
BOL MANAGER
Flavio Robatto
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
DEP WINS
2
DRAWS
0
BOL WINS
100%
1 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
15 Apr 2026
Bolívar
1 – 1
Deportivo La Guaira
D
DEPORTIVO LA GUAIRA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D
BOLíVAR LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
DEPORTIVO LA GUAIRA #4
Lost · already at 3 pts
BOLíVAR #2
Lost · already at 5 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+9
    Card · Yellow Card · Cristopher Varela
    Argument
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Anthony Uribe
    Foul
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Justiniano
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Sagredo
    Argument
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Luis Pena
    Argument
  • 90'+1
    Var · Card upgrade · X. Arreaga
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Carlos Faya
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rommell Ibarra
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Flabian Londoño
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · L. Paz
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Guillermo Ortíz
    Foul
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · C. Melgar
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Alí Meza
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Juan Castellanos
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · X. Arreaga
    Foul
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Oyola
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · I. Gariglio
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Justiniano
    Foul
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · José Alí Meza
31 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 31 BOOKMAKERS
DEPORTIVO LA GUA WIN
3.05
32.8% implied
↑ best 3.42
DRAW
3.02
33.1% implied
↑ best 3.20
BOLíVAR WIN
2.41
41.5% implied
↑ best 2.60

Market favors Bolívar. AI projects BOLíVAR 35%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOLíVAR 35% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.10 2.36 +0.7%
10Bet 3.00 3.05 2.42 -0.3%
1xbet 3.42 3.10 2.29 +3.8%
1xBet 3.13 3.13 2.48 +1.1%
888Sport 3.10 2.90 2.38 +0.7%
888Sport 3.00 2.90 2.38 -0.3%
Bet365 3.25 3.10 2.38 +2.2%
Betano 3.25 3.05 2.40 +2.2%
Betfair 3.00 2.90 2.30 -0.3%
Betfair 2.90 3.00 2.50 -1.3%
BetVictor 3.25 3.10 2.38 +2.2%
bwin 2.95 3.00 2.45 -0.9%
Cashpoint 3.14 3.15 2.33 +1.2%
CloudBet 3.10 3.05 2.35 +0.7%
Coral 2.90 2.90 2.30 -1.5%
Dafabet 3.20 3.10 2.47 +1.8%
Dafabet 3.00 3.10 2.60 -0.3%
Interwetten 3.05 3.00 2.45 +0.2%
Ladbrokes 2.90 2.90 2.30 -1.5%
MansionBet 2.73 3.05 2.60 -0.8%
Marathonbet 3.10 3.04 2.38 +0.7%
Marathonbet 3.04 3.04 2.41 +0.1%
MelBet 3.40 3.09 2.29 +3.6%
Pinnacle 3.26 3.07 2.39 +2.3%
Pinnacle 3.08 3.13 2.47 +0.5%
Sbo 2.80 2.86 2.36 -2.7%
SBO 2.82 2.82 2.36 -2.5%
Unibet 2.85 3.10 2.55 -0.3%
Unibet 2.85 3.20 2.50 +0.8%
William Hill 3.00 2.90 2.38 -0.3%
WilliamHill 3.10 2.90 2.38 +0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.41 U 2.75
2.5 O 2.30 U 1.59
3.5 O 4.30 U 1.19
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.92 16 bks
NO
1.79 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.51
Away -0.5 1.40
Away -0.75 1.25
Away -1 1.17
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.08
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.