GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · JUNIOR 42%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · FRI, 08 MAY · 02:00 LOCAL
JUNIOR
4TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CERRO PORTENO
W D W L L
· 1ST · 10 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 13' Pablo Vegetti
Matías Pérez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Matías Pérez
Cerro Porteno · 97 mins
· 14% pass acc
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

121%
BALL POSSESSION %
79%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
12
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
358%
PASS ACCURACY %
160%
10
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pablo Vegetti
    CER
  2. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alexis Martín Arias
    CER
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Guillermo Paiva · assist Carlos Bacca
    JUN
  4. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Velázquez
    CER
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cesar Bobadilla · assist Rodrigo Gómez
    CER
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alan Soñora · assist Mateo Klimowicz
    CER
  7. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jhonier Guerrero
    JUN
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jhonier Guerrero · assist Edwin Herrera
    JUN
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Teófilo Gutiérrez · assist Kevin Pérez
    JUN
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Fabricio Domínguez · assist Fabrizio Peralta
    CER
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jesús Rivas · assist Yimmi Chará
    JUN
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jonatan Torres · assist Juan Iturbe
    CER
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Joel Canchimbo · assist Bryan Castrillón
    JUN
  14. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jean Carlos Pestaña
    JUN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
JUNIOR AVG 7.1
CERRO PORTENO AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
2.0
ON TARGET
3.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
121.0%
POSSESSION %
79.0%
451.0
PASSES
244.0
358.0%
PASS ACCURACY
160.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
2.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
24.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
JUNIOR 2 shots
Jesús Rivas
1/2
CERRO PORTENO 1 shots
Pablo Vegetti
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
1
MAURO SIL
26
YEISON SU
 7.0
33
LUCAS MON
24
JEAN CARL
34
JHONIER G
 7.2
14
JUAN DAVI
 6.9
22
JESúS RIV
 6.9
29
TEóFILO G
9
GUILLERMO
21
JOEL CANC
10
LUIS MURI
1
ALEXIS MA
35
MARCELO C
 7.5
22
MATíAS Pé
 6.9
23
GUSTAVO V
 7.2
2
FABRICIO
5
JORGE MOR
 7.0
26
PIRIS DA
32
CESAR BOB
27
JONATAN T
 7.2
19
PABLO VEG
7
ALAN SOñO
SUBSTITUTES · JUNIOR
8
Yimmi Chará
M
88
Bryan Castri...
F
20
Jannenson Sa...
M
7
Harold River...
M
80
Fabián Ángel
M
27
Jhon Navia
D
5
Daniel River...
M
30
Jefersson Ma...
G
18
Kevin Pérez
F
3
Edwin Herrer...
D
70
Carlos Bacca
F
77
Cristian Bar...
F
COACH: Alfredo Arias
SUBSTITUTES · CERRO PORTENO
8
Cristhian Pa...
M
16
Fabrizio Per...
M
38
Amín Cristal...
M
11
Juan Iturbe
F
20
Wílder Viera
M
42
Víctor Sánch...
D
18
Rodrigo Melg...
D
14
Lucas Quinta...
D
25
Roberto Fern...
G
40
Mateo Klimow...
M
33
Rodrigo Góme...
D
24
Edgar Raul P...
F
COACH: Jorge Achucarro
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
JUN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Piero Maza, Chile
—
JUN MANAGER
Alfredo Arias
head coach
CER MANAGER
Jorge Achucarro
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
JUN WINS
0
DRAWS
1
CER WINS
100%
0 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
14 Apr 2026
Cerro Porteno
1 – 0
Junior
L
JUNIOR LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L
CERRO PORTENO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
JUNIOR #4
Lost · already at 4 pts
CERRO PORTENO #1
Won · already at 10 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jean Carlos Pestaña
    Roughing
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Joel Canchimbo
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jonatan Torres
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jesús Rivas
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Fabricio Domínguez
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Teófilo Gutiérrez
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jhonier Guerrero
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jhonier Guerrero
    Roughing
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alan Soñora
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cesar Bobadilla
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Velázquez
    Holding
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Guillermo Paiva
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Alexis Martín Arias
    Delay of game
  • 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pablo Vegetti
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
JUNIOR WIN
1.98
50.5% implied
↑ best 2.08
DRAW
3.23
31% implied
↑ best 3.40
CERRO PORTENO WIN
3.97
25.2% implied
↑ best 4.21

Market favors Junior. AI projects JUNIOR 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS JUNIOR 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.35 4.00 +5.0%
1xBet 2.03 3.34 4.01 +5.1%
888Sport 1.95 3.00 3.90 +4.4%
Bet365 2.00 3.40 4.00 +5.0%
Betano 1.98 3.30 4.15 +5.9%
Betfair 1.95 3.25 3.90 +4.4%
BetVictor 2.00 3.20 4.10 +5.6%
Dafabet 2.08 3.35 3.85 +4.0%
Marathonbet 1.97 3.24 3.90 +4.4%
Pinnacle 1.99 3.32 4.21 +6.2%
SBO 1.99 2.95 3.50 +1.4%
Unibet 1.94 3.25 4.20 +6.2%
William Hill 1.95 3.00 3.90 +4.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.71
2.5 O 2.32 U 1.59
3.5 O 4.37 U 1.19
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.02 10 bks
NO
1.72 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.14
Away -0.5 1.84
Away -0.75 1.60
Away -1 1.38
Away -1.25 1.30
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.