GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · DEPORTES TOLIMA 96%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · THU, 07 MAY · 02:00 LOCAL
DEPORTES TOLIMA
2ND · 8 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L D
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
CLUB NACIONAL
W D L W D
· 3RD · 8 PTS · LAST 5
Luis Sandoval
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Sandoval
Deportes Tolima · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 24% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

80%
BALL POSSESSION %
106%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
8
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
378%
PASS ACCURACY %
183%
10
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 6 events
  1. 45'+10
    Card · Argument
    CLU
  2. 46'
    Subst
    CLU
  3. 64'
    Card · Foul
    CLU
  4. 70'
    Subst
    CLU
  5. 70'
    Subst
    CLU
  6. 88'
    Subst
    CLU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DEPORTES TOLIMA AVG 7.7
CLUB NACIONAL AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
9.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
80.0%
POSSESSION %
106.0%
461.0
PASSES
277.0
378.0%
PASS ACCURACY
183.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
3.0
14.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
3.0
FOULS
5.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DEPORTES TOLIMA 6 shots
Luis Sandoval
2/3
Jersson González
1/1
Jherson Mosquera
1/1
Cristian Arrieta
0/1
CLUB NACIONAL 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
1
NETO VOLP
 7.3
17
CRISTIAN
2
ANDERSON
 7.3
3
JAN ÁNGUL
18
KELVIN FL
32
SEBASTIáN
80
BRAYAN RO
28
EDWAR LóP
10
JUAN TORR
 8.3
9
LUIS SAND
24
ADRIáN PA
 8.3
1
LUIS MEJí
21
CAMILO Cá
2
AGUSTíN R
4
SEBASTIáN
13
EMILIANO
6
LUCIANO B
 6.7
20
GONZALO C
 7.0
14
NICOLáS L
30
BALTASAR
9
MAXIMILIA
SUBSTITUTES · DEPORTES TOLIMA
4
Daniel Pedro...
D
30
Shean Barbos...
D
8
Ever Valenci...
F
29
Neifer Sanch...
F
20
Junior Herná...
D
22
Luis Marquin...
G
11
Jader Valenc...
F
15
Juan Pablo N...
M
7
Jersson Gonz...
F
6
Cristian Tru...
M
33
Jherson Mosq...
D
31
Yoimar Moren...
M
COACH: Lucas Gonzalez
SUBSTITUTES · CLUB NACIONAL
18
Pável Núñez
F
8
Mauricio Ver...
M
15
Paolo Calion...
D
32
Tomás Viera
D
77
Nicolás Rodr...
D
25
Ignacio Suár...
G
39
Luciano Gonz...
M
19
Juan De los...
F
27
Tomas Veron...
F
11
Maximiliano...
F
31
Rodrigo Mart...
F
COACH: Jorge Bava
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DEP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Claus
—
DEP MANAGER
Lucas Gonzalez
head coach
CLU MANAGER
Jorge Bava
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
DEP WINS
1
DRAWS
1
CLU WINS
50%
50%
1 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
14 Apr 2026
Club Nacional
3 – 1
Deportes Tolima
L
DEPORTES TOLIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L D
CLUB NACIONAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
DEPORTES TOLIMA #2
Won · already at 8 pts
Playoffs
CLUB NACIONAL #3
Lost · already at 8 pts
Copa Sudamericana
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst
    9th Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst
    3rd Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst
    2nd Substitution
  • 64'
    Card · Foul
    5th Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+10
    Card · Argument
    3rd Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
DEPORTES TOLIMA WIN
2.09
47.8% implied
↑ best 2.19
DRAW
3.10
32.3% implied
↑ best 3.25
CLUB NACIONAL WIN
3.77
26.5% implied
↑ best 4.02

Market favors Deportes Tolima. AI projects DEPORTES TOLIMA 96%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DEPORTES TOLIMA 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.04 3.15 3.80 +47.0%
1xBet 2.12 3.16 3.93 +48.8%
888Sport 2.10 2.90 3.75 +48.4%
Bet365 2.05 3.25 3.90 +47.2%
Betano 2.10 3.10 3.95 +48.4%
Betfair 2.05 3.10 3.75 +47.2%
BetVictor 2.10 3.20 3.75 +48.4%
Dafabet 2.19 3.20 3.65 +50.3%
Marathonbet 2.06 3.08 3.82 +47.5%
Pinnacle 2.11 3.15 4.02 +48.6%
SBO 2.05 2.94 3.31 +47.2%
Unibet 2.10 3.20 3.65 +48.4%
William Hill 2.10 2.90 3.75 +48.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.72
2.5 O 2.34 U 1.58
3.5 O 4.37 U 1.19
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.00 10 bks
NO
1.74 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.05
Away -0.5 1.74
Away -0.75 1.53
Away -1 1.33
Away -1.25 1.26
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.