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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · FRI, 01 MAY · 02:00 LOCAL
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CUSCO
⚽ 87' Francisco Fydriszewski
GOALS
Alexis Serna
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alexis Serna
Independiente Medellin · 90 mins
· 68% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

72%
BALL POSSESSION %
59%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
10
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
466%
PASS ACCURACY %
245%
6
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Cataño · assist Didier Moreno
    IND
  2. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gabriel Carabajal · assist Carlo Diez
    CUS
  3. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Zevallos
    CUS
  4. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Francisco Chaverra
    IND
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Francisco Chaverra · assist John Edwin Montaño
    IND
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Esneyder Mena · assist Hayen Palacios
    IND
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Halam Loboa · assist Baldomero Perlaza
    IND
  8. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pedro Diaz
    CUS
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Miguel Manzaneda · assist Jose Bolivar
    CUS
  10. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hayen Palacios
    IND
  11. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Francisco Fydriszewski · assist John Edwin Montaño
    IND
  12. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Diego Soto · assist Iván Colman
    CUS
  13. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    José Zevallos · assist Juan Tévez
    CUS
  14. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yony González · assist Léyser Chaverra
    IND
  15. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Frank Fabra
    IND
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN AVG 7.6
CUSCO AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
6.0
ON TARGET
1.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
72.0%
POSSESSION %
59.0%
514.0
PASSES
302.0
466.0%
PASS ACCURACY
245.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
1.0
12.0
OFFSIDES
13.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
4.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 2 shots
Halam Loboa
1/1
Daniel Londoño
0/1
CUSCO 2 shots
Oswaldo Valenzuela
0/1
Aldair Fuentes
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-1-1 vs 4-4-1-1
4-4-1-1
4-4-1-1
25
EDER CHAU
18
FRANK FAB
 7.3
33
DANIEL LO
 7.3
24
JOSé ORTI
 7.3
26
ESNEYDER
11
YONY GONZ
 8.5
8
ALEXIS SE
 7.5
16
HALAM LOB
13
FRANCISCO
10
DANIEL CA
19
FRANCISCO
28
PEDRO DIA
21
JOSé ZEVA
 6.9
6
ALVARO AM
 6.9
8
ALDAIR FU
 7.0
24
MARLON RU
 6.9
7
JOSé MIGU
 7.2
16
OSWALDO V
88
DIEGO SOT
26
NICOLáS S
27
GABRIEL C
9
FACUNDO C
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN
23
Málcom Palac...
D
5
Luis Escorci...
D
31
Diego Moreno
M
17
Geronimo Man...
D
1
Salvador Ich...
G
2
Léyser Chave...
D
14
Baldomero Pe...
M
30
Hayen Palaci...
D
20
John Edwin M...
F
6
Didier Moren...
M
28
Andrés Dávil...
F
COACH: Juan Botero
SUBSTITUTES · CUSCO
2
Carlos Gamar...
D
32
Julinho Astu...
D
5
Miguel Aucca
M
17
José Alí Gut...
M
37
Gu-rum Choi
D
13
Andy Vidal
G
11
Juan Tévez
F
10
Iván Colman
M
15
Jose Bolivar
D
14
Carlo Diez
M
77
Joel Herrera
M
COACH: Alejandro Orfila
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Gery Vargas, Bolivia
—
IND MANAGER
Juan Botero
head coach
CUS MANAGER
Alejandro Orfila
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
IND WINS
1
DRAWS
0
CUS WINS
100%
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L
CUSCO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN #3
Won · already at 4 pts
Copa Sudamericana
CUSCO #4
Lost · already at 1 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
D W W
1 Rosario Central 4 3 1 0 +5 10
W W W D
1 Mirassol 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W L W
1 Palmeiras 4 2 2 0 +3 8
W D W D
1 Corinthians 4 3 1 0 +6 10
D W W W
1 U. Catolica 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 4 3 1 0 +5 10
D W W W
1 Deportes Tolima 4 2 1 1 +4 7
W W L D W
2 Independiente del Valle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
L W W D
2 Lanus 4 2 0 2 -3 6
L W W L
2 Cerro Porteno 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W D W L
2 Platense 4 2 1 1 0 7
D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W L W
2 Bolívar 4 1 2 1 +1 5
D W D L
2 Coquimbo Unido 4 2 1 1 0 7
W L W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 3 0 +1 6
D D W D
3 UCV 4 2 0 2 -1 6
W L L W
3 LDU de Quito 4 2 0 2 0 6
L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 4 2 0 2 0 6
L W L W D
3 Penarol 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 4 2 0 2 +2 6
L L W W
3 Deportivo La Guaira 4 0 3 1 -3 3
D L D D
3 Universitario 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L W L D
3 Independiente Medellin 3 1 1 1 -2 4
W L D W D
4 Always Ready 4 1 0 3 0 3
W L L L
4 Junior 4 0 1 3 -4 1
L L L D
4 Santa Fe 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 4 1 0 3 -4 3
W L L L W
4 Fluminense 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Club Nacional 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L L W D
4 Cusco 4 0 1 3 -4 1
D L L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 4 0 0 4 -5 0
L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Frank Fabra
    Roughing
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yony González
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · José Zevallos
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Diego Soto
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Francisco Fydriszewski
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hayen Palacios
    Tripping
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Miguel Manzaneda
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pedro Diaz
    Delay of game
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Halam Loboa
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Esneyder Mena
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Francisco Chaverra
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Francisco Chaverra
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Zevallos
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gabriel Carabajal
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Cataño
32 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 32 BOOKMAKERS
INDEPENDIENTE ME WIN
1.37
73% implied
↑ best 1.44
DRAW
4.71
21.2% implied
↑ best 5.20
CUSCO WIN
7.89
12.7% implied
↑ best 9.00

Market favors Independiente Medellin. AI projects INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.35 4.70 8.70 +16.7%
10Bet 1.35 4.70 8.70 +16.7%
1xbet 1.43 4.82 6.76 +17.3%
1xBet 1.40 4.81 8.35 +17.2%
888Sport 1.33 4.60 8.00 +16.3%
888Sport 1.33 4.60 8.00 +16.3%
Bet365 1.38 4.75 7.50 +16.9%
Betano 1.44 4.75 8.50 +16.9%
Betfair 1.30 4.60 7.50 +16.3%
Betfair 1.33 4.75 8.00 +16.9%
Betsson 1.41 4.45 7.40 +15.5%
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 8.50 +18.0%
bwin 1.38 4.80 7.50 +17.2%
Cashpoint 1.35 4.95 8.18 +17.8%
CloudBet 1.38 4.60 8.40 +16.3%
Coral 1.36 4.40 6.50 +15.3%
Dafabet 1.40 5.00 7.80 +18.0%
Dafabet 1.38 5.20 8.20 +18.8%
Interwetten 1.40 4.90 7.50 +17.6%
Ladbrokes 1.36 4.40 6.50 +15.3%
MansionBet 1.36 4.70 7.50 +16.7%
Marathonbet 1.37 4.65 7.90 +16.5%
Marathonbet 1.36 4.65 8.10 +16.5%
MelBet 1.42 4.77 7.18 +17.0%
Pinnacle 1.40 4.71 8.56 +16.8%
Pinnacle 1.38 4.79 8.97 +17.1%
Sbo 1.34 4.32 6.86 +14.9%
SBO 1.34 4.29 6.76 +14.7%
Unibet 1.33 5.00 9.00 +18.0%
Unibet 1.33 5.00 9.00 +18.0%
William Hill 1.33 4.75 8.00 +16.9%
WilliamHill 1.36 4.40 8.00 +15.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.24
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.16
3.5 O 2.67 U 1.43
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.92 16 bks
NO
1.80 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.78
Away -0.5 2.96
Away -0.75 2.66
Away -1 2.33
Away -1.25 1.95
Away -1.5 1.73
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.