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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · CORINTHIANS 82%
CONF 79 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · FRI, 01 MAY · 00:00 LOCAL
CORINTHIANS
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
PENAROL
⚽ 11' Gustavo Henrique ⚽ 25' Jesse Lingard
GOALS
Gustavo Henrique
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gustavo Henrique
Corinthians · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 85% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

74%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
559%
PASS ACCURACY %
101%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gustavo Henrique · assist Rodrigo Garro
    COR
  2. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jesse Lingard · assist Yuri Alberto
    COR
  3. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gastón Togni · assist Luis Miguel Angulo
    PEN
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    André Luiz · assist Kaio César
    COR
  5. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Facundo Alvez
    PEN
  6. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Leandro Umpierrez · assist Stiven Muhlethaler
    PEN
  7. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Eric Remedi · assist Kevin Rodríguez
    PEN
  8. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jesús Trindade
    PEN
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Breno Bidon · assist André Carrillo
    COR
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rodrigo Garro · assist Zakaria Labyad
    COR
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matías Arezo · assist Abel Hernández
    PEN
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Luis Miguel Angulo · assist Franco González
    PEN
  13. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yuri Alberto · assist Vitinho
    COR
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jesse Lingard · assist Pedro Raul
    COR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CORINTHIANS AVG 7.8
PENAROL AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
5.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
74.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
624.0
PASSES
173.0
559.0%
PASS ACCURACY
101.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
17.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
13.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CORINTHIANS 2 shots
Gustavo Henrique
1/1
Matheuzinho
0/1
PENAROL 3 shots
Nicolás Fernández
1/1
Gastón Togni
0/1
Eric Remedi
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
1
HUGO SOUZ
 7.6
21
MATHEUS B
 8.5
13
GUSTAVO H
3
GABRIEL P
 7.5
2
MATHEUZIN
 7.9
14
RANIELE
49
ANDRé LUI
77
JESSE LIN
8
RODRIGO G
7
BRENO BID
 7.6
9
YURI ALBE
29
WASHINGTO
93
DIEGO LAX
3
MAURICIO
22
FACUNDO A
 6.6
25
MATíAS GO
32
LEANDRO U
21
JESúS TRI
 6.5
5
ERIC REME
 6.9
23
GASTóN TO
19
MATíAS AR
 7.2
8
NICOLáS F
SUBSTITUTES · CORINTHIANS
19
André Carril...
M
52
Zakaria Laby...
F
23
Matheus Pere...
M
11
Vitinho
F
61
Dieguinho
M
29
Allan
M
20
Pedro Milans
D
5
André Ramalh...
D
26
Fabrizio Ang...
D
51
Kauê
G
37
Kaio César
F
18
Pedro Raul
F
COACH: Fernando Diniz
SUBSTITUTES · PENAROL
11
Abel Hernánd...
F
80
Franco Gonzá...
M
30
Stiven Muhle...
M
18
German Barba...
M
27
Lucas Hernán...
D
14
Kevin Rodríg...
D
36
Brian Barboz...
D
1
Sebastián Br...
G
77
Luis Miguel...
F
9
Facundo Bati...
F
COACH: Diego Aguirre
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Cristian Garay, Chile
—
COR MANAGER
Fernando Diniz
head coach
PEN MANAGER
Diego Aguirre
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
COR WINS
0
DRAWS
2
PEN WINS
100%
0 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
CORINTHIANS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W
PENAROL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
CORINTHIANS #1
Won · already at 10 pts
Playoffs
PENAROL #3
Lost · already at 2 pts
Copa Sudamericana
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
D W W
1 Rosario Central 4 3 1 0 +5 10
W W W D
1 Mirassol 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W L W
1 Palmeiras 4 2 2 0 +3 8
W D W D
1 Corinthians 4 3 1 0 +6 10
D W W W
1 U. Catolica 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 4 3 1 0 +5 10
D W W W
1 Deportes Tolima 4 2 1 1 +4 7
W W L D W
2 Independiente del Valle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
L W W D
2 Lanus 4 2 0 2 -3 6
L W W L
2 Cerro Porteno 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W D W L
2 Platense 4 2 1 1 0 7
D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W L W
2 Bolívar 4 1 2 1 +1 5
D W D L
2 Coquimbo Unido 4 2 1 1 0 7
W L W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 3 0 +1 6
D D W D
3 UCV 4 2 0 2 -1 6
W L L W
3 LDU de Quito 4 2 0 2 0 6
L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 4 2 0 2 0 6
L W L W D
3 Penarol 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 4 2 0 2 +2 6
L L W W
3 Deportivo La Guaira 4 0 3 1 -3 3
D L D D
3 Universitario 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L W L D
3 Independiente Medellin 3 1 1 1 -2 4
W L D W D
4 Always Ready 4 1 0 3 0 3
W L L L
4 Junior 4 0 1 3 -4 1
L L L D
4 Santa Fe 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 4 1 0 3 -4 3
W L L L W
4 Fluminense 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Club Nacional 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L L W D
4 Cusco 4 0 1 3 -4 1
D L L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 4 0 0 4 -5 0
L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jesse Lingard
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yuri Alberto
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Luis Miguel Angulo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matías Arezo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rodrigo Garro
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Breno Bidon
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jesús Trindade
    Tripping
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Eric Remedi
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Leandro Umpierrez
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Facundo Alvez
    Roughing
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · André Luiz
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gastón Togni
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jesse Lingard
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gustavo Henrique
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CORINTHIANS WIN
1.61
62.1% implied
↑ best 1.67
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.55
PENAROL WIN
6.68
15% implied
↑ best 7.50

Market favors Corinthians. AI projects CORINTHIANS 82%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CORINTHIANS 82% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.57 3.45 7.00 +18.3%
1xBet 1.66 3.48 6.63 +21.8%
888Sport 1.60 3.40 5.75 +19.5%
Bet365 1.62 3.30 7.50 +20.3%
Betano 1.67 3.45 7.20 +22.1%
Betfair 1.57 3.50 6.50 +18.3%
BetVictor 1.62 3.40 7.00 +20.3%
Dafabet 1.66 3.50 6.60 +21.8%
Marathonbet 1.61 3.38 6.45 +19.9%
Pinnacle 1.64 3.45 7.02 +21.0%
SBO 1.58 3.17 5.70 +18.7%
Unibet 1.57 3.55 7.00 +18.3%
William Hill 1.62 3.20 6.50 +20.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.56 U 2.36
2.5 O 2.74 U 1.43
3.5 O 5.60 U 1.12
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.60 10 bks
NO
1.44 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.90
Away -0.5 2.32
Away -0.75 1.97
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.47
Away -1.5 1.38
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.