GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · U. CATOLICA 93%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · THU, 30 APR · 00:00 LOCAL
BARCELONA SC
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
U. CATOLICA
⚽ 79' Milton Celiz
GOALS
⚽ 17' Fernando Zampedri ⚽ 22' Clemente Montes
Milton Celiz
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Milton Celiz
Barcelona SC · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 28% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.55
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.86
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
9
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fernando Zampedri · assist Clemente Montes
    U.
  2. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Clemente Montes · assist Justo Giani
    U.
  3. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Héctor Villalba
    BAR
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Gómez · assist Jefferson Wila
    BAR
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Matias Lugo · assist Jefferson Intriago
    BAR
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Héctor Villalba · assist Tomás Martínez
    BAR
  7. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Clemente Montes
    U.
  8. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alex Rangel
    BAR
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jhonny Quiñónez · assist Ronald Perlaza
    BAR
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Clemente Montes · assist Agustín Farías
    U.
  11. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fernando Zampedri · assist Martín Gómez
    U.
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Darío Benedetto · assist Miguel Parrales
    BAR
  13. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Eugenio Mena · assist Alfred Canales
    U.
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Fernando Zuqui · assist Gary Medel
    U.
  15. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Milton Celiz · assist Tomás Martínez
    BAR
  16. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Milton Celiz
    BAR
  17. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Justo Giani · assist B. González
    U.
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BARCELONA SC AVG 7.4
U. CATOLICA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
0.9
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
6.0
ON TARGET
6.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
492.0
PASSES
277.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
12.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BARCELONA SC 4 shots
Milton Celiz
2/3
Alex Rangel
0/1
U. CATOLICA 6 shots
Clemente Montes
2/2
Justo Giani
1/2
Fernando Zampedri
1/1
Juan Ignacio Díaz
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.55 – 0.86
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 79' 17' 22' H 0.55 A 0.86 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
1
JOSé CONT
4
GUSTAVO V
 6.9
14
ALEX RANG
 7.3
33
JAVIER Bá
18
BRYAN CAR
32
MATIAS LU
21
HéCTOR VI
28
JHONNY QU
 8.2
8
MILTON CE
7
J. GóMEZ
9
DARíO BEN
1
VICENTE B
 6.9
3
EUGENIO M
 6.9
26
JUAN IGNA
19
BRANCO AM
6
SEBASTIáN
20
JHOJAN VA
 6.9
7
JUSTO GIA
15
CRISTIáN
8
FERNANDO
 8.0
11
CLEMENTE
 7.3
9
FERNANDO
SUBSTITUTES · BARCELONA SC
15
Jonathan Per...
F
26
Byron Castil...
D
44
J. Chalá
D
5
Jean Carlos...
M
27
Willian Varg...
D
22
Jose Gabriel...
G
11
Miguel Parra...
F
25
Ronald Perla...
F
51
Jefferson Wi...
F
35
Jefferson In...
M
23
Tomás Martín...
M
70
Marcos Mejía
F
COACH: Alejandro Farias Acosta Cesar
SUBSTITUTES · U. CATOLICA
28
Bernardo Cer...
D
10
Matías Palav...
M
14
Jimmy Martín...
M
25
Diego Corral
F
27
Darío Melo
G
12
Francisco Va...
G
2
Daniel Gonzá...
D
17
Gary Medel
D
13
Alfred Canal...
M
22
Martín Gómez
M
5
Agustín Farí...
M
18
Juan Francis...
F
COACH: Daniel Garnero
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

U. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. B. Perez
—
BAR MANAGER
Alejandro Farias Acosta Cesar
head coach
U. MANAGER
Daniel Garnero
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
BAR WINS
1
DRAWS
0
U. WINS
100%
BARCELONA SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D W
U. CATOLICA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
BARCELONA SC #4
Lost · already at 3 pts
U. CATOLICA #1
Won · already at 7 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
D W W
1 Rosario Central 4 3 1 0 +5 10
W W W D
1 Mirassol 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W L W
1 Palmeiras 4 2 2 0 +3 8
W D W D
1 Corinthians 4 3 1 0 +6 10
D W W W
1 U. Catolica 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 4 3 1 0 +5 10
D W W W
1 Deportes Tolima 4 2 1 1 +4 7
W W L D W
2 Independiente del Valle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
L W W D
2 Lanus 4 2 0 2 -3 6
L W W L
2 Cerro Porteno 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W D W L
2 Platense 4 2 1 1 0 7
D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W L W
2 Bolívar 4 1 2 1 +1 5
D W D L
2 Coquimbo Unido 4 2 1 1 0 7
W L W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 3 0 +1 6
D D W D
3 UCV 4 2 0 2 -1 6
W L L W
3 LDU de Quito 4 2 0 2 0 6
L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 4 2 0 2 0 6
L W L W D
3 Penarol 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 4 2 0 2 +2 6
L L W W
3 Deportivo La Guaira 4 0 3 1 -3 3
D L D D
3 Universitario 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L W L D
3 Independiente Medellin 3 1 1 1 -2 4
W L D W D
4 Always Ready 4 1 0 3 0 3
W L L L
4 Junior 4 0 1 3 -4 1
L L L D
4 Santa Fe 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 4 1 0 3 -4 3
W L L L W
4 Fluminense 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Club Nacional 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L L W D
4 Cusco 4 0 1 3 -4 1
D L L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 4 0 0 4 -5 0
L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Justo Giani
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Milton Celiz
    Roughing
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Milton Celiz
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Fernando Zuqui
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Eugenio Mena
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Darío Benedetto
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fernando Zampedri
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Clemente Montes
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jhonny Quiñónez
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alex Rangel
    Roughing
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Clemente Montes
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Héctor Villalba
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Matias Lugo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Gómez
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Héctor Villalba
    Tripping
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Clemente Montes
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fernando Zampedri
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
BARCELONA SC WIN
2.15
46.5% implied
↑ best 2.25
DRAW
3.12
32.1% implied
↑ best 3.30
U. CATOLICA WIN
3.48
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.65

Market favors Barcelona SC. AI projects U. CATOLICA 93%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS U. CATOLICA 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.15 3.20 3.45 +64.0%
1xBet 2.19 3.24 3.60 +65.2%
888Sport 2.10 3.10 3.40 +63.6%
Bet365 2.10 3.00 3.40 +63.6%
Betano 2.25 3.00 3.65 +65.6%
Betfair 2.10 3.10 3.50 +64.4%
Dafabet 2.22 3.30 3.50 +64.4%
Marathonbet 2.13 3.15 3.50 +64.4%
Pinnacle 2.18 3.25 3.65 +65.6%
SBO 2.12 2.94 3.13 +61.1%
Unibet 2.15 3.20 3.55 +64.8%
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.40 +63.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.38 U 2.91
2.5 O 2.23 U 1.65
3.5 O 4.01 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 9 bks
NO
1.82 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.97
Away -0.5 1.70
Away -0.75 1.49
Away -1 1.30
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.