GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · INCHEON UNITED 93% · Value: BTTS Yes 88%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
K League 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · TUE, 21 JUL · 10:30 LOCAL
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC
4TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L D L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
INCHEON UNITED
D W L L W
· 5TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 42' Dong-gyeong Lee
GOALS
⚽ 40' Morgan Ferrier ⚽ 90+3' Stefan Mugoša (P)
Stefan Mugoša
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Stefan Mugoša
Incheon United · 2 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 0% pass acc
RATING
7.8
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
14
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
2
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Morgan Ferrier · assist Seong-min Kim
    INC
  2. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dong-gyeong Lee · assist Erick Farias
    ULS
  3. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Trojak · assist Kyu-seong Lee
    ULS
  4. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lee Jin-hyun · assist Lee Hui-Gyun
    ULS
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Erick Farias · assist Yago Cariello
    ULS
  6. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Myung Joo Lee
    INC
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Seong-min Kim · assist Dong-ryul Lee
    INC
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Darijan Bojanić
    ULS
  9. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    ULS
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jang Si-young · assist Kim Young-gwon
    ULS
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Chung-yong Lee · assist Choi Seung-Gu
    INC
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Myung Joo Lee · assist Kim Young-Whan
    INC
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Choi Seung-Gu
    INC
  14. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Choi Seung-Gu
    INC
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Morgan Ferrier · assist Stefan Mugoša
    INC
  16. 90'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Stefan Mugoša
    INC
  17. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stefan Mugoša
    INC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC AVG 6.6
INCHEON UNITED AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
0.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-4-2
3-5-2
4-4-2
21
HYEON-WOO
 6.5
28
JAE-IK LE
15
JUNG SEUN
4
MYEONG-KW
 6.4
33
JANG SI-Y
6
DARIJAN B
66
M. TROJAK
14
LEE JIN-H
96
CHOI SEOK
 6.7
11
ERICK FAR
 7.1
10
DONG-GYEO
1
DONG-HEON
 6.7
17
SEONG-MIN
32
JU-YONG L
 6.6
2
JUAN IBIZ
39
KIM MYUNG
 6.5
72
CHUNG-YON
11
GERSO FER
5
MYUNG JOO
15
JAE-MIN S
 7.0
99
MORGAN FE
SUBSTITUTES · ULSAN HYUNDAI FC
13
Ryu Seong-Mi...
G
91
B. Michel
F
8
Lee Hui-Gyun
M
24
Kyu-seong Le...
M
19
Kim Young-gw...
D
99
Yago Cariell...
F
2
Yoon Jong-Gy...
D
COACH: Hyun-seok Kim
SUBSTITUTES · INCHEON UNITED
20
Park Kyung-S...
D
9
Stefan Mugoš...
F
3
Sang-ki Lee
D
10
Dong-ryul Le...
F
30
Kim Young-Wh...
M
13
Choi Seung-G...
D
8
Iker Undabar...
D
COACH: Jong-hwan Yoon
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ULS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Song Min-Seok
—
ULS MANAGER
Hyun-seok Kim
head coach
INC MANAGER
Jong-hwan Yoon
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
ULS WINS
4
DRAWS
2
INC WINS
40%
40%
20%
13 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 Apr 2026
Incheon United
1 – 2
Ulsan Hyundai FC
W
22 Sep 2024
Incheon United
0 – 0
Ulsan Hyundai FC
D
29 May 2024
Incheon United
1 – 1
Ulsan Hyundai FC
D
17 Mar 2024
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 – 3
Incheon United
D
24 Nov 2023
Incheon United
3 – 1
Ulsan Hyundai FC
L
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L D L
INCHEON UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC #4
Lost · already at 31 pts
Play-offs
INCHEON UNITED #5
Won · already at 28 pts
Play-offs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Seoul 19 13 3 3 +20 42
W W D W W
1 FC Seoul 20 13 3 4 +18 42
L W W D W
2 Jeonbuk Motors 20 9 6 5 +11 33
W D L W L
2 Jeonbuk Motors 20 9 6 5 +11 33
W D L W L
3 Gangwon FC 19 8 8 3 +12 32
D W D W W
3 Gangwon FC 19 8 8 3 +12 32
L D W D W
4 Ulsan Hyundai FC 20 9 4 7 +1 31
W L D L D
4 Ulsan Hyundai FC 19 8 4 7 -1 28
L D L D L
5 Pohang Steelers 20 8 4 8 -1 28
L L L W W
5 Incheon United 20 8 4 8 +4 28
D W W L L
6 FC Anyang 19 6 9 4 +4 27
W D W L W
6 Pohang Steelers 20 8 4 8 -1 28
L L L W W
7 FC Anyang 19 6 9 4 +4 27
W W D W L
7 Incheon United 19 8 3 8 +4 27
W W L L W
8 Jeju United FC 19 6 6 7 -2 24
D W D D L
8 Jeju United FC 20 7 6 7 -1 27
W D W D D
9 Daejeon Citizen 20 4 8 8 0 20
L D D D D
9 Daejeon Citizen 20 4 8 8 0 20
L D D D D
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 20 3 11 6 -7 20
W D L D D
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 20 3 11 6 -7 20
W D L D D
11 Bucheon FC 1995 19 4 7 8 -7 19
L L D D W
11 Bucheon FC 1995 20 4 8 8 -7 20
D L L D D
12 Gwangju FC 19 1 7 11 -33 10
D D L D L
12 Gwangju FC 20 1 7 12 -34 10
L D D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Stefan Mugoša
    Foul
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Stefan Mugoša
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Morgan Ferrier
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Choi Seung-Gu
    Foul
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Choi Seung-Gu
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Myung Joo Lee
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Chung-yong Lee
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jang Si-young
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Foul
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Darijan Bojanić
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Seong-min Kim
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Myung Joo Lee
    Foul
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Erick Farias
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lee Jin-hyun
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Trojak
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dong-gyeong Lee
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Morgan Ferrier
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.28
DRAW
3.22
31.1% implied
↑ best 3.30
INCHEON UNITED WIN
3.27
30.6% implied
↑ best 3.44

Market favors Ulsan Hyundai FC. AI projects INCHEON UNITED 93% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INCHEON UNITED 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.30 3.20 +61.8%
1xBet 2.20 3.22 3.30 +62.7%
Bet365 2.10 3.20 3.25 +62.2%
Betano 2.18 3.25 3.30 +62.7%
Betfair 2.15 3.30 3.25 +62.2%
BetVictor 2.20 3.25 3.20 +61.8%
Dafabet 2.27 3.25 3.40 +63.6%
Marathonbet 2.18 3.22 3.30 +62.7%
Pinnacle 2.28 3.30 3.44 +63.9%
SBO 2.19 3.08 3.04 +60.1%
Superbet 2.20 3.20 3.30 +62.7%
Unibet 2.00 3.20 3.35 +63.1%
William Hill 2.20 3.10 3.20 +61.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.12
2.5 O 2.06 U 1.73
3.5 O 3.62 U 1.25
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.80 10 bks
NO
1.88 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.90
Away -0.5 1.68
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.