K League 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · TUE, 12 MAY · 10:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
INCHEON UNITED
FT
0 1
FULL TIME
POHANG STEELERS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
INC
1 1
POH
most likely scoreline · 14.2% probability
AI PICKS INCHEON UNITED TO WIN 41%
FT 0 – 1
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
INC WIN 41%
DRAW 31%
POH WIN 28%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 72% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 72% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched mid-table sides; Incheon's weak home form and Pohang's solid away record suggest a draw or away upset.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY INCHEON UNITED FAVORED
41%
Incheon's home form LWWLL is poor vs Pohang's away form WDWLL (relative advantage Pohang)
+25.0%
Pohang slightly favored on points (19 vs 18) with better defensive record (10 GA vs 16 GA)
+20.0%
Both teams in same tier — form variance recent but not dominant; draw commonality in league
+15.0%
WHY POHANG STEELERS CHALLENGED
28%
Incheon's home form LWWLL is poor vs Pohang's away form WDWLL (relative advantage Pohang)
+25.0%
Pohang slightly favored on points (19 vs 18) with better defensive record (10 GA vs 16 GA)
+20.0%
Both teams in same tier — form variance recent but not dominant; draw commonality in league
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Incheon's home form LWWLL is poor vs Pohang's away form WDWLL (relative advantage Pohang)
  • Pohang slightly favored on points (19 vs 18) with better defensive record (10 GA vs 16 GA)
  • Both teams in same tier — form variance recent but not dominant; draw commonality in league
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.9
6.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
·
1
14.2
13.5
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.5
7.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.2%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.9%
2 — 0 7.5%
Top 5 = 61.6% · rest 38.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.71
41.0%
2.44
+11.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
72.0%
1.39
+2.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.50
39.0%
2.56
-2.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.02
48.0%
2.08
-2.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
69.0%
1.45
-6.4%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.92
31.0%
3.23
-9.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
59.0%
1.69
-16.1%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.74
28.0%
3.57
-23.3%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.