GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 24 MAY · 05:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
MITO HOLLYHOCK
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME
KAWASAKI FRONTALE
⚽ 90+1' Patryck Ferreira
GOALS
⚽ 58' Kyosuke Mochiyama ⚽ 78' Kyosuke Mochiyama ⚽ 85' Kyosuke Mochiyama
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
MIT
1 – 2
KAW
most likely scoreline · 10.3% probability
AI PICKS KAWASAKI FRONTALE TO WIN 40%
FT 1 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
MIT WIN 32%
DRAW 28%
KAW WIN 40%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.59% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Kawasaki slight away favourite despite poor road form; Mito's defensive fragility (GA 36) and recent collapse (LLLDD) tilts it away.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY MITO HOLLYHOCK CHALLENGED
32%
Kawasaki 7pts ahead in standings despite away form being LLLWD — quality gap evident
+25.0%
Mito home form LLDWD mixed; recent 3 losses suggest form deterioration
+20.0%
Mito's -14 goal differential (22 GF / 36 GA) indicates systemic defensive issues
+15.0%
WHY KAWASAKI FRONTALE FAVORED
40%
Kawasaki 7pts ahead in standings despite away form being LLLWD — quality gap evident
+25.0%
Mito home form LLDWD mixed; recent 3 losses suggest form deterioration
+20.0%
Mito's -14 goal differential (22 GF / 36 GA) indicates systemic defensive issues
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Kawasaki 7pts ahead in standings despite away form being LLLWD — quality gap evident
  • Mito home form LLDWD mixed; recent 3 losses suggest form deterioration
  • Mito's -14 goal differential (22 GF / 36 GA) indicates systemic defensive issues
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 58' KYOSUKE MO ⚽ 78' KYOSUKE MO ⚽ 85' KYOSUKE MO ⚽ 91' PATRYCK FE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.3%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.1
10.3
6.9
3.5
1.4
0.5
1
4.8
9.8
10.0
6.7
3.4
1.4
0.5
2
2.3
4.8
4.8
3.3
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.8
1.5
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.3%
0 — 1 10.1%
1 — 2 10.0%
1 — 1 9.8%
0 — 3 6.9%
Top 5 = 47.1% · rest 52.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.05
32.0%
3.13
-2.4%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.60
60.0%
1.67
-4.0%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.34
28.0%
3.57
-6.5%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
72.0%
1.39
-6.7%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.34
68.0%
1.47
-8.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
55.0%
1.82
-9.2%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.24
40.0%
2.50
-10.3%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
48.0%
2.08
-11.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.