GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · KASHIMA 58% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 56 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SAT, 23 MAY · 08:30 LOCAL
KASHIMA
1ST · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W D
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FC TOKYO
D D W L W
· 2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 79' Shu Morooka
GOALS
Shu Morooka
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Shu Morooka
Kashima · 27 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 5% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Kashima vs FC Tokyo
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
17
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
1
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sei Muroya
    FC
  2. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Léo Ceará · assist Shu Morooka
    KAS
  3. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Aleksandar Čavrić · assist Haruki Hayashi
    KAS
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kento Hashimoto · assist Takahiro Ko
    FC
  5. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gaku Shibasaki · assist Kei Chinen
    KAS
  6. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ryotaro Araki · assist Ryuta Koike
    KAS
  7. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ryunosuke Sato · assist Fuki Yamada
    FC
  8. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Keita Endo · assist Kota Tawaratsumida
    FC
  9. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Shu Morooka · assist Kei Chinen
    KAS
  10. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marcelo Ryan · assist Teruhito Nakagawa
    FC
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kein Sato · assist Leon Nozawa
    FC
  12. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Koki Anzai · assist Keisuke Tsukui
    KAS
  13. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yuma Suzuki
    KAS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KASHIMA AVG 7.2
FC TOKYO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
1.0
ON TARGET
3.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
1.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
451.0
PASSES
447.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
6.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KASHIMA 1 shots
Shu Morooka
1/1
FC TOKYO 3 shots
Kento Hashimoto
0/1
Ryunosuke Sato
0/1
Hayato Inamura
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
29
YUJI KAJI
2
KOKI ANZA
 7.2
5
IKUMA SEK
 6.9
55
NAOMICHI
22
KIMITO NO
 7.3
6
KENTO MIS
10
GAKU SHIB
77
ALEKSANDA
71
RYOTARO A
40
YUMA SUZU
9
LéO CEARá
1
HAYATE TA
 6.9
42
KENTO HAS
 6.7
17
HAYATO IN
 7.3
24
ALEXANDER
2
SEI MUROY
22
KEITA END
 6.6
27
KYOTA TOK
18
KENTO HAS
16
KEIN SATO
 6.9
23
RYUNOSUKE
9
MARCELO R
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIMA
13
Kei Chinen
M
27
Yuta Matsumu...
M
14
Yuta Higuchi
M
24
Haruki Hayas...
M
25
Ryuta Koike
D
7
Ryoya Ogawa
D
23
Keisuke Tsuk...
D
21
Taiki Yamada
G
19
Shu Morooka
F
COACH: Toru Oniki
SUBSTITUTES · FC TOKYO
37
Kei Koizumi
M
8
Takahiro Ko
M
28
Leon Nozawa
F
71
Fuki Yamada
M
33
Kota Tawarat...
M
15
Rio Omori
D
3
Masato Moris...
D
31
Masataka Kob...
G
39
Teruhito Nak...
F
COACH: Rikizo Matsuhashi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Hiroyuki Kimura, Japan
—
KAS MANAGER
Toru Oniki
head coach
FC MANAGER
Rikizo Matsuhashi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
KAS WINS
2
DRAWS
3
FC WINS
50%
20%
30%
13 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Feb 2026
FC Tokyo
1 – 1
Kashima
D
10 Aug 2025
FC Tokyo
0 – 1
Kashima
W
01 Mar 2025
Kashima
2 – 0
FC Tokyo
W
20 Jul 2024
Kashima
2 – 1
FC Tokyo
W
07 Apr 2024
FC Tokyo
2 – 0
Kashima
L
KASHIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W D
FC TOKYO LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
KASHIMA #1
Won · already at 45 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
FC TOKYO #2
Lost · already at 37 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yuma Suzuki
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Koki Anzai
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kein Sato
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marcelo Ryan
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Shu Morooka
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Keita Endo
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ryunosuke Sato
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ryotaro Araki
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gaku Shibasaki
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kento Hashimoto
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Aleksandar Čavrić
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Léo Ceará
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sei Muroya
    misses next match
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
KASHIMA WIN
2.45
40.8% implied
↑ best 2.55
DRAW
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.31
FC TOKYO WIN
2.85
35.1% implied
↑ best 3.00

Market favors Kashima. AI projects KASHIMA 58% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS KASHIMA 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 3.20 2.95 +16.3%
1xBet 2.46 3.20 2.87 +17.3%
888Sport 2.45 3.00 2.80 +17.2%
Bet365 2.40 3.30 2.90 +16.3%
Betano 2.45 3.20 2.87 +17.2%
Betfair 2.30 3.10 2.75 +14.5%
BetVictor 2.50 3.25 2.90 +18.0%
Dafabet 2.55 3.25 2.80 +18.8%
Marathonbet 2.44 3.20 2.86 +17.0%
Pinnacle 2.51 3.31 3.00 +18.2%
SBO 2.37 3.01 2.65 +15.8%
Superbet 2.50 3.25 2.95 +18.0%
Unibet 2.50 3.20 2.75 +18.0%
William Hill 2.45 3.00 2.80 +17.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.36 U 2.93
2.5 O 2.16 U 1.67
3.5 O 3.91 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.84 11 bks
NO
1.87 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.71
Away -0.5 1.54
Away -0.75 1.36
Away -1 1.20
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.