GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NAGOYA GRAMPUS 37%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 17 MAY · 06:00 LOCAL
CEREZO OSAKA
3RD · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D D L
FT
6 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 3-1
NAGOYA GRAMPUS
W W W D W
· 2ND · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 12' Shunta Tanaka ⚽ 22' Yumeki Yokoyama ⚽ 39' Yumeki Yokoyama ⚽ 55' Thiago Andrade ⚽ 87' Solomon Sakuragawa ⚽ 89' Solomon Sakuragawa
GOALS
⚽ 42' Yudai Kimura
Yumeki Yokoyama
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yumeki Yokoyama
Cerezo Osaka · 82 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 6% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
12
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Shunta Tanaka · assist Masaya Shibayama
    CER
  2. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yumeki Yokoyama · assist Motohiko Nakajima
    CER
  3. 37'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    NAG
  4. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yumeki Yokoyama
    CER
  5. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yudai Kimura
    NAG
  6. 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Yuki Nogami
    NAG
  7. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hayato Okuda · assist Ayumu Ohata
    CER
  8. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thiago Andrade · assist Nelson Ishiwatari
    CER
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yuya Yamagishi · assist Kensuke Nagai
    NAG
  10. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Takuya Uchida · assist Yota Sato
    NAG
  11. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Thiago Andrade · assist Solomon Sakuragawa
    CER
  12. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ryuji Izumi · assist Masahito Ono
    NAG
  13. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Katsuhiro Nakayama · assist Hidemasa Koda
    NAG
  14. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ayumu Ohata
    CER
  15. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yumeki Yokoyama · assist Shinji Kagawa
    CER
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Masaya Shibayama · assist Satoki Uejo
    CER
  17. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Motohiko Nakajima · assist Shion Homma
    CER
  18. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yuki Nogami · assist Soichiro Mori
    NAG
  19. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Solomon Sakuragawa · assist Shion Homma
    CER
  20. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Solomon Sakuragawa · assist Shion Homma
    CER
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CEREZO OSAKA AVG 8.3
NAGOYA GRAMPUS AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
9.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
314.0
PASSES
475.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
6.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
5.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CEREZO OSAKA 5 shots
Yumeki Yokoyama
2/2
Solomon Sakuragawa
2/2
Shunta Tanaka
1/1
NAGOYA GRAMPUS 5 shots
Yudai Kimura
2/2
Yuya Asano
1/2
Yuya Yamagishi
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
23
KOSUKE NA
16
HAYATO OK
44
SHINNOSUK
4
RIKITO IN
27
DION COOL
 8.0
10
SHUNTA TA
18
NELSON IS
 9.3
14
YUMEKI YO
13
MOTOHIKO
 7.9
48
MASAYA SH
11
THIAGO AN
1
DANIEL SC
55
SHUHEI TO
13
HARUYA FU
2
YUKI NOGA
 6.3
27
KATSUHIRO
31
TOMOKI TA
17
TAKUYA UC
 6.7
9
YUYA ASAN
 7.3
22
YUDAI KIM
7
RYUJI IZU
 6.7
11
YUYA YAMA
SUBSTITUTES · CEREZO OSAKA
19
Shion Homma
M
8
Shinji Kagaw...
M
7
Satoki Uejo
M
3
Hayato Tanak...
D
6
Kyohei Nobor...
D
21
Jin Hyeon Ki...
G
9
Solomon Saku...
F
66
Ayumu Ohata
D
5
Hinata Kida
M
COACH: Arthur Papas
SUBSTITUTES · NAGOYA GRAMPUS
30
Shungo Sugiu...
F
44
Soichiro Mor...
D
20
Kennedy Egbu...
D
35
Alexandre Pi...
G
19
Hidemasa Kod...
M
41
Masahito Ono
M
18
Kensuke Naga...
F
3
Yota Sato
D
66
Ryosuke Yama...
M
COACH: Mihailo Petrovic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yusuke Ohashi, Japan
—
CER MANAGER
Arthur Papas
head coach
NAG MANAGER
Mihailo Petrovic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CER WINS
1
DRAWS
6
NAG WINS
30%
10%
60%
11 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Apr 2026
Nagoya Grampus
3 – 0
Cerezo Osaka
L
04 Oct 2025
Nagoya Grampus
2 – 1
Cerezo Osaka
L
08 Mar 2025
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 1
Nagoya Grampus
D
30 Jun 2024
Cerezo Osaka
2 – 1
Nagoya Grampus
W
21 Apr 2024
Nagoya Grampus
2 – 1
Cerezo Osaka
L
CEREZO OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D D L
NAGOYA GRAMPUS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 6–1 · result locked
CEREZO OSAKA #3
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
NAGOYA GRAMPUS #2
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 17 12 0 5 +5 34
L W W W L
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 17 12 0 5 +5 34
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Solomon Sakuragawa
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Solomon Sakuragawa
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yuki Nogami
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Motohiko Nakajima
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Masaya Shibayama
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yumeki Yokoyama
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ayumu Ohata
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Katsuhiro Nakayama
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ryuji Izumi
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Thiago Andrade
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Takuya Uchida
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yuya Yamagishi
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thiago Andrade
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hayato Okuda
  • 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Yuki Nogami
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 1
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yudai Kimura
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yumeki Yokoyama
  • 37'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yumeki Yokoyama
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Shunta Tanaka
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CEREZO OSAKA WIN
2.32
43.1% implied
↑ best 2.39
DRAW
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.60
NAGOYA GRAMPUS WIN
2.85
35.1% implied
↑ best 2.97

Market favors Cerezo Osaka. AI projects NAGOYA GRAMPUS 37%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NAGOYA GRAMPUS 37% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.30 3.45 2.88 +2.3%
1xBet 2.33 3.45 2.87 +2.2%
Bet365 2.35 3.40 2.88 +2.3%
Betano 2.32 3.40 2.87 +2.2%
Betfair 2.20 3.50 2.70 0.0%
BetVictor 2.30 3.60 2.90 +2.5%
Dafabet 2.39 3.50 2.90 +2.5%
Marathonbet 2.31 3.45 2.86 +2.0%
Pinnacle 2.39 3.60 2.97 +3.3%
SBO 2.31 3.09 2.67 -0.5%
Unibet 2.30 3.35 2.88 +2.3%
William Hill 2.30 3.30 2.80 +1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 3.97
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.05
3.5 O 2.74 U 1.40
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 9 bks
NO
2.23 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.79
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.42
Away -1 1.26
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.