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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · FAGIANO OKAYAMA 96%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 17 MAY · 05:00 LOCAL
FAGIANO OKAYAMA
5TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W D W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SHIMIZU S-PULSE
D D W L L
· 7TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' Kosuke Shirai ⚽ 79' Leo Gaucho
GOALS
Kosuke Shirai
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kosuke Shirai
Fagiano Okayama · 85 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 7% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
11
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
58%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kosuke Shirai · assist Werik Popó
    FAG
  2. 40'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Hiroshi Omori
    FAG
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Toshiki Takahashi · assist Kanta Chiba
    SHI
  4. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kengo Kitazume · assist Haruto Hidaka
    SHI
  5. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
    SHI
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Werik Popó · assist Leo Gaucho
    FAG
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Takaya Kimura · assist Lucão
    FAG
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kai Matsuzaki · assist Kazuki Kozuka
    SHI
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ataru Esaka · assist Jun Nishikawa
    FAG
  10. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Leo Gaucho · assist Lucão
    FAG
  11. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yudai Shimamoto · assist Ahmed Ahmedov
    SHI
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Towa Yamane · assist Haruka Motoyama
    FAG
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kosuke Shirai · assist Noah Kenshin Browne
    FAG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FAGIANO OKAYAMA AVG 7.6
SHIMIZU S-PULSE AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
2.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
272.0
PASSES
409.0
58.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
7.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FAGIANO OKAYAMA 1 shots
Kosuke Shirai
1/1
SHIMIZU S-PULSE 3 shots
Oh Se-Hun
2/2
Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-3
3-4-2-1
4-3-3
7.3
52
TARO HAMA
 7.3
43
YOSHITAKE
48
YUGO TATS
 7.7
6
HIROSHI O
88
TOWA YAMA
 7.3
5
KOSEI OGU
41
EIJI MIYA
 8.3
51
KOSUKE SH
8
ATARU ESA
27
TAKAYA KI
98
WERIK POP
 6.6
1
YUYA OKI
 6.9
25
MATEUS BR
15
YUKI HOND
 7.2
51
JELANI RE
5
KENGO KIT
 7.2
47
YUDAI SHI
10
MATHEUS B
6
ZENTO UNO
21
KAI MATSU
 6.9
9
OH SE-HUN
38
TOSHIKI T
SUBSTITUTES · FAGIANO OKAYAMA
66
Jun Nishikaw...
M
26
Haruka Motoy...
D
45
Noah Kenshin...
M
28
Masaya Matsu...
M
4
Kaito Abe
D
1
Lennart Mose...
G
99
Lucão
F
9
Léo Gaúcho
F
40
Kota Kawano
F
COACH: Takashi Kiyama
SUBSTITUTES · SHIMIZU S-PULSE
29
Ahmed Ahmedo...
F
81
Kazuki Kozuk...
M
17
Masaki Yumib...
M
4
Sodai Hasuka...
D
28
Yutaka Yoshi...
D
16
Togo Umeda
G
23
Kanta Chiba
F
39
Haruto Hidak...
D
97
Rinsei Ohata
M
COACH: Takayuki Yoshida
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Koichiro Fukushima, Japan
—
FAG MANAGER
Takashi Kiyama
head coach
SHI MANAGER
Takayuki Yoshida
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
FAG WINS
4
DRAWS
4
SHI WINS
11.1%
44.4%
44.4%
8 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.22
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 9
14 Mar 2026
Shimizu S-pulse
1 – 1
Fagiano Okayama
D
06 Dec 2025
Shimizu S-pulse
1 – 2
Fagiano Okayama
W
02 Mar 2025
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 1
Shimizu S-pulse
D
FAGIANO OKAYAMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D W
SHIMIZU S-PULSE LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
FAGIANO OKAYAMA #5
Won · already at 26 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
SHIMIZU S-PULSE #7
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 17 12 0 5 +5 34
L W W W L
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 17 12 0 5 +5 34
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kosuke Shirai
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Towa Yamane
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yudai Shimamoto
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Leo Gaucho
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ataru Esaka
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kai Matsuzaki
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Takaya Kimura
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Werik Popó
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kengo Kitazume
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Toshiki Takahashi
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 40'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Hiroshi Omori
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kosuke Shirai
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
FAGIANO OKAYAMA WIN
2.45
40.8% implied
↑ best 2.55
DRAW
3.08
32.5% implied
↑ best 3.20
SHIMIZU S-PULSE WIN
2.93
34.1% implied
↑ best 3.12

Market favors Fagiano Okayama. AI projects FAGIANO OKAYAMA 96%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FAGIANO OKAYAMA 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 3.10 3.00 +54.3%
1xBet 2.46 3.06 2.99 +55.3%
Bet365 2.45 3.20 2.90 +55.2%
Betano 2.45 3.05 3.00 +55.2%
Betfair 2.38 3.00 2.80 +54.0%
BetVictor 2.45 3.20 3.00 +55.2%
Dafabet 2.49 3.15 3.05 +55.8%
Marathonbet 2.44 3.06 2.98 +55.0%
Pinnacle 2.51 3.17 3.12 +56.2%
SBO 2.45 2.87 2.67 +55.2%
Unibet 2.55 3.15 2.75 +56.8%
William Hill 2.40 3.00 2.90 +54.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.37 U 2.86
2.5 O 2.18 U 1.65
3.5 O 3.92 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 9 bks
NO
1.85 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.73
Away -0.5 1.54
Away -0.75 1.37
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.