GOALSENSE
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J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SAT, 16 MAY · 08:00 LOCAL
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YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
KASHIWA REYSOL
GOALS
⚽ 41' Koya Yuruki
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
YOK
1 – 1
KAS
most likely scoreline · 13.7% probability
AI PICKS KASHIWA REYSOL TO WIN 35%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
YOK WIN 32%
DRAW 33%
KAS WIN 35%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 68% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 68% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 3' with 0-0; heavy substitutions suggest tactical caution. Kashiwa's recent away form (LLDWL) and H2H dominance (3 wins in 5) slightly favours away, but limited data and early-match uncertainty warrant low confidence.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS CHALLENGED
32%
H2H strongly favours Kashiwa (3W-0D-1L in last 5, including 3-0 rout 4 days ago)
+25.0%
Yokohama poor home form (DDLWL) vs Kashiwa weak away form (LLDWL) — marginal edge away
+20.0%
Early-match substitution activity (5 subs by min 67) suggests tactical caution; limited goal threat early
+15.0%
WHY KASHIWA REYSOL FAVORED
35%
H2H strongly favours Kashiwa (3W-0D-1L in last 5, including 3-0 rout 4 days ago)
+25.0%
Yokohama poor home form (DDLWL) vs Kashiwa weak away form (LLDWL) — marginal edge away
+20.0%
Early-match substitution activity (5 subs by min 67) suggests tactical caution; limited goal threat early
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • H2H strongly favours Kashiwa (3W-0D-1L in last 5, including 3-0 rout 4 days ago)
  • Yokohama poor home form (DDLWL) vs Kashiwa weak away form (LLDWL) — marginal edge away
  • Early-match substitution activity (5 subs by min 67) suggests tactical caution; limited goal threat early
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 41' KOYA YURUK
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.7
6.9
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.4
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.6
6.7
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.2
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 13.7%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.4%
0 — 2 6.9%
Top 5 = 61.0% · rest 39.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.29
33.0%
3.03
+8.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
65.0%
1.54
+6.1%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.19
32.0%
3.13
+2.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.72
55.0%
1.82
-5.2%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.95
48.0%
2.08
-6.4%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.32
68.0%
1.47
-10.3%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
67.0%
1.49
-13.0%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.19
35.0%
2.86
-23.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.