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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · MITO HOLLYHOCK 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SAT, 16 MAY · 05:00 LOCAL
MITO HOLLYHOCK
7TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D D L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
TOKYO VERDY
D L L W W
· 4TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 54' Ryosuke Shirai
Koshi Osaki
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Koshi Osaki
Mito Hollyhock · 68 mins
· 32% pass acc
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
8
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ryo Nemoto
    MIT
  2. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryosuke Shirai · assist Yuta Arai
    TOK
  3. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ryo Nemoto · assist Chihiro Kato
    MIT
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Matheus Leiria · assist Yamamota Hayata
    MIT
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Riku Matsuda · assist Kaito Suzuki
    TOK
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ryosuke Shirai · assist Koki Morita
    TOK
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Shimon Teranuma · assist Itsuki Someno
    TOK
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Arata Watanabe · assist Koki Ando
    MIT
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Koshi Osaki · assist Patryck Ferreira
    MIT
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Shuto Tanabe · assist Yuan Matsuhashi
    TOK
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kaito Suzuki
    TOK
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Takeshi Ushizawa · assist Tada Keisuke
    MIT
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Shion Nakayama · assist Kosuke Saito
    TOK
  14. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Koki Ando
    MIT
  15. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yuan Matsuhashi
    TOK
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MITO HOLLYHOCK AVG 7.3
TOKYO VERDY AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
1.0
ON TARGET
3.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
471.0
PASSES
296.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MITO HOLLYHOCK 5 shots
Yoshiki Torikai
0/3
Taishi Semba
1/1
Danilo Cardoso
0/1
TOKYO VERDY 1 shots
Ryosuke Shirai
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
34
KONOSUKE
4
TAKESHI U
 7.3
17
KENTA ITA
 7.3
2
DANILO CA
7
SHO OMORI
 7.3
19
TAISHI SE
 7.5
3
KOSHI OSA
70
MATHEUS L
 7.2
11
YOSHIKI T
10
ARATA WAT
9
RYO NEMOT
1
MATHEUS V
 7.3
6
KAZUYA MI
 7.5
5
INOUE RYO
36
RIKU MATS
 7.5
40
YUTA ARAI
16
REI HIRAK
 6.9
24
SHION NAK
35
SHUTO TAN
14
YUYA FUKU
 7.3
27
RYOSUKE S
45
SHIMON TE
SUBSTITUTES · MITO HOLLYHOCK
29
Tada Keisuke
F
82
Kotatsu Kawa...
M
33
Koki Ando
M
8
Chihiro Kato
M
39
Yamamota Hay...
M
24
Kiichi Yamaz...
M
5
Seiya Inoue
D
21
Shuhei Matsu...
G
20
Patryck Ferr...
F
COACH: Daisuke Kimori
SUBSTITUTES · TOKYO VERDY
13
Goki Yamada
F
9
Itsuki Somen...
F
8
Kosuke Saito
M
42
Kento Imai
M
10
Koki Morita
M
7
Yuan Matsuha...
M
15
Kaito Suzuki
D
21
Yuya Nagasaw...
G
30
Gakuto Kawam...
M
COACH: Jofuku Hiroshi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Daichi Shiino, Japan
—
MIT MANAGER
Daisuke Kimori
head coach
TOK MANAGER
Jofuku Hiroshi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
MIT WINS
2
DRAWS
6
TOK WINS
20%
20%
60%
8 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 10
08 Feb 2026
Tokyo Verdy
3 – 1
Mito Hollyhock
L
MITO HOLLYHOCK LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D L
TOKYO VERDY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
MITO HOLLYHOCK #7
Lost · already at 18 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
TOKYO VERDY #4
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
2 Vissel Kobe 16 10 0 6 +4 31
W L W L L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Vissel Kobe 16 10 0 6 +4 31
W L W L L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 16 12 0 4 +6 33
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 16 12 0 4 +6 33
W W W L W
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
9 Kyoto Sanga 16 7 0 9 -3 20
L L L L W
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 Kyoto Sanga 16 7 0 9 -3 20
L L L L W
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Yuan Matsuhashi
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Koki Ando
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Shion Nakayama
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Takeshi Ushizawa
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kaito Suzuki
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Shuto Tanabe
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Koshi Osaki
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Arata Watanabe
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Shimon Teranuma
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ryosuke Shirai
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Riku Matsuda
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Matheus Leiria
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ryo Nemoto
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryosuke Shirai
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ryo Nemoto
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
MITO HOLLYHOCK WIN
2.84
35.2% implied
↑ best 3.06
DRAW
2.90
34.5% implied
↑ best 3.00
TOKYO VERDY WIN
2.66
37.6% implied
↑ best 2.85

Market favors Tokyo Verdy. AI projects MITO HOLLYHOCK 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MITO HOLLYHOCK 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.85 2.90 2.65 +2.9%
1xBet 2.88 2.88 2.65 +3.3%
Bet365 2.90 3.00 2.62 +3.5%
Betano 2.95 2.82 2.67 +4.1%
Betfair 2.63 2.88 2.60 0.0%
BetVictor 2.90 3.00 2.63 +3.5%
Dafabet 2.90 3.00 2.70 +3.5%
Marathonbet 2.88 2.88 2.65 +3.3%
Pinnacle 3.06 2.92 2.75 +5.3%
SBO 2.67 2.80 2.50 +0.5%
Unibet 2.55 3.00 2.85 -1.1%
William Hill 2.90 2.75 2.62 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.53 U 2.38
2.5 O 2.65 U 1.45
3.5 O 5.27 U 1.13
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.12 9 bks
NO
1.64 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.54
Away -0.5 1.40
Away -0.75 1.26
Away -1 1.12
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.