GOALSENSE
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J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · WED, 06 MAY · 06:00 LOCAL
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SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES
VISSEL KOBE
⚽ 42' M. Kato ⚽ 120+1' Kinoshita Kosuke ⚽ 120+2' Akito Suzuki ⚽ 120+3' Higashi Shunki ⚽ 120+4' Ryo Germain ⚽ 120+5' Sasaki Sho
GOALS
⚽ 63' Ren Komatsu ⚽ 120+1' Yuya Osako ⚽ 120+2' Yoshinori Muto ⚽ 120+3' Mitsuki Hidaka ⚽ 120+4' Rikuto Hirose ⚽ 120+5' Ren Komatsu
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAN
1 – 1
VIS
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SAN WIN 28%
DRAW 48%
VIS WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 52% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 52% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at 90' with Kobe substituting late; draw heavily favoured; low-chance second half suggests stalemate holds.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA CHALLENGED
28%
1-1 at 90' (or deep injury time) — draw is natural momentum baseline
+25.0%
Kobe's away form disastrous (LDDDD) despite league-leading position; Hiroshima home form marginal (WWLDL)
+20.0%
Combined xG unavailable but recent subs and yellow cards suggest tactical caution; Over 2.5 unlikely
+15.0%
WHY VISSEL KOBE CHALLENGED
24%
1-1 at 90' (or deep injury time) — draw is natural momentum baseline
+25.0%
Kobe's away form disastrous (LDDDD) despite league-leading position; Hiroshima home form marginal (WWLDL)
+20.0%
Combined xG unavailable but recent subs and yellow cards suggest tactical caution; Over 2.5 unlikely
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-1 at 90' (or deep injury time) — draw is natural momentum baseline
  • Kobe's away form disastrous (LDDDD) despite league-leading position; Hiroshima home form marginal (WWLDL)
  • Combined xG unavailable but recent subs and yellow cards suggest tactical caution; Over 2.5 unlikely
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 42' M. KATO ⚽ 63' REN KOMATS ⚽ 121' KINOSHITA ⚽ 121' YUYA OSAKO ⚽ 122' AKITO SUZU ⚽ 122' YOSHINORI ⚽ 123' MITSUKI HI ⚽ 123' HIGASHI SH ⚽ 124' RYO GERMAI ⚽ 124' RIKUTO HIR ⚽ 125' SASAKI SHO ⚽ 125' REN KOMATS
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 12 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.32
48.0%
2.08
+59.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
72.0%
1.39
+17.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
76.0%
1.32
+1.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.73
58.0%
1.72
+0.1%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.12
24.0%
4.17
-25.2%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.93
35.0%
2.86
-32.3%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
52.0%
1.92
-32.8%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.22
28.0%
3.57
-37.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.