GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · V-VAREN NAGASAKI 92% · Value: Over 2.5 88%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · WED, 06 MAY · 04:03 LOCAL
V-VAREN NAGASAKI
10TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W D L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
FAGIANO OKAYAMA
W W D W D
· 7TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 19' Iwasaki Yuto ⚽ 43' Thiago Santana
GOALS
⚽ 50' Werik Popó
Werik Popó
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Werik Popó
Fagiano Okayama · 62 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 9% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
8
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
62%
PASS ACCURACY %
65%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Iwasaki Yuto · assist Hatano Go
    V-V
  2. 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Iwasaki Yuto · assist Tsubasa Kasayanagi
    V-V
  3. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Noah Kenshin Browne
    FAG
  4. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thiago Santana · assist Riku Yamada
    V-V
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kazunari Ichimi · assist Leo Gaucho
    FAG
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Noah Kenshin Browne · assist Towa Yamane
    FAG
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daichi Tagami · assist Haruka Motoyama
    FAG
  8. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Werik Popó · assist Ataru Esaka
    FAG
  9. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Werik Popó · assist Lucão
    FAG
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Riku Yamada · assist Yamaguchi Hotaru
    V-V
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Masaya Matsumoto · assist Jun Nishikawa
    FAG
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Thiago Santana · assist Yamasaki Ryogo
    V-V
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Eduardo · assist Kushibiki Kazuki
    V-V
  14. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Keita Takahata · assist Yoneda Shunya
    V-V
  15. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Motoki Hasegawa
    V-V
  16. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucão
    FAG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
V-VAREN NAGASAKI AVG 7.2
FAGIANO OKAYAMA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
358.0
PASSES
371.0
62.0%
PASS ACCURACY
65.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
V-VAREN NAGASAKI 3 shots
Thiago Santana
1/1
Iwasaki Yuto
1/1
Hayato Teruyama
1/1
FAGIANO OKAYAMA 5 shots
Werik Popó
2/3
Towa Yamane
1/1
Kazunari Ichimi
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
13
HATANO GO
 7.2
22
ONAGA HIJ
4
EDUARDO
 7.2
48
HAYATO TE
17
KEITA TAK
 7.0
21
DIEGO PIT
24
RIKU YAMA
3
MASAHIRO
 7.3
8
IWASAKI Y
41
MOTOKI HA
 7.3
9
THIAGO SA
1
LENNART M
6
HIROSHI O
18
DAICHI TA
 7.2
48
YUGO TATS
45
NOAH KENS
28
MASAYA MA
5
KOSEI OGU
51
KOSUKE SH
 7.3
8
ATARU ESA
 6.7
22
KAZUNARI
 7.9
98
WERIK POP
SUBSTITUTES · V-VAREN NAGASAKI
34
Tenmu Matsum...
M
11
Norman Campb...
M
1
Goto Masaaki
G
18
Yamasaki Ryo...
F
23
Yoneda Shuny...
D
25
Kushibiki Ka...
D
5
Yamaguchi Ho...
M
33
Tsubasa Kasa...
M
10
Matheus Jesu...
M
COACH: Takuya Takagi
SUBSTITUTES · FAGIANO OKAYAMA
7
Ryo Takeuchi
M
4
Kaito Abe
D
52
Taro Hamada
G
66
Jun Nishikaw...
M
99
Lucão
F
9
Léo Gaúcho
F
88
Towa Yamane
M
26
Haruka Motoy...
D
27
Takaya Kimur...
M
COACH: Takashi Kiyama
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
V-V · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Fu
—
V-V MANAGER
Takuya Takagi
head coach
FAG MANAGER
Takashi Kiyama
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
V-V WINS
5
DRAWS
3
FAG WINS
20%
50%
30%
4 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 10
21 Mar 2026
Fagiano Okayama
0 – 1
V-varen Nagasaki
W
V-VAREN NAGASAKI LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D L
FAGIANO OKAYAMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
V-VAREN NAGASAKI #10
Won · already at 19 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)
FAGIANO OKAYAMA #7
Lost · already at 23 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
2 Vissel Kobe 16 10 0 6 +4 31
W L W L L
2 FC Tokyo 16 12 0 4 +14 35
W L W W W
2 Vissel Kobe 16 10 0 6 +4 31
W L W L L
2 FC Tokyo 16 12 0 4 +14 35
W L W W W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 16 12 0 4 +6 33
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 16 12 0 4 +6 33
W W W L W
4 Tokyo Verdy 16 9 0 7 +1 25
L L L W W
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 16 9 0 7 +1 25
L L L W W
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Urawa 16 7 0 9 +5 24
W W W W L
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Urawa 16 7 0 9 +5 24
W W W W L
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
7 Mito Hollyhock 16 6 0 10 -13 18
L L W L L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
7 Mito Hollyhock 16 6 0 10 -13 18
L L W L L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 16 5 0 11 -8 17
L L L W W
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 16 5 0 11 -8 17
L L L W W
9 Kyoto Sanga 16 7 0 9 -3 20
L L L L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 16 5 0 11 -5 14
W L L L L
9 Kyoto Sanga 16 7 0 9 -3 20
L L L L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 16 5 0 11 -5 14
W L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucão
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Motoki Hasegawa
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Keita Takahata
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Eduardo
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Thiago Santana
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Masaya Matsumoto
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Riku Yamada
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Werik Popó
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Werik Popó
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daichi Tagami
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Noah Kenshin Browne
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kazunari Ichimi
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thiago Santana
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Noah Kenshin Browne
  • 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Iwasaki Yuto
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Iwasaki Yuto
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
V-VAREN NAGASAKI WIN
2.81
35.6% implied
↑ best 3.00
DRAW
3.10
32.3% implied
↑ best 3.25
FAGIANO OKAYAMA WIN
2.55
39.2% implied
↑ best 2.85

Market favors Fagiano Okayama. AI projects V-VAREN NAGASAKI 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS V-VAREN NAGASAKI 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.75 3.20 2.55 +55.6%
1xBet 2.75 3.19 2.66 +55.6%
888Sport 2.88 2.90 2.45 +57.3%
Bet365 2.88 3.20 2.55 +57.3%
Betano 2.92 3.00 2.52 +57.8%
Betfair 2.55 3.00 2.40 +52.8%
BetVictor 2.88 3.20 2.55 +57.3%
Dafabet 2.85 3.25 2.60 +56.9%
Marathonbet 2.86 3.08 2.52 +57.0%
Pinnacle 3.00 3.20 2.59 +58.7%
SBO 2.80 3.09 2.44 +56.3%
Unibet 2.48 3.15 2.85 +51.7%
William Hill 2.88 2.90 2.45 +57.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.38 U 2.87
2.5 O 2.21 U 1.64
3.5 O 4.06 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.87 10 bks
NO
1.85 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.56
Away -0.5 1.42
Away -0.75 1.30
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.