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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CEREZO OSAKA 45%
CONF 42 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · SUN, 03 MAY · 06:00 LOCAL
CEREZO OSAKA
4TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W D W
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 1-1
AVISPA FUKUOKA
D L W D W
· 9TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+1' Rikito Inoue ⚽ 120+1' Shinji Kagawa (P) ⚽ 120+2' Shunta Tanaka (P) ⚽ 120+3' Dion Cools (P) ⚽ 120+4' Shinnosuke Hatanaka (P)
GOALS
⚽ 11' Shosei Usui ⚽ 120+1' Yuma Tsujioka (P) ⚽ 120+2' Keiya Shiihashi (P) ⚽ 120+3' Masato Shigemi (P) ⚽ 120+4' Yutaka Michiwaki (P) ⚽ 120+5' Kamijima Takumi (P)
Rikito Inoue
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Rikito Inoue
Cerezo Osaka · 96 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 92% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

72%
BALL POSSESSION %
28%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
8
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Shosei Usui
    AVI
  2. 35'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nelson Ishiwatari
    CER
  3. 37'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yu Hashimoto · assist Maejima Yota
    AVI
  4. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Shunta Tanaka
    CER
  5. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rikito Inoue · assist Masaya Shibayama
    CER
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kohei Okuno · assist Keiya Shiihashi
    AVI
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yuji Kitajima · assist Kaoru Yamawaki
    AVI
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Masaya Shibayama · assist Solomon Sakuragawa
    CER
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Shion Homma · assist Dion Cools
    CER
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Motohiko Nakajima · assist Shinji Kagawa
    CER
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Thiago Andrade · assist Yumeki Yokoyama
    CER
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Shosei Usui · assist Yutaka Michiwaki
    AVI
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kazuki Fujimoto · assist Kazuki Fukushima
    AVI
  14. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Yuma Tsujioka
    AVI
  15. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Shinji Kagawa
    CER
  16. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Keiya Shiihashi
    AVI
  17. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Shunta Tanaka
    CER
  18. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Masato Shigemi
    AVI
  19. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Dion Cools
    CER
  20. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Yutaka Michiwaki
    AVI
  21. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Shinnosuke Hatanaka
    CER
  22. 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Kamijima Takumi
    AVI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CEREZO OSAKA AVG 7.5
AVISPA FUKUOKA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
1.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
72.0%
POSSESSION %
28.0%
687.0
PASSES
276.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
6.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CEREZO OSAKA 3 shots
Rikito Inoue
1/1
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
0/1
Hayato Okuda
0/1
AVISPA FUKUOKA 6 shots
Shosei Usui
1/2
Kamijima Takumi
1/2
Yuma Tsujioka
1/1
Tomoya Miki
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
7.0
23
KOSUKE NA
66
AYUMU OHA
 7.6
44
SHINNOSUK
 8.3
4
RIKITO IN
 7.2
16
HAYATO OK
10
SHUNTA TA
18
NELSON IS
19
SHION HOM
13
MOTOHIKO
48
MASAYA SH
11
THIAGO AN
41
KAZUKI FU
 7.3
15
YUMA TSUJ
 7.2
5
KAMIJIMA
16
TEPPEI OK
22
KAZUKI FU
 6.9
11
TOMOYA MI
 6.7
8
KOHEI OKU
47
YU HASHIM
25
YUJI KITA
6
MASATO SH
 7.5
7
SHOSEI US
SUBSTITUTES · CEREZO OSAKA
5
Hinata Kida
M
8
Shinji Kagaw...
M
14
Yumeki Yokoy...
M
26
Eiji Kubo
M
3
Hayato Tanak...
D
21
Jin Hyeon Ki...
G
9
Solomon Saku...
F
27
Dion Cools
D
7
Satoki Uejo
M
COACH: Arthur Papas
SUBSTITUTES · AVISPA FUKUOKA
27
Yutaka Michi...
F
46
Kazuki Fukus...
M
45
Daiki Miya
D
3
Nara Tatsuki
D
99
Powell Obinn...
G
34
Keiya Shiiha...
M
33
Kaoru Yamawa...
D
29
Maejima Yota
D
32
Abdel Hanan...
F
COACH: Shinya Tsukahara
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AVI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Atsushi Uemura, Japan
—
CER MANAGER
Arthur Papas
head coach
AVI MANAGER
Shinya Tsukahara
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
CER WINS
1
DRAWS
3
AVI WINS
60%
10%
30%
16 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Feb 2026
Avispa Fukuoka
0 – 2
Cerezo Osaka
W
13 Sep 2025
Avispa Fukuoka
2 – 4
Cerezo Osaka
W
24 May 2025
Cerezo Osaka
2 – 0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
09 Nov 2024
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
18 May 2024
Avispa Fukuoka
0 – 3
Cerezo Osaka
W
CEREZO OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D W
AVISPA FUKUOKA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
CEREZO OSAKA #4
Lost · already at 21 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
AVISPA FUKUOKA #9
Lost · already at 18 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 14 11 0 3 +13 34
W L W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 13 8 0 5 +5 26
L L W W W
1 Kashima 14 11 0 3 +13 34
W L W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 13 8 0 5 +5 26
L L W W W
2 Gamba Osaka 15 9 0 6 +7 25
W L W L W
2 FC Tokyo 14 11 0 3 +16 32
W W W W L
2 Gamba Osaka 15 9 0 6 +7 25
W L W L W
2 FC Tokyo 14 11 0 3 +16 32
W W W W L
3 Nagoya Grampus 14 8 0 6 +5 25
W L W W L
3 Machida Zelvia 13 9 0 4 +1 25
L W W W L
3 Nagoya Grampus 14 8 0 6 +5 25
W L W W L
3 Machida Zelvia 13 9 0 4 +1 25
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 13 9 0 4 +4 24
W W W W L
4 Cerezo Osaka 14 8 0 6 +3 21
W W L W W
4 Tokyo Verdy 13 9 0 4 +4 24
W W W W L
4 Cerezo Osaka 14 8 0 6 +3 21
W W L W W
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14 7 0 7 +2 20
L L W W W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 14 7 0 7 -5 20
L L W W L
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14 7 0 7 +2 20
L L W W W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 14 7 0 7 -5 20
L L W W L
6 Shimizu S-pulse 14 6 0 8 -1 20
W L L L W
6 Urawa 14 5 0 9 +1 18
W W L L L
6 Shimizu S-pulse 14 6 0 8 -1 20
W L L L W
6 Urawa 14 5 0 9 +1 18
W W L L L
7 Mito Hollyhock 14 6 0 8 -7 18
W L L W W
7 Fagiano Okayama 14 6 0 8 -6 20
W W W L L
7 Mito Hollyhock 14 6 0 8 -7 18
W L L W W
7 Fagiano Okayama 14 6 0 8 -6 20
W W W L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 13 7 0 6 +2 19
L W L W L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 14 5 0 9 -5 16
L W W L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 13 7 0 6 +2 19
L W L W L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 14 5 0 9 -5 16
L W W L L
9 Avispa Fukuoka 15 6 0 9 -9 18
L W L W L
9 Kashiwa Reysol 14 4 0 10 -5 11
L L L L L
9 Avispa Fukuoka 15 6 0 9 -9 18
L W L W L
9 Kashiwa Reysol 14 4 0 10 -5 11
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 14 2 0 12 -13 9
L L L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 14 5 0 9 -8 16
L W L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 14 2 0 12 -13 9
L L L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 14 5 0 9 -8 16
L W L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Kamijima Takumi
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Shinnosuke Hatanaka
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Yutaka Michiwaki
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Dion Cools
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Masato Shigemi
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Shunta Tanaka
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Keiya Shiihashi
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Shinji Kagawa
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Yuma Tsujioka
    Penalty Shootout
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kazuki Fujimoto
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Shosei Usui
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Thiago Andrade
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Motohiko Nakajima
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Shion Homma
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Masaya Shibayama
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yuji Kitajima
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kohei Okuno
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rikito Inoue
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Shunta Tanaka
  • 37'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yu Hashimoto
  • 35'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nelson Ishiwatari
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Shosei Usui
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CEREZO OSAKA WIN
1.77
56.5% implied
↑ best 1.86
DRAW
3.64
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.84
AVISPA FUKUOKA WIN
4.30
23.3% implied
↑ best 4.60

Market favors Cerezo Osaka. AI projects CEREZO OSAKA 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CEREZO OSAKA 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.75 3.65 4.50 +4.8%
1xBet 1.78 3.74 4.47 +4.6%
Bet365 1.75 3.70 4.33 +3.9%
Betano 1.78 3.60 4.30 +3.7%
Betfair 1.67 3.50 4.00 +2.0%
BetVictor 1.75 3.75 4.50 +4.8%
Dafabet 1.76 3.80 4.60 +5.3%
Marathonbet 1.78 3.64 4.25 +3.5%
Pinnacle 1.82 3.84 4.44 +4.5%
SBO 1.81 3.44 4.11 +2.7%
Unibet 1.86 3.40 3.90 +1.4%
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.20 +3.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.53
2.5 O 1.89 U 1.88
3.5 O 3.24 U 1.32
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 9 bks
NO
1.95 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.40
Away -0.5 2.04
Away -0.75 1.80
Away -1 1.55
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.