GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 43%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · WED, 29 APR · 06:00 LOCAL
NAGOYA GRAMPUS
2ND · 22 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W D W
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-0
FAGIANO OKAYAMA
W D D L D
· 8TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 65' Hidemasa Koda ⚽ 120+1' Sho Inagaki (P) ⚽ 120+2' Tomoki Takamine (P) ⚽ 120+3' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni (P) ⚽ 120+4' Yudai Kimura (P) ⚽ 120+5' Shungo Sugiura (P) ⚽ 120+6' Hidemasa Koda (P)
GOALS
⚽ 89' Daichi Tagami ⚽ 120+1' Lucão (P) ⚽ 120+2' Towa Yamane (P) ⚽ 120+3' Daichi Tagami (P) ⚽ 120+4' Kota Kawano (P) ⚽ 120+5' Leo Gaucho (P) ⚽ 120+6' Kosei Ogura (P)
Sho Inagaki
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sho Inagaki
Nagoya Grampus · Captain · 95 mins
· 69% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama - Game Highlights | MW13
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

65%
BALL POSSESSION %
35%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
14
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
7
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 25 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ryuji Izumi · assist Hidemasa Koda
    NAG
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Noah Kenshin Browne · assist Towa Yamane
    FAG
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Werik Popó · assist Lucão
    FAG
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Takaya Kimura · assist Jun Nishikawa
    FAG
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuya Yamagishi · assist Shungo Sugiura
    NAG
  6. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Hidemasa Koda
    NAG
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Masaya Matsumoto · assist Leo Gaucho
    FAG
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tsukasa Morishima · assist Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
    NAG
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ataru Esaka · assist Kota Kawano
    FAG
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yuya Asano · assist Masahito Ono
    NAG
  11. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ataru Esaka
    FAG
  12. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kosei Ogura
    FAG
  13. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daichi Tagami · assist Kosei Ogura
    FAG
  14. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Sho Inagaki
    NAG
  15. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Lucão
    FAG
  16. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Tomoki Takamine
    NAG
  17. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Towa Yamane
    FAG
  18. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
    NAG
  19. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Daichi Tagami
    FAG
  20. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Yudai Kimura
    NAG
  21. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Kota Kawano
    FAG
  22. 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Shungo Sugiura
    NAG
  23. 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Leo Gaucho
    FAG
  24. 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Hidemasa Koda
    NAG
  25. 120'+6
    Goal · Penalty
    Kosei Ogura
    FAG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NAGOYA GRAMPUS AVG 7.5
FAGIANO OKAYAMA AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
35.0%
577.0
PASSES
312.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
13.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NAGOYA GRAMPUS 3 shots
Sho Inagaki
0/1
Hidemasa Koda
1/1
Tomoki Takamine
1/1
FAGIANO OKAYAMA 5 shots
Daichi Tagami
1/2
Noah Kenshin Browne
1/2
Yugo Tatsuta
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
14
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
7.2
1
DANIEL SC
 7.0
31
TOMOKI TA
13
HARUYA FU
70
TERUKI HA
27
KATSUHIRO
 8.5
15
SHO INAGA
 7.3
14
TSUKASA M
9
YUYA ASAN
22
YUDAI KIM
7
RYUJI IZU
11
YUYA YAMA
1
LENNART M
 7.3
43
YOSHITAKE
 8.2
18
DAICHI TA
 7.3
48
YUGO TATS
 7.7
45
NOAH KENS
5
KOSEI OGU
28
MASAYA MA
 7.0
51
KOSUKE SH
8
ATARU ESA
27
TAKAYA KI
98
WERIK POP
SUBSTITUTES · NAGOYA GRAMPUS
33
Taichi Kikuc...
M
55
Shuhei Tokum...
D
2
Yuki Nogami
D
35
Alexandre Pi...
G
41
Masahito Ono
M
20
Kennedy Egbu...
D
30
Shungo Sugiu...
F
19
Hidemasa Kod...
M
18
Kensuke Naga...
F
COACH: Mihailo Petrovic
SUBSTITUTES · FAGIANO OKAYAMA
7
Ryo Takeuchi
M
6
Hiroshi Omor...
D
52
Taro Hamada
G
40
Kota Kawano
F
9
Léo Gaúcho
F
66
Jun Nishikaw...
M
99
Lucão
F
88
Towa Yamane
M
26
Haruka Motoy...
D
COACH: Takashi Kiyama
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Daichi Shiino, Japan
—
NAG MANAGER
Mihailo Petrovic
head coach
FAG MANAGER
Takashi Kiyama
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NAG WINS
3
DRAWS
0
FAG WINS
62.5%
37.5%
10 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
1.75
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 8
01 Mar 2026
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 1
Nagoya Grampus
D
13 Sep 2025
Fagiano Okayama
0 – 1
Nagoya Grampus
W
06 May 2025
Nagoya Grampus
0 – 0
Fagiano Okayama
D
NAGOYA GRAMPUS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D W
FAGIANO OKAYAMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
NAGOYA GRAMPUS #2
Lost · already at 22 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
FAGIANO OKAYAMA #8
Lost · already at 17 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 13 10 0 3 +12 32
L W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 12 8 0 4 +10 26
L W W W W
1 Kashima 13 10 0 3 +12 32
L W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 12 8 0 4 +10 26
L W W W W
2 Nagoya Grampus 13 7 0 6 +4 22
L W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 13 10 0 3 +14 29
W W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 13 7 0 6 +4 22
L W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 13 10 0 3 +14 29
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 14 8 0 6 +2 22
L W L W L
3 Machida Zelvia 12 9 0 3 +2 24
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 14 8 0 6 +2 22
L W L W L
3 Machida Zelvia 12 9 0 3 +2 24
W W W L W
4 Tokyo Verdy 12 8 0 4 +3 21
W W W L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 7 0 6 +3 20
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 12 8 0 4 +3 21
W W W L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 7 0 6 +3 20
L W W W L
5 Kyoto Sanga 12 7 0 5 +3 19
W L W L W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 13 7 0 6 -3 20
L W W L W
5 Kyoto Sanga 12 7 0 5 +3 19
W L W L W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 13 7 0 6 -3 20
L W W L W
6 Cerezo Osaka 13 7 0 6 +2 19
W L W W L
6 Mito Hollyhock 13 5 0 8 -8 16
L L W W W
6 Cerezo Osaka 13 7 0 6 +2 19
W L W W L
6 Mito Hollyhock 13 5 0 8 -8 16
L L W W W
7 Urawa 13 4 0 9 -1 15
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 13 5 0 8 -2 17
L L L W L
7 Urawa 13 4 0 9 -1 15
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 13 5 0 8 -2 17
L L L W L
8 Fagiano Okayama 13 5 0 8 -7 17
W W L L L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 0 8 -4 15
W W L L L
8 Fagiano Okayama 13 5 0 8 -7 17
W W L L L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 0 8 -4 15
W W L L L
9 Avispa Fukuoka 14 6 0 8 -8 17
W L W L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 13 4 0 9 -4 11
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 14 6 0 8 -8 17
W L W L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 13 4 0 9 -4 11
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 13 2 0 11 -11 9
L L L L W
10 V-varen Nagasaki 13 5 0 8 -7 16
W L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 13 2 0 11 -11 9
L L L L W
10 V-varen Nagasaki 13 5 0 8 -7 16
W L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Penalty · Kosei Ogura
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Hidemasa Koda
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Leo Gaucho
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Shungo Sugiura
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Kota Kawano
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Yudai Kimura
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Daichi Tagami
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Towa Yamane
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Tomoki Takamine
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Lucão
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Sho Inagaki
    Penalty Shootout
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daichi Tagami
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kosei Ogura
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ataru Esaka
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yuya Asano
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ataru Esaka
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tsukasa Morishima
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Masaya Matsumoto
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Hidemasa Koda
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuya Yamagishi
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Takaya Kimura
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Werik Popó
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Noah Kenshin Browne
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ryuji Izumi
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
NAGOYA GRAMPUS WIN
1.89
52.9% implied
↑ best 1.93
DRAW
3.32
30.1% implied
↑ best 3.42
FAGIANO OKAYAMA WIN
4.14
24.2% implied
↑ best 4.45

Market favors Nagoya Grampus. AI projects DRAW 43%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 43% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.35 4.20 +13.1%
1xBet 1.89 3.34 4.18 +13.1%
Bet365 1.90 3.40 4.10 +13.6%
Betano 1.88 3.25 4.30 +12.2%
Betfair 1.80 3.30 4.00 +12.7%
BetVictor 1.91 3.40 4.20 +13.6%
Dafabet 1.92 3.40 4.20 +13.6%
Marathonbet 1.87 3.34 4.20 +13.1%
Pinnacle 1.93 3.42 4.45 +13.8%
SBO 1.91 3.14 3.73 +11.2%
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.00 +11.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.35 U 2.97
2.5 O 2.13 U 1.68
3.5 O 3.83 U 1.23
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 8 bks
NO
1.80 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.24
Away -0.5 1.91
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.41
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.