AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · RIVER PLATE 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 5 · SUN, 16 AUG · 21:00 LOCAL
RIVER PLATE
14TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
2 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ARGENTINOS JRS
W W W W D
· 1ST · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 37' Gonzalo Montiel ⚽ 89' Ángel Correa (P)
GOALS
Ángel Correa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ángel Correa
River Plate · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 17% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.58
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.63
41%
BALL POSSESSION %
59%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 31'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Gutiérrez
    ARG
  2. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sebastián Prieto
    ARG
  3. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gonzalo Montiel
    RIV
  4. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thiago Almada
    RIV
  5. 51'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gonzalo Montiel · assist Giovanni González
    RIV
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Emiliano Viveros · assist Facundo Jainikoski
    ARG
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kevin Gutiérrez · assist Gabriel Florentín
    ARG
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Beltrán · assist Rafael Borré
    RIV
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joaquín Freitas · assist Fausto Vera
    RIV
  10. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nicolas Oroz · assist Iván Morales
    ARG
  11. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Coronel
    ARG
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Hernán López Muñoz · assist Matías Giménez Rojas
    ARG
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kevin Coronel · assist Diego Porcel
    ARG
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Thiago Almada · assist Lautaro Rivero
    RIV
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tobías Andrada · assist Tomás Galván
    RIV
  16. 89'
    Goal · Penalty
    Ángel Correa
    RIV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RIVER PLATE AVG 7.5
ARGENTINOS JRS AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.6
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
1.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
41.0%
POSSESSION %
59.0%
354.0
PASSES
505.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
RIVER PLATE 4 shots
Ángel Correa
1/1
Lucas Martínez Quarta
0/1
Gonzalo Montiel
1/1
Nicolás Otamendi
1/1
ARGENTINOS JRS 2 shots
Hernán López Muñoz
0/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.580.63
1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 37' 89' H 1.58 A 0.63 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
SUBSTITUTES · RIVER PLATE
26
Tomás Galván
M
44
Lucas Silva
M
24
Juan Cruz Me...
M
25
Lautaro Pere...
M
43
Valentín Luc...
M
13
Lautaro Rive...
D
31
Facundo Gonz...
D
33
Ezequiel Cen...
G
15
Fausto Vera
M
19
Rafael Borré
F
20
Giovanni Gon...
D
8
Mauro Aramba...
M
COACH: Eduardo Coudet
SUBSTITUTES · ARGENTINOS JRS
13
Santino Gian...
D
5
Facundo Carr...
D
9
Gastón Verón
F
19
Matías Gimén...
F
37
Thiago Gomez
D
26
Claudio Brav...
D
30
Alan Núñez
D
50
Diego Rodríg...
G
7
Iván Morales
F
48
Facundo Jain...
F
21
Gabriel Flor...
M
47
Diego Porcel
F
COACH: Nicolas Diez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ARG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina
RIV MANAGER
Eduardo Coudet
head coach
ARG MANAGER
Nicolas Diez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
RIV WINS
2
DRAWS
3
ARG WINS
50%
20%
30%
18 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
RIVER PLATE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
ARGENTINOS JRS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
RIVER PLATE #2
Won · already at 29 pts
Knockout Phase
ARGENTINOS JRS #1
Lost · already at 12 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L W L W D
1 Argentinos JRS 5 4 0 1 +4 12
L W W W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Instituto Cordoba 5 4 0 1 +3 12
W W W W L
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
W L L W L
2 Belgrano Cordoba 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W W D L W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L L L L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D D W D L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Velez Sarsfield 5 3 2 0 +4 11
D D W W W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W W W
3 Independiente 5 3 0 2 +3 9
W L L W W
3 Rosario Central 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W W D L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D D W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W W D L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Sarmiento Junin 5 3 0 2 +2 9
W W W L L
4 Defensa Y Justicia 5 2 2 1 -1 8
D W L W D
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W L L L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Newells Old Boys 5 2 1 2 +1 7
W L D L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W D L W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W L L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Barracas Central 5 3 0 2 0 9
L L W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 5 3 0 2 -1 9
L W W W L
6 Estudiantes L.P. 5 2 0 3 +2 6
W L L W L
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W L
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
7 Atletico Tucuman 5 2 2 1 +2 8
W L D W D
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Deportivo Riestra 5 2 0 3 +1 6
L W L L W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
W L L W L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L L L D W
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Gimnasia M. 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L W L W W
8 Tigre 5 2 2 1 +2 8
D W D W L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L L W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L L W W W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Lanus 5 2 0 3 0 6
L W L L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Huracan 5 2 1 2 0 7
L W D L W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W W W L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Independ. Rivadavia 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L W L W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D W D W L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
D W L W D
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Boca Juniors 5 1 3 1 -2 6
D D W D L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
L W L W W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W W L L
11 Banfield 5 2 1 2 -1 7
W L D W L
11 Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 2 0 3 -2 6
L W W L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 San Lorenzo 5 2 0 3 -2 6
W L L W L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
D W L L D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Racing Club 5 1 1 3 -3 4
L L L D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W L D W L
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 5 1 1 3 -4 4
L L D L W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L W W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W L D W D
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Platense 5 1 2 2 -4 5
D W L L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L L L D
14 Union Santa Fe 5 1 1 3 -3 4
L L W L D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 River Plate 5 1 0 4 -2 3
W L L L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W L D L W
15 Aldosivi 5 0 2 3 -3 2
D L L L D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L D L W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
L W L L W
15 Talleres Cordoba 4 1 0 3 -2 3
L W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Goal · Penalty · Ángel Correa
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tobías Andrada
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Thiago Almada
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kevin Coronel
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Hernán López Muñoz
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Coronel
    Foul
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nicolas Oroz
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joaquín Freitas
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Beltrán
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kevin Gutiérrez
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Emiliano Viveros
  • 51'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gonzalo Montiel
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Thiago Almada
    Foul
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gonzalo Montiel
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sebastián Prieto
    Foul
  • 31'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Gutiérrez
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
RIVER PLATE WIN
1.90
52.6% implied
↑ best 1.98
DRAW
3.17
31.5% implied
↑ best 3.30
ARGENTINOS JRS WIN
4.36
22.9% implied
↑ best 4.65

Market favors River Plate. AI projects RIVER PLATE 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RIVER PLATE 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.20 4.30 +10.7%
1xBet 1.90 3.30 4.47 +11.6%
888Sport 1.85 3.10 4.20 +10.2%
Bet365 1.91 3.20 4.50 +11.8%
Betano 1.98 3.30 4.65 +12.5%
Betfair 1.87 3.20 4.50 +11.8%
BetVictor 1.90 3.20 4.50 +11.8%
Dafabet 1.92 3.15 4.30 +10.7%
Marathonbet 1.87 3.24 4.40 +11.3%
SBO 1.92 2.97 3.98 +8.9%
Unibet 1.97 3.05 4.30 +10.7%
William Hill 1.85 3.10 4.20 +10.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.48 U 2.54
2.5 O 2.50 U 1.49
3.5 O 4.98 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.17 10 bks
NO
1.62 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.28
Away -0.5 1.88
Away -0.75 1.65
Away -1 1.42
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.