GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · TIGRE 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 4 · SAT, 08 AUG · 20:00 LOCAL
TIGRE
5TH · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L D L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
RIVER PLATE
L L L L W
· 15TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 78' Ignacio Russo
GOALS
Nicolás Otamendi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nicolás Otamendi
River Plate · Captain · 94 mins
· 92% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.62
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.38
32%
BALL POSSESSION %
68%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
9
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
68%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
1
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 4'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gonzalo Martínez · assist Tiago Serrago
    TIG
  2. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jalil Elias
    TIG
  3. 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Aníbal Moreno
    RIV
  4. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nahuel Banegas
    TIG
  5. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jalil Elias · assist Santiago González
    TIG
  6. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nahuel Banegas · assist Federico Álvarez
    TIG
  7. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tobías Andrada
    RIV
  8. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Joaquín Freitas · assist Rafael Borré
    RIV
  9. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ignacio Russo · assist Jabes Saralegui
    TIG
  10. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Martínez Quarta
    RIV
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jabes Saralegui · assist Nicolas Dubersarsky
    TIG
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Santiago López · assist Juan Villalba
    TIG
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tomás Galván · assist Lautaro Pereyra
    RIV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TIGRE AVG 7.4
RIVER PLATE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
0.4
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
2.0
ON TARGET
1.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
32.0%
POSSESSION %
68.0%
298.0
PASSES
647.0
68.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
17.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TIGRE 2 shots
Ignacio Russo
1/1
Alan Barrionuevo
0/1
RIVER PLATE 2 shots
Lucas Martínez Quarta
0/1
Tobías Andrada
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.62 – 0.38
0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 HT 78' H 0.62 A 0.38 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-1-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-1-1
4-2-3-1
7.2
12
FELIPE ZE
 7.2
3
NAHUEL BA
 7.6
20
ALAN BARR
 7.0
2
JOAQUíN L
4
VALENTíN
22
SANTIAGO
30
JALIL ELI
8
MARTíN GA
10
JABES SAR
28
GONZALO M
 7.9
29
IGNACIO R
41
SANTIAGO
3
FRANCISCO
 6.9
28
LUCAS MAR
 8.2
30
NICOLáS O
 7.2
29
GONZALO M
 6.9
50
TOBíAS AN
6
ANíBAL MO
 6.5
26
TOMáS GAL
10
ÁNGEL COR
35
JOAQUíN F
18
LUCAS BEL
SUBSTITUTES · TIGRE
27
Santiago Gon...
M
21
Sebastián Me...
M
50
Ignacio Pelu...
F
19
Alfio Oviedo
F
16
Nicolas Dube...
M
32
Juan Villalb...
D
17
Guillermo So...
D
23
Gonzalo Requ...
D
24
Federico Álv...
D
26
Lautaro Mora...
G
11
Tiago Serrag...
M
25
Ian Subiabre
F
COACH: Diego Dabove
SUBSTITUTES · RIVER PLATE
15
Fausto Vera
M
24
Juan Cruz Me...
M
44
Lucas Silva
M
25
Lautaro Pere...
M
20
Giovanni Gon...
D
13
Lautaro Rive...
D
43
Valentín Luc...
M
31
Facundo Gonz...
D
33
Ezequiel Cen...
G
19
Rafael Borré
F
COACH: Eduardo Coudet
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

RIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Gariano
—
TIG MANAGER
Diego Dabove
head coach
RIV MANAGER
Eduardo Coudet
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
TIG WINS
3
DRAWS
3
RIV WINS
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
12 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
07 Feb 2026
River Plate
1 – 4
Tigre
W
02 Jun 2024
River Plate
3 – 1
Tigre
L
18 Feb 2023
Tigre
0 – 1
River Plate
L
27 Aug 2022
Tigre
1 – 1
River Plate
D
12 May 2022
River Plate
1 – 2
Tigre
W
TIGRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D L
RIVER PLATE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
TIGRE #5
Won · already at 7 pts
Knockout Phase
RIVER PLATE #2
Lost · already at 152 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Argentinos JRS 4 4 0 0 +6 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 0 +4 10
D W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
W L W D L
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W L L
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D W D L L
2 Instituto Cordoba 4 3 0 1 +2 9
W W W L W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L L L
2 Gimnasia L.P. 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W W L L
3 Barracas Central 4 3 0 1 +1 9
L W W W L
3 Defensa Y Justicia 4 2 1 1 -1 7
W L W D L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D W W W L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Deportivo Riestra 4 2 0 2 +3 6
W L L W D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Belgrano Cordoba 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W L L L D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Independiente 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L L W W L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W D L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L L W W L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Tigre 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D W L D
6 Huracan 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W L
6 Gimnasia M. 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L W L W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W L L
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L L W L D
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W D L W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Independ. Rivadavia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W L W D L
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Central Cordoba de Santiago 4 2 0 2 -1 6
W W L L L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W L L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W L D L
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Boca Juniors 4 1 2 1 -2 5
D W D L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Rosario Central 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W W D L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L L D W L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L W W W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W W L W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Newells Old Boys 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L D L W D
9 Sarmiento Junin 4 2 0 2 0 6
W W L L L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W D W L D
10 Union Santa Fe 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L W L D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W L W D L
10 Atletico Tucuman 4 1 2 1 +1 5
L D W D W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
L W L W W
11 Racing Club 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L L D W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W L L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Platense 4 1 1 2 -4 4
W L L D L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W L L D L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L D W L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L D W L W
12 Talleres Cordoba 3 1 0 2 +1 3
W L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
W W L L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L D L W L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
L D W D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Lanus 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W L D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 0 3 -2 3
L L W L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L L L D D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
L D L W D
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Aldosivi 4 0 1 3 -3 1
L L L D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L D L W L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 River Plate 4 0 0 4 -4 0
L L L L L
15 San Lorenzo 4 1 0 3 -3 3
L L W L L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W L L W D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tomás Galván
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Santiago López
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jabes Saralegui
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Martínez Quarta
    Foul
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ignacio Russo
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Joaquín Freitas
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tobías Andrada
    Foul
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nahuel Banegas
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jalil Elias
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nahuel Banegas
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Aníbal Moreno
    Foul
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jalil Elias
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 4'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gonzalo Martínez
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
TIGRE WIN
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.55
DRAW
2.85
35.1% implied
↑ best 2.95
RIVER PLATE WIN
2.34
42.7% implied
↑ best 2.40

Market favors River Plate. AI projects TIGRE 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TIGRE 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.45 2.85 2.34 +9.0%
1xBet 3.52 2.90 2.35 +9.6%
888Sport 3.40 2.70 2.30 +8.6%
Bet365 3.50 2.88 2.40 +9.4%
Betano 3.50 2.90 2.40 +9.4%
Betfair 3.40 2.88 2.30 +8.6%
BetVictor 3.50 2.88 2.38 +9.4%
Dafabet 3.45 2.85 2.33 +9.0%
Marathonbet 3.46 2.85 2.31 +9.1%
SBO 3.04 2.78 2.27 +5.1%
Superbet 3.55 2.87 2.37 +9.8%
Unibet 3.35 2.95 2.32 +8.1%
William Hill 3.40 2.70 2.30 +8.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.63 U 2.22
2.5 O 2.92 U 1.38
3.5 O 6.20 U 1.11
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.29 11 bks
NO
1.56 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.39
Away -0.5 1.30
Away -0.75 1.17
Away -1 1.04
Away -1.25 1.03
Away -1.5 1.04
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.