AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 72% · Value: Over 2.5 64%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 4 · SAT, 08 AUG · 00:45 LOCAL
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
7TH · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W D W
FT
2 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO
D L W L L
· 13TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 71' Alex Arce (P) ⚽ 80' Alex Arce
GOALS
⚽ 88' Gabriel Alanís
Gabriel Alanís
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gabriel Alanís
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 96 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 21% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.42
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.53
65%
BALL POSSESSION %
35%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
6
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
68%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yeison Moreno
    EST
  2. 26'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gonzalo Ríos · assist Rodrigo Atencio
    IND
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomas Gonzalez
    EST
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fabrizio Sartori · assist Maximiliano Salas
    IND
  5. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sheyko Studer
    IND
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Juan Garro · assist Mateo Bajamich
    EST
  7. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gonzalo Gonzalez
    EST
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alejo Osella · assist Ezequiel Bonifacio
    IND
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yeison Moreno · assist Ibrahim Hesar
    EST
  10. 71'
    Goal · Penalty
    Alex Arce
    IND
  11. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alex Arce · assist Matías Fernández
    IND
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matías Fernández · assist Kevin Vázquez
    IND
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tomás Bottari · assist Leonel Bucca
    IND
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gonzalo Gonzalez · assist Siro Rosane
    EST
  15. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Francisco Romero · assist Raúl Lozano
    EST
  16. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nicolás Talpone · assist Joaquín Rivero
    EST
  17. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Alanís
    EST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA AVG 7.4
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.4
xG
0.5
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
35.0%
553.0
PASSES
306.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
68.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 7 shots
Alex Arce
2/5
José Florentín
0/2
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO 4 shots
Agustin Quiroga
1/2
Gabriel Alanís
1/1
Joaquín Rivero
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.420.53
1.9 1.5 1 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 71' 80' 88' H 2.42 A 0.53 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-1-2 vs 3-1-4-2
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
27
Diego Crego
M
34
Stefano More...
M
32
Kevin Vázque...
M
7
Victorio Ram...
F
8
Leonel Bucca
M
23
Luis Díaz
F
20
Alessandro R...
M
36
Ezequiel Bon...
D
40
Iván Villalb...
D
21
Emmanuel Góm...
G
19
Rodrigo Aten...
F
17
Maximiliano...
F
COACH: Alfredo Berti
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO
77
Ibrahim Hesa...
M
26
Ezequiel For...
M
8
Siro Rosane
M
40
Francesco Lo...
M
45
Raúl Lozano
D
6
Juan Antonin...
D
28
Facundo Cobo...
D
18
Joaquín Rive...
F
23
Fernando Rod...
D
31
Matias Valen...
D
43
Agustín Last...
G
32
Mateo Bajami...
F
COACH: Ruben Forestello
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Pereira
IND MANAGER
Alfredo Berti
head coach
EST MANAGER
Ruben Forestello
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
IND WINS
1
DRAWS
2
EST WINS
25%
25%
50%
3 7
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 4
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D W
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA #1
Won · already at 34 pts
Playoffs
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO #13
Lost · already at 4 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Argentinos JRS 4 4 0 0 +6 12
W W W W L
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 0 +4 10
D W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W L L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
W L W D L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L L L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Gimnasia L.P. 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W W L L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D W D L L
2 Instituto Cordoba 4 3 0 1 +2 9
W W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Defensa Y Justicia 4 2 1 1 -1 7
W L W D L
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D W W W L
3 Barracas Central 4 3 0 1 +1 9
L W W W L
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Deportivo Riestra 4 2 0 2 +3 6
W L L W D
4 Belgrano Cordoba 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W L L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D L L
5 Tigre 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Lanus 4 2 0 2 +2 6
W L L W L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L L W W L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W D L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L L W L
6 Huracan 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W L L
6 Independiente 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L L W W L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W L L
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W D L W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Gimnasia M. 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L W L W W
7 Independ. Rivadavia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W L W D L
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W L D L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L L D W L
8 Rosario Central 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W W D L L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Central Cordoba de Santiago 4 2 0 2 -1 6
W W L L L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L W W W L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W W L W
9 Sarmiento Junin 4 2 0 2 0 6
W W L L L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Boca Juniors 4 1 2 1 -2 5
D W D L L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W D W L D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Atletico Tucuman 4 1 2 1 +1 5
L D W D W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W L W D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Newells Old Boys 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L D L W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
11 Union Santa Fe 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L W L D L
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W L L L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
L W L W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Racing Club 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L L D W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
12 Banfield 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L D W L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L D W L W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W L L D L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 4 1 1 2 -4 4
W L L D L
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Talleres Cordoba 4 1 0 3 -2 3
L W L L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
L D W D W
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L D L W L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
W W L L L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
14 Aldosivi 4 0 1 3 -3 1
L L L D D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L L L D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 0 3 -2 3
L L W L L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
L D L W D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L D L W L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 River Plate 4 0 0 4 -4 0
L L L L L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W L L W D
15 San Lorenzo 4 1 0 3 -3 3
L L W L L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Alanís
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nicolás Talpone
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Francisco Romero
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gonzalo Gonzalez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tomás Bottari
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matías Fernández
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alex Arce
  • 71'
    Goal · Penalty · Alex Arce
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yeison Moreno
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alejo Osella
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gonzalo Gonzalez
    Foul
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Juan Garro
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sheyko Studer
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fabrizio Sartori
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomas Gonzalez
    Foul
  • 26'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gonzalo Ríos
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yeison Moreno
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
INDEPEND. RIVADA WIN
1.47
68% implied
↑ best 1.50
DRAW
3.88
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.10
ESTUDIANTES DE R WIN
7.53
13.3% implied
↑ best 8.50

Market favors Independ. Rivadavia. AI projects INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 72% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.47 3.80 8.10 +4.0%
1xBet 1.50 3.99 7.43 +5.3%
888Sport 1.44 3.80 7.00 +2.6%
Bet365 1.50 3.70 8.50 +5.3%
Betano 1.50 3.85 8.25 +5.3%
Betfair 1.47 3.90 7.00 +4.0%
BetVictor 1.45 4.10 8.00 +3.0%
Dafabet 1.47 3.90 7.60 +4.0%
Marathonbet 1.47 3.92 7.30 +4.0%
Pinnacle 1.50 4.06 7.99 +5.3%
SBO 1.45 3.58 6.28 +3.0%
Superbet 1.49 4.00 7.50 +4.9%
Unibet 1.48 3.85 7.50 +4.4%
William Hill 1.44 3.80 7.00 +2.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.84
2.5 O 2.26 U 1.62
3.5 O 4.20 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.37 10 bks
NO
1.52 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.41
Away -0.5 2.60
Away -0.75 2.28
Away -1 1.96
Away -1.25 1.67
Away -1.5 1.50
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.