AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ESTUDIANTES L.P. 44%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 4 · SAT, 08 AUG · 17:45 LOCAL
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA
4TH · 6 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W D W
FT
2 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
L W L W L
· 14TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 12' Milton Celiz (P) ⚽ 73' Antony Alonso
GOALS
Gabriel Neves
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gabriel Neves
Estudiantes L.P. · 94 mins
· 78% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.80
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.21
28%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
57%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
2
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 7'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Santiago Núñez
    EST
  2. 12'
    Goal · Penalty
    Milton Celiz
    DEP
  3. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Antony Alonso
    DEP
  4. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Carlos Quintana
    DEP
  5. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Sosa
    EST
  6. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Milton Celiz
    DEP
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    José Sosa · assist Tiago Palacios
    EST
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Valente Pierani · assist Alexis Castro
    EST
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Edwuin Cetré · assist Brian Aguirre
    EST
  10. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ramiro Funes Mori
    EST
  11. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pablo Monje · assist Yonatan Goitia
    DEP
  12. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Braian Sánchez · assist Nicolas Watson
    DEP
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alexander Díaz · assist Tomás Gonzalez
    DEP
  14. 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Antony Alonso · assist Nicolas Watson
    DEP
  15. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Antony Alonso · assist Gonzalo Flores
    DEP
  16. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Pedro Ramírez · assist Mariano Bracamonte
    DEP
  17. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Facundo Farías · assist Fabricio Pérez
    EST
  18. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Joaquin Pereyra · assist Joaquín Tobio Burgos
    EST
  19. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alexis Castro
    EST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AVG 7.3
ESTUDIANTES L.P. AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
0.2
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
28.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
231.0
PASSES
609.0
57.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
0.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
13.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA 5 shots
Milton Celiz
3/4
Antony Alonso
1/1
ESTUDIANTES L.P. 1 shots
Edwuin Cetré
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.800.21
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 12' 73' H 1.80 A 0.21 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 5-3-2
SUBSTITUTES · DEPORTIVO RIESTRA
40
Gabriel Obre...
M
27
Yonatan Goit...
D
9
Nicolás Bene...
F
35
Ángel String...
F
21
Tomás Gonzal...
F
16
Nicolas Wats...
M
3
Eric Tovo
D
13
Rodrigo Gall...
D
36
Mariano Brac...
D
6
Ignacio Gari...
D
23
Marino Arzam...
G
32
Gonzalo Flor...
F
COACH: Gustavo Benitez
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES L.P.
22
Alexis Castr...
M
29
Fabricio Pér...
F
10
Tiago Palaci...
M
17
Joaquín Tobi...
F
21
Ezequiel Pio...
M
28
Brian Aguirr...
F
52
Bautista Koc...
M
13
Gastón Bened...
D
24
Tomás Palaci...
D
20
Eric Meza
D
12
Rodrigo Borz...
G
27
Lucas Alario
F
COACH: Alexander Medina
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DEP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Andres Merlos, Argentina
DEP MANAGER
Gustavo Benitez
head coach
EST MANAGER
Alexander Medina
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
DEP WINS
0
DRAWS
2
EST WINS
100%
0 3
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D W
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA #4
Won · already at 6 pts
Knockout Phase
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #1
Lost · already at 31 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Argentinos JRS 4 4 0 0 +6 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 0 +4 10
D W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
W L W D L
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W L L
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D W D L L
2 Instituto Cordoba 4 3 0 1 +2 9
W W W L W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L L L
2 Gimnasia L.P. 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W W L L
3 Barracas Central 4 3 0 1 +1 9
L W W W L
3 Defensa Y Justicia 4 2 1 1 -1 7
W L W D L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D W W W L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Deportivo Riestra 4 2 0 2 +3 6
W L L W D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Belgrano Cordoba 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W L L L D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Independiente 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L L W W L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W D L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L L W W L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Tigre 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D W L D
6 Huracan 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W L
6 Gimnasia M. 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L W L W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W L L
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L L W L D
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W D L W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Independ. Rivadavia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W L W D L
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Central Cordoba de Santiago 4 2 0 2 -1 6
W W L L L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W L L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W L D L
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Boca Juniors 4 1 2 1 -2 5
D W D L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Rosario Central 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W W D L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L L D W L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L W W W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W W L W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Newells Old Boys 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L D L W D
9 Sarmiento Junin 4 2 0 2 0 6
W W L L L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W D W L D
10 Union Santa Fe 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L W L D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W L W D L
10 Atletico Tucuman 4 1 2 1 +1 5
L D W D W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
L W L W W
11 Racing Club 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L L D W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W L L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Platense 4 1 1 2 -4 4
W L L D L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W L L D L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L D W L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L D W L W
12 Talleres Cordoba 3 1 0 2 +1 3
W L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
W W L L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L D L W L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
L D W D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Lanus 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W L D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 0 3 -2 3
L L W L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L L L D D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
L D L W D
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Aldosivi 4 0 1 3 -3 1
L L L D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L D L W L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 River Plate 4 0 0 4 -4 0
L L L L L
15 San Lorenzo 4 1 0 3 -3 3
L L W L L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W L L W D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Alexis Castro
    Foul
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Joaquin Pereyra
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Facundo Farías
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Pedro Ramírez
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Antony Alonso
  • 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Antony Alonso
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alexander Díaz
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Braian Sánchez
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pablo Monje
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ramiro Funes Mori
    Foul
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Edwuin Cetré
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Valente Pierani
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · José Sosa
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Milton Celiz
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Sosa
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Carlos Quintana
    Foul
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Antony Alonso
    Foul
  • 12'
    Goal · Penalty · Milton Celiz
  • 7'
    Card · Yellow Card · Santiago Núñez
    Foul
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
DEPORTIVO RIESTR WIN
2.81
35.6% implied
↑ best 3.10
DRAW
2.69
37.2% implied
↑ best 2.88
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
2.94
34% implied
↑ best 3.20

Market favors draw. AI projects ESTUDIANTES L.P. 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ESTUDIANTES L.P. 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.72 2.78 2.90 +9.5%
1xBet 2.81 2.74 3.01 +10.8%
888Sport 2.75 2.63 2.90 +9.5%
Bet365 2.70 2.88 3.00 +10.7%
Betano 2.82 2.75 3.00 +10.7%
Betfair 2.80 2.63 3.00 +10.7%
BetVictor 2.80 2.70 3.00 +10.7%
Dafabet 2.85 2.70 2.85 +8.9%
Marathonbet 2.76 2.69 2.96 +10.2%
Pinnacle 2.89 2.75 3.08 +11.5%
SBO 3.10 2.47 2.48 +3.7%
Superbet 2.70 2.72 3.20 +12.8%
Unibet 2.95 2.63 2.90 +9.5%
William Hill 2.75 2.62 2.90 +9.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.80 U 2.00
2.5 O 3.43 U 1.29
3.5 O 7.54 U 1.07
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.50 11 bks
NO
1.47 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.61
Away -0.5 1.44
Away -0.75 1.28
Away -1 1.13
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.08
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.