GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · BOCA JUNIORS 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 4 · SAT, 08 AUG · 22:15 LOCAL
BOCA JUNIORS
7TH · 5 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L L D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
VELEZ SARSFIELD
W W W L D
· 1ST · 10 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 39' Santiago Ascacíbar
GOALS
⚽ 12' Diego Valdés
Leandro Paredes
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Leandro Paredes
Boca Juniors · Captain · 95 mins
· 75% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.95
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.72
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
27
TOTAL SHOTS
8
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Diego Valdés
    VEL
  2. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lautaro Blanco
    BOC
  3. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Santiago Ascacíbar
    BOC
  4. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    VEL
  5. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Robertone
    VEL
  6. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ayrton Costa
    BOC
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Diego Valdés · assist Simon Escobar
    VEL
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ayrton Costa · assist Marco Pellegrino
    BOC
  9. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Elías Gómez
    VEL
  10. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matías Pellegrini
    VEL
  11. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Miguel Merentiel · assist Milton Giménez
    BOC
  12. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dilan Godoy · assist Thiago Aguirre
    VEL
  13. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Elías Gómez · assist Claudio Baeza
    VEL
  14. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tomás Aranda · assist Alan Velasco
    BOC
  15. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Leonel Flores · assist Sebastián Villa
    BOC
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lucas Robertone · assist Luca Feler
    VEL
  17. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Manuel Lanzini · assist Alex Verón
    VEL
  18. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joaquín García
    VEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BOCA JUNIORS AVG 7.7
VELEZ SARSFIELD AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
0.7
27.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
9.0
ON TARGET
4.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
553.0
PASSES
397.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
2.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BOCA JUNIORS 12 shots
Santiago Ascacíbar
3/6
Leandro Paredes
1/4
Milton Delgado
0/2
VELEZ SARSFIELD 2 shots
Thiago Silvero
1/1
Diego Valdés
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.95 – 0.72
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 39' 12' H 1.95 A 0.72 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 39%
61% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
ÁLVARO MO
3
LAUTARO B
32
AYRTON CO
 7.3
2
LAUTARO D
17
LEANDRO L
 7.3
18
MILTON DE
 9.0
5
LEANDRO P
 7.5
25
SANTIAGO
10
TOMáS ARA
16
MIGUEL ME
19
LEONEL FL
 8.5
1
TOMáS MAR
3
ELíAS GóM
 7.0
2
EMANUEL M
 7.9
32
THIAGO SI
4
JOAQUíN G
8
LUCAS ROB
29
RODRIGO A
22
MANUEL LA
 7.2
10
DIEGO VAL
11
MATíAS PE
15
DILAN GOD
SUBSTITUTES · BOCA JUNIORS
27
Malcom Braid...
M
15
Williams Ala...
M
21
Kevin Zenón
M
23
Camilo Rey D...
M
4
Nicolás Figa...
D
24
Dylan Gorosi...
D
12
Leandro Brey
G
22
Sebastián Vi...
F
9
Milton Gimén...
F
20
Alan Velasco
M
26
Marco Pelleg...
D
11
Ángel Romero
F
COACH: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
SUBSTITUTES · VELEZ SARSFIELD
47
Alexis Perey...
D
19
Leo Cristald...
D
16
Lisandro Mag...
D
37
Juan Cruz Po...
F
34
Alvaro Busso
G
25
Franco Villa...
G
17
Alex Verón
F
48
Luca Feler
M
39
Thiago Aguir...
F
5
Claudio Baez...
M
18
Simon Escoba...
D
30
Lautaro Piol...
F
COACH: Guilermo Barros Schelotto
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BOC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Y. Perez
—
BOC MANAGER
Rodolfo Arruabarrena
head coach
VEL MANAGER
Guilermo Barros Schelotto
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
BOC WINS
2
DRAWS
3
VEL WINS
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
15 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.78
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
09 Feb 2026
Velez Sarsfield
2 – 1
Boca Juniors
L
14 Jun 2024
Boca Juniors
1 – 0
Velez Sarsfield
W
26 Feb 2023
Velez Sarsfield
1 – 2
Boca Juniors
W
02 Oct 2022
Boca Juniors
1 – 0
Velez Sarsfield
W
10 Apr 2022
Velez Sarsfield
0 – 0
Boca Juniors
D
BOCA JUNIORS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L D
VELEZ SARSFIELD LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
BOCA JUNIORS #1
Lost · already at 159 pts
VELEZ SARSFIELD #1
Lost · already at 10 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 0 +4 10
D W W W L
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W L L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
W L W D L
1 Argentinos JRS 4 4 0 0 +6 12
W W W W L
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Gimnasia L.P. 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W W L L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L L L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D W D L L
2 Instituto Cordoba 4 3 0 1 +2 9
W W W L W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Defensa Y Justicia 4 2 1 1 -1 7
W L W D L
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D W W W L
3 Barracas Central 4 3 0 1 +1 9
L W W W L
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
4 Deportivo Riestra 4 2 0 2 +3 6
W L L W D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D L L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W L L L D
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Belgrano Cordoba 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Tigre 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L L W W L
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W D L W W
5 Independiente 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L L W W L
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W L L
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L L W L D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Gimnasia M. 4 2 0 2 +1 6
L W L W W
6 Huracan 4 2 1 1 +2 7
W D L W L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 Boca Juniors 4 1 2 1 -2 5
D W D L L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W L L
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W D L W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Independ. Rivadavia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
W L D L W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Rosario Central 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W W D L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L L D W L
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Newells Old Boys 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L D L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Sarmiento Junin 4 2 0 2 0 6
W W L L L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W W L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L W W W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Union Santa Fe 3 1 1 1 -1 4
W L D L W
10 Atletico Tucuman 4 1 2 1 +1 5
L D W D W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W D W L D
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W L W D L
10 Platense 4 1 1 2 -4 4
W L L D L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
L W L W W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W L L L
11 Talleres Cordoba 3 1 0 2 +1 3
W L L L D
11 Racing Club 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L L D W L
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W L L D L
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Lanus 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W L D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L D W L W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Banfield 4 1 1 2 -2 4
L D W L W
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
L D W D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 0 3 -2 3
L L W L L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
W L L L D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L D L W L
14 Aldosivi 4 0 1 3 -3 1
L L L D D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L L L D D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
L D L W D
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L L D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L D L W L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 River Plate 4 0 0 4 -4 0
L L L L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W L L W D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 San Lorenzo 4 1 0 3 -3 3
L L W L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joaquín García
    Foul
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Manuel Lanzini
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lucas Robertone
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Leonel Flores
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tomás Aranda
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Elías Gómez
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dilan Godoy
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Miguel Merentiel
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matías Pellegrini
    Foul
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Elías Gómez
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ayrton Costa
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Diego Valdés
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ayrton Costa
    Foul
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Robertone
    Foul
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Santiago Ascacíbar
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lautaro Blanco
    Foul
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Diego Valdés
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
BOCA JUNIORS WIN
1.84
54.3% implied
↑ best 1.88
DRAW
3.16
31.6% implied
↑ best 3.33
VELEZ SARSFIELD WIN
4.78
20.9% implied
↑ best 5.05

Market favors Boca Juniors. AI projects BOCA JUNIORS 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOCA JUNIORS 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.87 3.20 4.50 -0.3%
1xBet 1.84 3.24 4.99 +0.1%
888Sport 1.83 3.00 4.60 -2.3%
Bet365 1.83 3.20 4.75 -0.3%
Betano 1.87 3.30 4.80 +0.7%
Betfair 1.80 3.10 5.00 -1.3%
BetVictor 1.83 3.20 5.00 -0.3%
Dafabet 1.84 3.15 4.70 -0.7%
Marathonbet 1.80 3.20 4.90 -0.3%
Pinnacle 1.86 3.33 5.05 +1.0%
SBO 1.84 2.92 4.12 -2.3%
Superbet 1.88 3.20 4.80 -0.3%
Unibet 1.81 3.15 5.00 -0.7%
William Hill 1.80 3.10 4.75 -1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.54 U 2.42
2.5 O 2.64 U 1.44
3.5 O 5.47 U 1.13
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.31 11 bks
NO
1.55 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.39
Away -0.5 1.96
Away -0.75 1.70
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.34
Away -1.5 1.27
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.