GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · RIVER PLATE 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 3 · SUN, 02 AUG · 22:15 LOCAL
RIVER PLATE
15TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
ROSARIO CENTRAL
D L W L W
· 7TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 27' Nicolás Otamendi (OG)
Franco Ibarra
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Franco Ibarra
Rosario Central · 91 mins
· 9% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.57
66%
BALL POSSESSION %
34%
25
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
57%
10
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 5'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joaquín Freitas
    RIV
  2. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lautaro Rivero
    RIV
  3. 17'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fausto Vera
    RIV
  4. 27'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Nicolás Otamendi
    ROS
  5. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Emanuel Coronel
    ROS
  6. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Martínez Quarta
    RIV
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lautaro Pereyra · assist Tomás Galván
    RIV
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fausto Vera · assist Lucas Beltrán
    RIV
  9. 65'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ángel Di María
    ROS
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joaquín Freitas · assist Juan Cruz Meza
    RIV
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vicente Pizarro · assist Federico Navarro
    ROS
  12. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Franco Ibarra
    ROS
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jaminton Campaz · assist Pol Fernández
    ROS
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Enzo Copetti · assist Tomás Badaloni
    ROS
  15. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Emanuel Coronel
    ROS
  16. 83'
    Card · Red Card
    Emanuel Coronel
    ROS
  17. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lautaro Rivero · assist Valentín Lucero
    RIV
  18. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ángel Di María · assist Facundo Mallo
    ROS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RIVER PLATE AVG 7.0
ROSARIO CENTRAL AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
0.6
25.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
3.0
17.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
66.0%
POSSESSION %
34.0%
407.0
PASSES
224.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
57.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
15.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
RIVER PLATE 3 shots
Rafael Borré
1/2
Aníbal Moreno
1/1
ROSARIO CENTRAL 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.04 – 0.57
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 27' H 2.04 A 0.57 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.0
41
SANTIAGO
13
LAUTARO R
30
NICOLáS O
28
LUCAS MAR
 7.2
29
GONZALO M
 6.9
6
ANíBAL MO
15
FAUSTO VE
 7.0
11
FACUNDO C
25
LAUTARO P
35
JOAQUíN F
 6.9
19
RAFAEL BO
 7.2
23
JEREMíAS
 6.9
3
AGUSTíN S
 7.2
13
GASTóN ÁV
 7.5
46
IGNACIO O
32
EMANUEL C
20
VICENTE P
 7.9
5
FRANCO IB
8
JAMINTON
11
ÁNGEL DI
26
GIOVANNI
22
ENZO COPE
SUBSTITUTES · RIVER PLATE
24
Juan Cruz Me...
M
44
Lucas Silva
M
43
Valentín Luc...
M
20
Giovanni Gon...
D
31
Facundo Gonz...
D
33
Ezequiel Cen...
G
26
Tomás Galván
M
18
Lucas Beltrá...
F
COACH: Eduardo Coudet
SUBSTITUTES · ROSARIO CENTRAL
19
Santiago Seg...
M
31
Federico Nav...
M
28
Pol Fernánde...
M
16
Tomás Badalo...
F
7
Marcelo Cabr...
F
47
Luca Raffin
D
2
Sebastian Za...
D
15
Facundo Mall...
D
33
Alexis Soto
D
42
Elías Verón
D
1
Axel Werner
G
39
Fabricio Ovi...
F
COACH: Jorge Almiron
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ROS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina
—
RIV MANAGER
Eduardo Coudet
head coach
ROS MANAGER
Jorge Almiron
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
RIV WINS
4
DRAWS
2
ROS WINS
40%
40%
20%
16 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 May 2026
River Plate
1 – 0
Rosario Central
W
02 Feb 2026
Rosario Central
0 – 0
River Plate
D
06 Oct 2025
Rosario Central
2 – 1
River Plate
L
30 Mar 2025
River Plate
2 – 2
Rosario Central
D
08 Dec 2024
River Plate
4 – 0
Rosario Central
W
RIVER PLATE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
ROSARIO CENTRAL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
RIVER PLATE #2
Lost · already at 29 pts
Knockout Phase
ROSARIO CENTRAL #4
Won · already at 28 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Argentinos JRS 3 3 0 0 +5 9
W W W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
W L L W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L W D L D
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L D D
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D L L W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L L W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Independiente 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Barracas Central 3 3 0 0 +3 9
W W W L D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
3 Gimnasia M. 3 2 0 1 +2 6
W L W W L
3 Gimnasia L.P. 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L L W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W W L D D
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L L D D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D L L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Instituto Cordoba 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L W D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Atletico Tucuman 2 1 1 0 +2 4
W D W D L
5 Newells Old Boys 3 1 1 1 0 4
D L W D D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W W L W L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Independ. Rivadavia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L D
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Defensa Y Justicia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D L L
6 Banfield 3 1 1 1 0 4
D W L W D
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W L L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L D D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
W L L L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 3 1 1 1 0 4
W D L L W
7 Deportivo Riestra 3 1 0 2 +1 3
L L W D W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L D W L W
8 Estudiantes L.P. 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L L W D
8 Racing Club 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L D W L W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L D L W D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W L W D
9 Lanus 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L D D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W W W L D
9 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D L W L L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L W D L L
10 Tigre 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L D L D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 San Lorenzo 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W L D L D
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Platense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D L L L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W L L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Belgrano Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W W W W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Union Santa Fe 2 0 1 1 -2 1
L D L W D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L D L L L
12 Huracan 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L W D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
D W L W D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L L D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Boca Juniors 2 0 1 1 -3 1
D L L W W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D W D L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Sarmiento Junin 3 1 0 2 -1 3
W L L L W
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L L D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D L W D D
14 Aldosivi 3 0 1 2 -2 1
L L D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Talleres Cordoba 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 River Plate 3 0 0 3 -3 0
L L L L W
15 Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D W
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L W L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
L L W D W
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ángel Di María
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lautaro Rivero
  • 83'
    Card · Red Card · Emanuel Coronel
    Foul
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Emanuel Coronel
    Foul
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Enzo Copetti
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jaminton Campaz
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Franco Ibarra
    Foul
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vicente Pizarro
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joaquín Freitas
  • 65'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ángel Di María
    Foul
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fausto Vera
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lautaro Pereyra
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Martínez Quarta
    Foul
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Emanuel Coronel
    Foul
  • 27'
    Goal · Own Goal · Nicolás Otamendi
  • 17'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fausto Vera
    Foul
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lautaro Rivero
    Foul
  • 5'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joaquín Freitas
    Diving
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
RIVER PLATE WIN
1.89
52.9% implied
↑ best 2.04
DRAW
3.12
32.1% implied
↑ best 3.24
ROSARIO CENTRAL WIN
4.59
21.8% implied
↑ best 5.32

Market favors River Plate. AI projects RIVER PLATE 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RIVER PLATE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.86 3.20 4.50 +1.8%
1xBet 1.91 3.24 4.53 +1.9%
888Sport 1.85 3.00 4.60 +2.3%
Bet365 1.85 3.10 4.75 +2.9%
Betano 1.90 3.15 4.80 +3.2%
Betfair 1.85 3.00 4.75 +2.9%
BetVictor 1.85 3.20 4.80 +3.2%
Dafabet 2.04 3.05 4.00 -1.0%
Marathonbet 1.88 3.18 4.45 +1.5%
Pinnacle 1.90 3.11 5.32 +5.2%
SBO 1.87 2.99 4.19 +0.1%
Superbet 1.90 3.20 4.70 +2.7%
Unibet 1.94 3.20 4.20 +0.2%
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.60 +2.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.53 U 2.45
2.5 O 2.61 U 1.46
3.5 O 5.32 U 1.14
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.25 11 bks
NO
1.58 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.33
Away -0.5 1.92
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.42
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.