GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · LANUS 48%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 3 · MON, 03 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
LANUS
10TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L L L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
INSTITUTO CORDOBA
W L W D L
· 4TH · 6 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 90+2' Fernando Alarcón
Carlos Izquierdoz
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Carlos Izquierdoz
Lanus · Captain · 90 mins
· 85% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.71
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.90
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
18
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
7
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonathan Galván
    INS
  2. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matías Sepúlveda
    LAN
  3. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Giuliano Cerato
    INS
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jonathan Galván · assist Fernando Alarcón
    INS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    José Canale · assist Ronaldo De Jesus
    LAN
  6. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Besozzi · assist Ramiro Carrera
    LAN
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Franco Watson · assist Dylan Aquino
    LAN
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jhon Córdoba · assist Jeremías Lázaro
    INS
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Matías Tissera · assist Nicolás Guerra
    INS
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Allan Wlk · assist Yoshan Valois
    LAN
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matías Gallardo · assist Gastón Lodico
    INS
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Felipe Peña Biafore · assist Agustín Medina
    LAN
  13. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fernando Alarcón
    INS
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Alex Luna · assist Matías Fonseca
    INS
  15. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fernando Alarcón · assist Gastón Lodico
    INS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LANUS AVG 7.5
INSTITUTO CORDOBA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
0.9
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
552.0
PASSES
333.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
6.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LANUS 2 shots
Carlos Izquierdoz
0/1
Tomás Guidara
0/1
INSTITUTO CORDOBA 5 shots
Alex Luna
1/3
Agustín Massaccesi
0/1
Matías Gallardo
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.71 – 0.90
0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 90' H 0.71 A 0.90 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
7.2
26
NAHUEL LO
6
SASHA MAR
 7.9
13
JOSé CANA
 7.9
24
CARLOS IZ
 7.2
33
TOMáS GUI
30
AGUSTíN C
5
FELIPE PE
 7.2
77
LUCAS BES
8
FRANCO WA
16
MATíAS SE
20
ALLAN WLK
29
MARCOS LE
30
JONATHAN
26
LEONEL MO
 7.3
22
AGUSTíN M
3
DIEGO ALE
 6.9
15
MATíAS GA
 7.2
55
GUSTAVO A
44
GIULIANO
 7.2
10
ALEX LUNA
20
JHON CóRD
17
MATíAS TI
SUBSTITUTES · LANUS
17
Agustín Medi...
M
19
Yoshan Valoi...
F
9
Walter Bou
F
38
Benjamin Aco...
F
39
Thiago Lapla...
M
23
Ramiro Carre...
M
3
Nicolás Morg...
D
2
Luciano Rome...
D
35
Ronaldo De J...
D
4
Gonzalo Pere...
D
1
Franco Petro...
G
25
Dylan Aquino
F
COACH: Mauricio Pellegrino
SUBSTITUTES · INSTITUTO CORDOBA
19
Gastón Lodic...
M
90
Pedro Baster
M
9
Facundo Suár...
F
11
Matías Fonse...
F
21
Jeremías Láz...
M
8
Jonas Aceved...
M
2
Hernán de la...
D
23
Juan Meli
D
32
Agustín Brav...
D
6
Fernando Ala...
D
35
Emanuel Sitt...
G
7
Nicolás Guer...
F
COACH: Diego Flores
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Nazareno Arasa, Argentina
—
LAN MANAGER
Mauricio Pellegrino
head coach
INS MANAGER
Diego Flores
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
LAN WINS
2
DRAWS
2
INS WINS
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
10 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
2.83
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 6
04 Feb 2026
Instituto Cordoba
2 – 2
Lanus
D
28 Sep 2025
Instituto Cordoba
0 – 0
Lanus
D
17 Mar 2025
Lanus
4 – 1
Instituto Cordoba
W
07 Dec 2024
Lanus
2 – 0
Instituto Cordoba
W
25 Jul 2023
Instituto Cordoba
2 – 1
Lanus
L
LANUS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L L
INSTITUTO CORDOBA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
LANUS #6
Lost · already at 24 pts
Knockout Phase
INSTITUTO CORDOBA #4
Won · already at 6 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
W L L W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L W D L D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Argentinos JRS 3 3 0 0 +5 9
W W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Velez Sarsfield 3 3 0 0 +4 9
W W W L D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D L L W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L L W
2 Independiente 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W W L W
2 Barracas Central 3 3 0 0 +3 9
W W W L D
3 Gimnasia M. 3 2 0 1 +2 6
W L W W L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W W W L D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Gimnasia L.P. 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D L L W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Instituto Cordoba 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L W D
4 Atletico Tucuman 3 1 2 0 +2 5
D W D W D
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W L L L D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W W W
5 Newells Old Boys 3 1 1 1 0 4
D L W D D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independ. Rivadavia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W L L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L D D
6 Defensa Y Justicia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D L L
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
6 Banfield 3 1 1 1 0 4
D W L W D
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L W L L L
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
D L W L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Talleres Cordoba 3 1 0 2 +1 3
W L L L D
7 Rosario Central 3 1 1 1 0 4
W D L L W
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L D L W D
8 Huracan 3 1 1 1 0 4
D L W L W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Deportivo Riestra 3 1 0 2 +1 3
L L W D W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L D W L W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Estudiantes L.P. 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L L W D
9 Racing Club 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L D W L W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W L W D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W W W L D
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W L D L D
10 Lanus 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L D D
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L W D L L
10 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D L W L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Tigre 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L D L D
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W W L
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 San Lorenzo 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L W L L L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W L L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
D W L W D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Belgrano Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W W W W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Central Cordoba de Santiago 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
W L L L D
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Sarmiento Junin 3 1 0 2 -1 3
W L L L W
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W D W D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Union Santa Fe 2 0 1 1 -2 1
L D L W D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L L D D L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Boca Juniors 2 0 1 1 -3 1
D L L W W
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D L W D D
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 3 0 1 2 -2 1
L L D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 River Plate 3 0 0 3 -3 0
L L L L W
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
L L W D W
15 Platense 3 0 1 2 -5 1
L L D L L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fernando Alarcón
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Alex Luna
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fernando Alarcón
    Delay of game
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Felipe Peña Biafore
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matías Gallardo
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Allan Wlk
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Matías Tissera
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jhon Córdoba
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Franco Watson
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Besozzi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · José Canale
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jonathan Galván
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Giuliano Cerato
    Foul
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matías Sepúlveda
    Foul
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonathan Galván
    Foul
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
LANUS WIN
2.11
47.4% implied
↑ best 2.18
DRAW
2.96
33.8% implied
↑ best 3.10
INSTITUTO CORDOB WIN
3.93
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.16

Market favors Lanus. AI projects LANUS 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LANUS 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 2.96 3.80 +0.8%
1xBet 2.10 3.10 3.95 +0.4%
888Sport 2.10 2.88 3.80 +0.4%
Bet365 2.10 3.00 4.00 +0.4%
Betano 2.12 3.00 4.05 +0.8%
Betfair 2.10 2.88 4.00 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.10 3.00 4.00 +0.4%
Dafabet 2.07 2.95 4.00 -0.3%
Marathonbet 2.06 3.04 3.88 -0.5%
Pinnacle 2.17 3.00 4.16 +1.9%
SBO 2.18 2.77 3.45 +2.1%
Superbet 2.15 3.00 4.00 +1.5%
Unibet 2.07 3.00 4.10 -0.3%
William Hill 2.10 2.88 3.80 +0.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.59 U 2.30
2.5 O 2.82 U 1.40
3.5 O 5.87 U 1.12
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.27 11 bks
NO
1.57 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.03
Away -0.5 1.71
Away -0.75 1.51
Away -1 1.29
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.