GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ESTUDIANTES L.P. 58%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 3 · SAT, 01 AUG · 21:00 LOCAL
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
6TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L D
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA
W D L L L
· 4TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' Guido Carrillo ⚽ 16' Ezequiel Piovi ⚽ 36' Tomás Palacios
GOALS
⚽ 87' David Barbona (P)
Fernando Muslera
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Fernando Muslera
Estudiantes L.P. · 93 mins
· 18% pass acc
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.99
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.54
41%
BALL POSSESSION %
59%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
20
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guido Carrillo · assist Eric Meza
    EST
  2. 14'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lucas Souto · assist Ayrton Portillo
    DEF
  3. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ezequiel Piovi · assist Tiago Palacios
    EST
  4. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fabricio Pérez
    EST
  5. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    David Barbona
    DEF
  6. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Damián Fernández
    DEF
  7. 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tomás Palacios · assist Guido Carrillo
    EST
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Máximo Rodríguez · assist Fernando Román
    DEF
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Leandro Fernández · assist Tomás Pérez
    DEF
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Santiago Sosa · assist Domingo Blanco
    DEF
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tiago Palacios · assist José Sosa
    EST
  12. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexis Castro · assist Gabriel Neves
    EST
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Fabricio Pérez · assist Brian Aguirre
    EST
  14. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tomás Palacios · assist Ramiro Funes Mori
    EST
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Agustín Hausch · assist Ramiro Gagliardi
    DEF
  16. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Guido Carrillo · assist Lucas Alario
    EST
  17. 87'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    David Barbona · assist David Barbona
    DEF
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTUDIANTES L.P. AVG 8.0
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.5
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
9.0
ON TARGET
8.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
41.0%
POSSESSION %
59.0%
329.0
PASSES
472.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
8.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTUDIANTES L.P. 6 shots
Ezequiel Piovi
2/2
Guido Carrillo
2/2
Tomás Palacios
1/1
Tiago Palacios
0/1
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 3 shots
César Pérez
0/1
Ayrton Portillo
0/1
Tomás Pérez
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.99 – 1.54
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 9' 16' 36' 87' H 1.99 A 1.54 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
8.7
16
FERNANDO
13
GASTóN BE
 7.6
24
TOMáS PAL
4
SANTIAGO
20
ERIC MEZA
22
ALEXIS CA
 8.3
21
EZEQUIEL
17
JOAQUíN T
 7.2
10
TIAGO PAL
29
FABRICIO
 8.2
9
GUIDO CAR
 7.0
1
MATíAS BO
40
MáXIMO RO
2
SAMUEL LU
29
DAMIáN FE
33
LUCAS SOU
15
SANTIAGO
 7.9
8
CéSAR PéR
24
JUAN MANU
19
DAVID BAR
17
AGUSTíN H
9
LEANDRO F
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES L.P.
28
Brian Aguirr...
F
8
Gabriel Neve...
M
27
Lucas Alario
F
18
Edwuin Cetré
F
11
Facundo Farí...
M
52
Bautista Koc...
M
36
Joaquin Pere...
D
26
Ramiro Funes...
D
40
Eros Mancuso
D
1
Fabricio Iac...
G
7
José Sosa
M
19
Adolfo Gaich
F
COACH: Alexander Medina
SUBSTITUTES · DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA
44
Jonás Cabrer...
M
25
Facundo Alta...
F
23
Mateo Aguiar
M
41
Ramiro Gagli...
F
28
Valentín Loz...
D
13
Mateo López
D
36
Lautaro Amad...
G
7
Tomás Pérez
F
27
Domingo Blan...
M
3
Fernando Rom...
D
16
Ayrton Porti...
M
45
Thiago Martí...
M
COACH: Mariano Soso
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DEF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Sebastian Nicolas Martinez, Argentina
—
EST MANAGER
Alexander Medina
head coach
DEF MANAGER
Mariano Soso
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
EST WINS
2
DRAWS
4
DEF WINS
40%
20%
40%
8 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
02 Feb 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
0 – 0
Estudiantes L.P.
D
22 Sep 2025
Estudiantes L.P.
1 – 0
Defensa Y Justicia
W
09 Mar 2025
Defensa Y Justicia
1 – 0
Estudiantes L.P.
L
28 Sep 2024
Estudiantes L.P.
1 – 0
Defensa Y Justicia
W
14 May 2023
Defensa Y Justicia
1 – 1
Estudiantes L.P.
D
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L D
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #1
Won · already at 31 pts
Playoffs
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA #4
Lost · already at 4 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Argentinos JRS 3 3 0 0 +5 9
W W W L W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L D D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
W D L D W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
W L L W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Independiente 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Barracas Central 2 2 0 0 +2 6
W W L D D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Gimnasia M. 3 2 0 1 +2 6
W L W W L
3 Atletico Tucuman 2 1 1 0 +2 4
W D W D L
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W W L D D
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
4 Independ. Rivadavia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
W D L D W
4 Defensa Y Justicia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D L L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
D L L W W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L L D D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W W L W L
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Banfield 3 1 1 1 0 4
D W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Deportivo Riestra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
L W D W L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W L L W W
6 Estudiantes L.P. 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L L W D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Racing Club 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L D W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
W L L L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W L W D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D L W L L
7 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L D L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Tigre 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Instituto Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L W D L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L D W L W
9 San Lorenzo 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W L W D L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W W L D D
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L W D L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Huracan 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L W D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Newells Old Boys 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W D D W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W L D L D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Platense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D L L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W W L
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L D L L L
12 Union Santa Fe 2 0 1 1 -2 1
L D L W D
12 Rosario Central 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L L W W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
D W L W D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L L D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Aldosivi 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Talleres Cordoba 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D W D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
14 Sarmiento Junin 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L L W L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
L W D D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 River Plate 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L L W W
15 Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D W
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L W L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
L W D W L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · David Barbona
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Guido Carrillo
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Agustín Hausch
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tomás Palacios
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Fabricio Pérez
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Castro
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tiago Palacios
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Santiago Sosa
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Leandro Fernández
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Máximo Rodríguez
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tomás Palacios
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Damián Fernández
    Foul
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · David Barbona
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fabricio Pérez
    Foul
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ezequiel Piovi
  • 14'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lucas Souto
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guido Carrillo
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
1.64
61% implied
↑ best 1.67
DRAW
3.45
29% implied
↑ best 3.60
DEFENSA Y JUSTIC WIN
6.03
16.6% implied
↑ best 6.50

Market favors Estudiantes L.P.. AI projects ESTUDIANTES L.P. 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ESTUDIANTES L.P. 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.64 3.40 6.00 -0.7%
1xBet 1.64 3.60 6.05 -0.5%
888Sport 1.62 3.30 5.75 -1.4%
Bet365 1.65 3.40 6.50 +0.6%
Betano 1.67 3.45 6.20 -0.1%
Betfair 1.62 3.50 6.00 -0.7%
BetVictor 1.62 3.50 6.50 +0.6%
Dafabet 1.63 3.45 6.00 -0.7%
Marathonbet 1.61 3.54 5.95 -0.8%
Pinnacle 1.66 3.56 6.47 +0.5%
SBO 1.65 3.23 5.13 -2.6%
Superbet 1.66 3.50 6.00 -0.7%
Unibet 1.62 3.60 6.10 -0.4%
William Hill 1.62 3.30 5.80 -1.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.49 U 2.56
2.5 O 2.47 U 1.51
3.5 O 4.89 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.34 11 bks
NO
1.54 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.82
Away -0.5 2.25
Away -0.75 1.97
Away -1 1.65
Away -1.25 1.48
Away -1.5 1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.