GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 2 · THU, 06 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
UNION SANTA FE
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
LANUS
⚽ 53' Lucas Menossi ⚽ 76' Joaquin Mosqueira
GOALS
⚽ 73' Felipe Peña Biafore
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 35/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
UNI
1 – 0
LAN
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS UNION SANTA FE TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
UNI WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
LAN WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Data severely corrupted; treat as weak heuristic. Home slight edge on venue only.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY UNION SANTA FE FAVORED
48%
League standings contain multiple duplicate/impossible entries (players cannot have 120+ pts or 0 GF/GA)
+25.0%
Union Santa Fe home form mixed (DLWDD) vs Lanus' disastrous away form creates venue edge, but data quality too poor for confidence
+15.0%
WHY LANUS CHALLENGED
24%
Lanus road form is 0-5 (0 wins) — extreme negative signal if data valid
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • League standings contain multiple duplicate/impossible entries (players cannot have 120+ pts or 0 GF/GA)
  • Union Santa Fe home form mixed (DLWDD) vs Lanus' disastrous away form creates venue edge, but data quality too poor for confidence
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 53' LUCAS MENO ⚽ 73' FELIPE PE� ⚽ 76' JOAQUIN MO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.34
48.0%
2.08
+12.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.64
42.0%
2.38
+11.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.38
72.0%
1.39
-0.4%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
76.0%
1.32
-1.4%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
52.0%
1.92
-18.4%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.40
24.0%
4.17
-18.5%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.88
28.0%
3.57
-19.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.10
38.0%
2.63
-20.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.