AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SAN LORENZO 42%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 2 · TUE, 28 JUL · 22:00 LOCAL
SAN LORENZO
6TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L W D
FT
1 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
GIMNASIA M.
W W L W L
· 7TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 86' Rodrigo Auzmendi
GOALS
Mathias de Ritis
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mathias de Ritis
San Lorenzo · 91 mins
· 28% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.93
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
13
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Facundo Gulli · assist Nahuel Barrios
    SAN
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Diego Mondino · assist Lautaro Carrera
    GIM
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gonzalo Alassia · assist Juan Rattalino
    SAN
  4. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matias Recalde
    GIM
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Agustin Ladstatter · assist Gregorio Rodriguez
    SAN
  6. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Julian Ceballos
    GIM
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Agustín Modica · assist Valentino Simoni
    GIM
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ignacio Sabatini · assist Luciano Cingolani
    GIM
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Julian Ceballos · assist Ulises Sánchez
    GIM
  10. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luciano Cingolani
    GIM
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Esteban Fernández · assist Blas Armoa
    GIM
  12. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Facundo Lencioni
    GIM
  13. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rodrigo Auzmendi · assist Gregorio Rodriguez
    SAN
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ezequiel Herrera · assist Guzmán Corujo
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN LORENZO AVG 7.6
GIMNASIA M. AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
0.9
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
445.0
PASSES
420.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
14.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN LORENZO 5 shots
Rodrigo Auzmendi
2/3
Alexis Cuello
0/2
GIMNASIA M. 3 shots
Facundo Lencioni
0/2
Ezequiel Muñoz
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.040.93
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 86' H 1.04 A 0.93 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 36%
64% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
SUBSTITUTES · SAN LORENZO
16
Guzmán Coruj...
D
15
Mauricio Car...
M
5
Ignacio Perr...
M
19
Facundo Brue...
F
54
Nicolás Blan...
D
3
Teo Rodrígue...
D
20
Facundo Alta...
G
17
Gregorio Rod...
F
13
Juan Rattali...
M
28
Nahuel Barri...
M
44
Matías Herná...
F
COACH: Nestor Gorosito
SUBSTITUTES · GIMNASIA M.
32
Luciano Pare...
D
5
Nahuel Barbo...
M
10
Nicolás Roma...
F
11
Santiago Rod...
F
41
Gerónimo Pat...
M
16
Germán Guiff...
D
31
Lautaro Petr...
G
35
Valentino Si...
F
7
Luciano Cing...
F
15
Ulises Sánch...
M
42
Lautaro Carr...
M
27
Blas Armoa
F
COACH: Ariel Broggi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GIM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Fernando Echenique, Argentina
SAN MANAGER
Nestor Gorosito
head coach
GIM MANAGER
Ariel Broggi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
SAN WINS
0
DRAWS
0
GIM WINS
100%
1 0
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
SAN LORENZO LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W D
GIMNASIA M. LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
SAN LORENZO #6
Won · already at 3 pts
Knockout Phase
GIMNASIA M. #7
Lost · already at 3 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Deportivo Riestra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
W D W L L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W D W
1 Argentinos JRS 2 2 0 0 +4 6
W W L W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L D W D
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Racing Club 2 1 1 0 +1 4
D W L W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L W W W
2 Independiente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
W L W L W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W L D D D
3 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Belgrano Cordoba 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
D L L W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L D D W
4 Newells Old Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W D D W D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Huracan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W L W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Velez Sarsfield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D D
5 Barracas Central 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
6 Banfield 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L W D D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 San Lorenzo 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2 1 0 1 -2 3
L W L L L
7 Gimnasia M. 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W W L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
W L L L W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Platense 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L D
8 Aldosivi 1 0 1 0 0 1
D D L D L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
D L W D D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
D W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
L W D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Union Santa Fe 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L W D D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W L D D W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Atletico Tucuman 1 0 1 0 0 1
D W D L D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
L D L D D
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
D L L L L
10 Independ. Rivadavia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L D W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
L W W L W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L L W L
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Central Cordoba de Santiago 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D W L
11 Rosario Central 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L L W W
12 Gimnasia L.P. 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
D L L L D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W L W D D
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Talleres Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Instituto Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D L W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Tigre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L D L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L D W L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D D L D L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L L W D W
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 River Plate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W D D W D
15 Sarmiento Junin 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L L W L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L W L L L
15 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W D W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ezequiel Herrera
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rodrigo Auzmendi
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Facundo Lencioni
    Foul
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Esteban Fernández
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luciano Cingolani
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Julian Ceballos
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ignacio Sabatini
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Agustín Modica
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Julian Ceballos
    Foul
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Agustin Ladstatter
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matias Recalde
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gonzalo Alassia
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Diego Mondino
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Facundo Gulli
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SAN LORENZO WIN
1.97
50.8% implied
↑ best 2.02
DRAW
3.09
32.4% implied
↑ best 3.22
GIMNASIA M. WIN
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.54

Market favors San Lorenzo. AI projects SAN LORENZO 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN LORENZO 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.99 3.00 4.20 +6.2%
1xBet 1.96 3.18 4.37 +7.1%
Bet365 1.95 3.10 4.33 +6.9%
Betano 2.00 3.15 4.30 +6.7%
Betfair 1.95 3.00 4.33 +6.9%
BetVictor 1.95 3.20 4.20 +6.2%
Dafabet 1.97 3.10 4.20 +6.2%
Marathonbet 1.93 3.12 4.30 +6.7%
Pinnacle 1.98 3.22 4.54 +8.0%
SBO 1.98 2.97 3.76 +3.4%
Superbet 2.02 3.15 4.20 +6.2%
Unibet 1.98 3.05 4.40 +7.3%
William Hill 1.95 2.90 4.20 +6.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.50 U 2.53
2.5 O 2.56 U 1.49
3.5 O 5.12 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.17 10 bks
NO
1.62 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.19
Away -0.5 1.83
Away -0.75 1.59
Away -1 1.37
Away -1.25 1.29
Away -1.5 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.