AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 78% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 79 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 2 · THU, 30 JUL · 22:00 LOCAL
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
4TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L D D
FT
2 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
HURACAN
W L W D L
· 10TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 22' Alex Arce ⚽ 45+1' José Florentín
GOALS
⚽ 47' Oscar Cortés
Matías Fernández
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Matías Fernández
Independ. Rivadavia · 83 mins
🅰 2 assists · 16% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.01
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.00
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
13
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
71%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
3
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 14'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Fabrizio Sartori
    IND
  2. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alex Arce · assist Matías Fernández
    IND
  3. 31'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luciano Gómez · assist Alessandro Riep
    IND
  4. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    José Florentín · assist Matías Fernández
    IND
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Fabio Pereyra · assist Facundo Kalinger
    HUR
  6. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Oscar Cortés · assist César Ibáñez
    HUR
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    César Ibáñez · assist Leandro Lescano
    HUR
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gonzalo Ríos · assist Leonel Bucca
    IND
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Fabrizio Sartori · assist Kevin Vázquez
    IND
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Oscar Cortés · assist Alejandro Martínez
    HUR
  11. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Alessandro Riep · assist Alejo Osella
    IND
  12. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matías Fernández · assist Iván Villalba
    IND
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Emmanuel Ojeda · assist Óscar Romero
    HUR
  14. 90'
    Card · Red Card
    Leandro Lescano
    HUR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA AVG 7.7
HURACAN AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.0
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
7.0
ON TARGET
6.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
8.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
263.0
PASSES
476.0
71.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
6.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
8.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 10 shots
Alex Arce
2/5
José Florentín
2/3
Matías Fernández
1/2
HURACAN 5 shots
Oscar Cortés
2/2
Facundo Kalinger
1/2
Leonardo Gil
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.011.00
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 22' 45' 47' H 2.01 A 1.00 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 5-3-2
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
34
Stefano More...
M
27
Diego Crego
M
45
Luciano Sába...
F
19
Rodrigo Aten...
F
77
Luis Sequeir...
M
13
Alejo Osella
D
40
Iván Villalb...
D
21
Emmanuel Góm...
G
32
Kevin Vázque...
M
8
Leonel Bucca
M
20
Alessandro R...
M
7
Victorio Ram...
F
COACH: Alfredo Berti
SUBSTITUTES · HURACAN
10
Óscar Romero
M
11
Thaiel Peral...
M
14
Alejandro Ma...
M
41
Lautaro Mora
F
4
Federico Ver...
D
3
Lucas Carriz...
D
34
Ignacio Camp...
D
32
Sebastián Me...
G
19
Leandro Lesc...
D
24
Facundo Kali...
M
49
Tomás Uribe
M
COACH: Diego Martinez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Pablo Dovalo, Argentina
IND MANAGER
Alfredo Berti
head coach
HUR MANAGER
Diego Martinez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
IND WINS
3
DRAWS
5
HUR WINS
20%
30%
50%
8 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 4 / 10
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D D
HURACAN LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA #1
Won · already at 34 pts
Qualified for Copa Libertadores 2027 and Supercopa Internacional 2026
HURACAN #7
Lost · already at 22 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Argentinos JRS 3 3 0 0 +5 9
W W W L W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L D D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
W D L D W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
W L L W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Independiente 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Barracas Central 2 2 0 0 +2 6
W W L D D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Gimnasia M. 3 2 0 1 +2 6
W L W W L
3 Atletico Tucuman 2 1 1 0 +2 4
W D W D L
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W W L D D
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
4 Independ. Rivadavia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
W D L D W
4 Defensa Y Justicia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D L L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
D L L W W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L L D D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W W L W L
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Banfield 3 1 1 1 0 4
D W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Deportivo Riestra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
L W D W L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W L L W W
6 Estudiantes L.P. 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L L W D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Racing Club 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L D W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
W L L L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W L W D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D L W L L
7 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L D L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Tigre 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Instituto Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L W D L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L D W L W
9 San Lorenzo 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W L W D L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W W L D D
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L W D L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Huracan 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L W D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Newells Old Boys 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W D D W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W L D L D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Platense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D L L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W W L
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L D L L L
12 Union Santa Fe 2 0 1 1 -2 1
L D L W D
12 Rosario Central 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L L W W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
D W L W D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L L D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Aldosivi 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Talleres Cordoba 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D W D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
14 Sarmiento Junin 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L L W L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
L W D D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 River Plate 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L L W W
15 Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D W
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L W L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
L W D W L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Red Card · Leandro Lescano
    Serious foul
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Emmanuel Ojeda
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matías Fernández
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Alessandro Riep
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Oscar Cortés
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Fabrizio Sartori
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gonzalo Ríos
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · César Ibáñez
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Oscar Cortés
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Fabio Pereyra
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · José Florentín
  • 31'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luciano Gómez
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alex Arce
  • 14'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Fabrizio Sartori
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
INDEPEND. RIVADA WIN
1.97
50.8% implied
↑ best 2.14
DRAW
2.98
33.6% implied
↑ best 3.05
HURACAN WIN
4.57
21.9% implied
↑ best 5.00

Market favors Independ. Rivadavia. AI projects INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 78% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.96 3.05 4.30 +27.0%
1xBet 1.97 3.00 4.74 +27.2%
Bet365 1.91 3.00 5.00 +25.6%
Betano 1.98 3.05 4.70 +27.5%
Betfair 1.95 2.90 4.60 +26.7%
BetVictor 1.95 3.00 4.75 +26.7%
Dafabet 1.92 3.00 4.70 +25.9%
Marathonbet 1.95 2.91 4.65 +26.7%
Pinnacle 1.98 3.04 4.95 +27.5%
SBO 2.14 2.77 3.55 +31.3%
Superbet 1.97 3.05 4.70 +27.2%
Unibet 2.02 3.05 4.20 +28.5%
William Hill 1.91 2.88 4.60 +25.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.64 U 2.23
2.5 O 2.96 U 1.37
3.5 O 6.40 U 1.10
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.44 10 bks
NO
1.50 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.21
Away -0.5 1.83
Away -0.75 1.60
Away -1 1.37
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.21
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.