GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · INDEPENDIENTE 48%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 2 · FRI, 31 JUL · 00:15 LOCAL
INDEPENDIENTE
2ND · 6 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W L W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NEWELLS OLD BOYS
W D D W D
· 10TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' Santiago Montiel
GOALS
Santiago Montiel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Santiago Montiel
Independiente · 87 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 20% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.11
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
2
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
7
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 31'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Walter Nuñez · assist Lautaro Rios
    NEW
  2. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Santiago Montiel
    IND
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Fedorco
    IND
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Walter Mazzantti · assist Alan Soñora
    NEW
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matías Abaldo · assist Maxi Meza
    IND
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sebastián Valdez · assist Kevin Lomónaco
    IND
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mateo Perez Curci · assist David Martínez
    IND
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Juan Ignacio Ramírez · assist Matías Cóccaro
    NEW
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Facundo Guch · assist Jeronimo Russo
    NEW
  10. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luca Regiardo
    NEW
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Leonardo Godoy · assist Santiago Arias
    IND
  12. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Franco Escobar
    NEW
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Martín Luciano · assist Francisco Scarpeccio
    NEW
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Santiago Montiel · assist Luciano Cabral
    IND
  15. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    David Martínez
    IND
  16. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Francisco Scarpeccio
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INDEPENDIENTE AVG 7.4
NEWELLS OLD BOYS AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
0.1
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
2.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
388.0
PASSES
412.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INDEPENDIENTE 2 shots
Santiago Montiel
2/2
NEWELLS OLD BOYS 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.59 – 0.11
0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 HT 41' H 0.59 A 0.11 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
33
RODRIGO R
22
FACUNDO Z
36
SEBASTIáN
13
JUAN FEDO
 7.5
29
LEONARDO
 7.2
23
IVáN MARC
 6.9
16
MATEO PER
19
MATíAS AB
 8.2
7
SANTIAGO
28
MAXIMILIA
9
G. ÁVALOS
 7.0
30
JOSUé REI
 7.3
3
MARTíN LU
 7.3
17
LAUTARO G
 6.7
25
BRUNO CAB
24
FRANCO ES
 6.9
5
LUCA REGI
8
DAVID SOT
33
WALTER NU
20
FACUNDO G
7
WALTER MA
99
JUAN IGNA
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPENDIENTE
32
David Martín...
M
37
Joel Medina
M
10
Luciano Cabr...
M
34
Felipe Tempo...
F
14
Lautaro Mill...
M
3
Jonathan De...
D
35
Juan Miguel...
D
26
Kevin Lomóna...
D
4
Santiago Ari...
D
1
Joaquín Bláz...
G
8
Maxi Meza
F
18
Facundo Vald...
F
COACH: Gustavo Quinteros
SUBSTITUTES · NEWELLS OLD BOYS
2
Ian Glavinov...
D
34
Tomás Viola
M
35
Blas Benedet...
M
36
Francisco Sc...
F
22
Óscar Salomó...
D
28
Jeronimo Rus...
F
23
Nicolás Goit...
D
21
Gabriel Aria...
G
15
Alan Soñora
M
39
Lautaro Rios
M
9
Matías Cócca...
F
COACH: Lucas Bernardi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Pablo Echavarria, Argentina
—
IND MANAGER
Gustavo Quinteros
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Lucas Bernardi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
IND WINS
2
DRAWS
4
NEW WINS
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
10 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.44
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Jan 2026
Newells Old Boys
1 – 1
Independiente
D
26 Nov 2024
Newells Old Boys
2 – 1
Independiente
L
11 Jul 2023
Independiente
0 – 2
Newells Old Boys
L
24 Sep 2022
Independiente
1 – 0
Newells Old Boys
W
31 Oct 2021
Newells Old Boys
1 – 0
Independiente
L
INDEPENDIENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L W
NEWELLS OLD BOYS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
INDEPENDIENTE #2
Won · already at 6 pts
Knockout Phase
NEWELLS OLD BOYS #10
Lost · already at 3 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Argentinos JRS 3 3 0 0 +5 9
W W W L W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L D D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
W D L D W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
W L L W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Independiente 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Barracas Central 2 2 0 0 +2 6
W W L D D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Gimnasia M. 3 2 0 1 +2 6
W L W W L
3 Atletico Tucuman 2 1 1 0 +2 4
W D W D L
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W W L D D
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
4 Independ. Rivadavia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
W D L D W
4 Defensa Y Justicia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D L L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
D L L W W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L L D D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W W L W L
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Banfield 3 1 1 1 0 4
D W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Deportivo Riestra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
L W D W L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W L L W W
6 Estudiantes L.P. 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L L W D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Racing Club 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L D W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
W L L L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W L W D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D L W L L
7 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L D L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Tigre 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Instituto Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L W D L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L D W L W
9 San Lorenzo 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W L W D L
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W W L D D
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L W D L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Huracan 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L W D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Newells Old Boys 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W D D W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W L D L D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Platense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D L L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W W L
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L D L L L
12 Union Santa Fe 2 0 1 1 -2 1
L D L W D
12 Rosario Central 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L L W W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
D W L W D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L L D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Aldosivi 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Talleres Cordoba 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D W D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
14 Sarmiento Junin 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L L W L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
L W D D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 River Plate 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L L W W
15 Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D W
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L W L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
L W D W L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Francisco Scarpeccio
    Foul
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · David Martínez
    Foul
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Santiago Montiel
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Martín Luciano
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Franco Escobar
    Foul
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Leonardo Godoy
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luca Regiardo
    Foul
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Facundo Guch
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Juan Ignacio Ramírez
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mateo Perez Curci
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sebastián Valdez
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matías Abaldo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Walter Mazzantti
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Fedorco
    Foul
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Santiago Montiel
  • 31'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Walter Nuñez
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
INDEPENDIENTE WIN
1.57
63.7% implied
↑ best 1.66
DRAW
3.78
26.5% implied
↑ best 4.03
NEWELLS OLD BOYS WIN
6.31
15.8% implied
↑ best 7.00

Market favors Independiente. AI projects INDEPENDIENTE 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INDEPENDIENTE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 3.75 6.60 +8.8%
1xBet 1.56 3.89 6.47 +8.5%
Bet365 1.53 3.90 7.00 +9.7%
Betano 1.57 3.80 6.70 +9.1%
Betfair 1.55 3.80 6.00 +7.3%
BetVictor 1.53 3.90 6.50 +8.6%
Dafabet 1.61 3.90 6.20 +7.9%
Marathonbet 1.53 3.82 6.35 +8.3%
Pinnacle 1.56 4.03 6.73 +9.1%
SBO 1.66 3.28 4.94 +3.8%
Superbet 1.56 3.90 6.30 +8.1%
Unibet 1.61 3.55 6.50 +8.6%
William Hill 1.55 3.60 5.80 +6.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.37 U 2.98
2.5 O 2.18 U 1.67
3.5 O 3.98 U 1.23
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.16 10 bks
NO
1.63 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.03
Away -0.5 2.39
Away -0.75 2.10
Away -1 1.79
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.44
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.