GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · VELEZ SARSFIELD 48%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 1 · FRI, 24 JUL · 22:00 LOCAL
VELEZ SARSFIELD
6TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D D W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
INSTITUTO CORDOBA
W D L L D
· 13TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+1' Manuel Lanzini
GOALS
Manuel Lanzini
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Manuel Lanzini
Velez Sarsfield · 78 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 51% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.98
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.42
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
16
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
71%
1
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matías Gallardo
    INS
  2. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Manuel Lanzini · assist Tobías Andrada
    VEL
  3. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fernando Alarcón
    INS
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gustavo Abregú · assist Ignacio Méndez
    INS
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matías Pellegrini · assist Alex Verón
    VEL
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Matías Tissera · assist Nicolás Guerra
    INS
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alex Luna · assist Jeremías Lázaro
    INS
  8. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Claudio Baeza
    VEL
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matías Gallardo · assist Matías Fonseca
    INS
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jhon Córdoba · assist Facundo Suárez
    INS
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Claudio Baeza · assist Lucas Robertone
    VEL
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Manuel Lanzini · assist Diego Valdés
    VEL
  13. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thiago Silvero
    VEL
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tobías Andrada · assist Luca Feler
    VEL
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Florián Monzón · assist Dilan Godoy
    VEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VELEZ SARSFIELD AVG 8.0
INSTITUTO CORDOBA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
3.4
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
3.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
0.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
530.0
PASSES
355.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
71.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VELEZ SARSFIELD 1 shots
Manuel Lanzini
1/1
INSTITUTO CORDOBA 6 shots
Alex Luna
1/3
Diego Alejandro Sosa
0/2
Fernando Alarcón
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.98 – 3.42
2.7 2.1 1.4 0.7 3.4 0.0 HT 45' H 0.98 A 3.42 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
8.2
1
TOMáS MAR
 7.5
3
ELíAS GóM
 7.6
16
LISANDRO
32
THIAGO SI
 8.2
4
JOAQUíN G
5
CLAUDIO B
29
RODRIGO A
11
MATíAS PE
 8.6
22
MANUEL LA
50
TOBíAS AN
9
FLORIáN M
 6.9
29
MARCOS LE
 7.0
6
FERNANDO
26
LEONEL MO
30
JONATHAN
 7.5
3
DIEGO ALE
15
MATíAS GA
55
GUSTAVO A
 6.9
44
GIULIANO
 7.2
10
ALEX LUNA
20
JHON CóRD
17
MATíAS TI
SUBSTITUTES · VELEZ SARSFIELD
10
Diego Valdés
M
37
Juan Cruz Po...
F
15
Dilan Godoy
F
39
Thiago Aguir...
F
48
Luca Feler
M
8
Lucas Robert...
M
18
Simon Escoba...
D
19
Leo Cristald...
D
47
Alexis Perey...
D
42
Agustin Cort...
G
17
Alex Verón
F
30
Lautaro Piol...
F
COACH: Guilermo Barros Schelotto
SUBSTITUTES · INSTITUTO CORDOBA
23
Juan Meli
D
8
Jonas Aceved...
M
90
Pedro Baster
M
11
Matías Fonse...
F
22
Agustín Mass...
D
32
Agustín Brav...
D
2
Hernán de la...
D
35
Emanuel Sitt...
G
7
Nicolás Guer...
F
21
Jeremías Láz...
M
13
Ignacio Ménd...
M
9
Facundo Suár...
F
COACH: Diego Flores
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Merlos
—
VEL MANAGER
Guilermo Barros Schelotto
head coach
INS MANAGER
Diego Flores
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
VEL WINS
1
DRAWS
2
INS WINS
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
4 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
23 Jan 2026
Instituto Cordoba
0 – 1
Velez Sarsfield
W
26 Jul 2025
Velez Sarsfield
0 – 0
Instituto Cordoba
D
03 Feb 2025
Instituto Cordoba
2 – 0
Velez Sarsfield
L
17 Aug 2024
Velez Sarsfield
1 – 0
Instituto Cordoba
W
12 Apr 2023
Instituto Cordoba
1 – 0
Velez Sarsfield
L
VELEZ SARSFIELD LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D D W
INSTITUTO CORDOBA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
VELEZ SARSFIELD #3
Won · already at 28 pts
Knockout Phase
INSTITUTO CORDOBA #9
Lost · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Deportivo Riestra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
W D W L L
1 Argentinos JRS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W W L
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L D W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 Independiente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
W L W L W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L W W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 Belgrano Cordoba 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W W W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W L W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W L D D D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Gimnasia M. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W L W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Racing Club 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L L W W D
4 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L D D W
4 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L L L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W L W L W
5 Huracan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Newells Old Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W D D W D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Barracas Central 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 Platense 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W L W D L
7 Aldosivi 1 0 1 0 0 1
D D L D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L L W D
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
D L W D D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Atletico Tucuman 1 0 1 0 0 1
D W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W L D D W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Defensa Y Justicia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L L
9 Independ. Rivadavia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L D W D
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
L W D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
D L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
L D L D D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Central Cordoba de Santiago 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D W L
10 Sarmiento Junin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Rosario Central 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L W L L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W D
11 San Lorenzo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
12 Talleres Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Gimnasia L.P. 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W D D L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L D W L
13 Instituto Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D L W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W D L D
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Tigre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L D L D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D D L D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L L W D W
14 Banfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W D D W D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
W L L L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 River Plate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W D W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Florián Monzón
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tobías Andrada
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Thiago Silvero
    Handling
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Manuel Lanzini
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Claudio Baeza
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jhon Córdoba
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matías Gallardo
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Claudio Baeza
    Foul
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alex Luna
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Matías Tissera
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matías Pellegrini
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gustavo Abregú
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Fernando Alarcón
    Foul
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Manuel Lanzini
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matías Gallardo
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
VELEZ SARSFIELD WIN
2.17
46.1% implied
↑ best 2.22
DRAW
2.95
33.9% implied
↑ best 3.05
INSTITUTO CORDOB WIN
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 4.09

Market favors Velez Sarsfield. AI projects VELEZ SARSFIELD 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VELEZ SARSFIELD 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.16 3.00 3.60 +1.7%
1xBet 2.19 2.93 3.92 +2.3%
Bet365 2.15 3.00 3.90 +1.5%
Betano 2.18 3.05 3.80 +2.1%
Betfair 2.10 2.88 3.90 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.15 3.00 3.80 +1.5%
Dafabet 2.20 3.00 3.40 +2.5%
Marathonbet 2.15 2.88 3.85 +1.5%
Pinnacle 2.22 2.95 4.09 +3.0%
SBO 2.14 2.85 3.43 +1.3%
Superbet 2.17 3.00 3.90 +1.9%
Unibet 2.20 3.00 3.75 +2.5%
William Hill 2.20 2.80 3.60 +2.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.55 U 2.41
2.5 O 2.66 U 1.45
3.5 O 5.43 U 1.13
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.17 10 bks
NO
1.62 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.98
Away -0.5 1.69
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.