Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 1 · THU, 23 JUL · 22:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
SARMIENTO JUNIN
FT
2 3
FULL TIME
ARGENTINOS JRS
⚽ 30' Junior Marabel ⚽ 69' Renzo Orihuela
GOALS
⚽ 48' Alan Lescano ⚽ 58' Sebastián Prieto ⚽ 90' Diego Porcel
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 92/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAR
2 3
ARG
most likely scoreline · 7.0% probability
AI PICKS ARGENTINOS JRS TO WIN 93%
FT 2 – 3
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 3
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SAR WIN 2%
DRAW 5%
ARG WIN 93%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
ARGENTINOS JRS TO WIN

AI consensus across 93% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 93% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ OVER 3.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Argentinos 1 goal up at 90' with red card issued to Sarmiento — match is functionally over.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SARMIENTO JUNIN CHALLENGED
2%
Argentinos leading 3–2 at minute 90 with only injury time remaining
+25.0%
Sarmiento now down to 10 men after red card in final minute
+20.0%
WHY ARGENTINOS JRS FAVORED
93%
Argentinos JRS superior season position (3rd, 29 pts vs 11th, 19 pts)
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Argentinos leading 3–2 at minute 90 with only injury time remaining
  • Sarmiento now down to 10 men after red card in final minute
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 30' JUNIOR MAR 48' ALAN LESCA 58' SEBASTIáN 69' RENZO ORIH 90' DIEGO PORC
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.0%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.7
2.3
3.8
4.3
3.6
2.4
1.4
1
1.1
3.7
6.2
7.0
5.9
3.9
2.2
2
0.9
3.0
5.1
5.7
4.8
3.2
1.8
3
0.5
1.7
2.8
3.1
2.6
1.8
1.0
4
0.2
0.7
1.2
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.4
5
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
6+
·
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 3 7.0%
1 — 2 6.2%
1 — 4 5.9%
2 — 3 5.7%
2 — 2 5.1%
Top 5 = 29.9% · rest 70.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.96
95.0%
1.05
+180.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.39
100.0%
1.00
+138.8%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.04
93.0%
1.08
+89.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.37
95.0%
1.05
+29.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
98.0%
1.02
+18.0%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.93
5.0%
20.00
-85.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
7.0%
14.29
-87.7%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.23
2.0%
50.00
-91.5%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.