AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · RIVER PLATE 62% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 1 · SAT, 25 JUL · 22:15 LOCAL
RIVER PLATE
14TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L L
FT
0 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
BARRACAS CENTRAL
L L L W W
· 6TH · 9 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 22' Gonzalo Morales
Lucas Silva
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lucas Silva
River Plate · 90 mins
· 77% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.43
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.44
76%
BALL POSSESSION %
24%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
4
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
52%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gonzalo Morales
    BAR
  2. 41'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - video review
    Lucas Martinez Quarta
    RIV
  3. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Jappert
    BAR
  4. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ezequiel Centurión
    RIV
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Fausto Vera · assist Joaquín Freitas
    RIV
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lautaro Pereyra · assist Lucas Beltran
    RIV
  7. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Norberto Briasco
    BAR
  8. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gonzalo Morales · assist Gonzalo Maroni
    BAR
  9. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Norberto Briasco · assist Jhonatan Candia
    BAR
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Facundo Colidio · assist Ángel Correa
    RIV
  11. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tomás Porra · assist Fernando Tobio
    BAR
  12. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yonatthan Rak · assist Ivan Guaraz
    BAR
  13. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tomás Ezequiel Galván · assist Mauro Arambarri
    RIV
  14. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauro Arambarri
    RIV
  15. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jhonatan Candia
    BAR
  16. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dardo Miloc
    BAR
  17. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ivan Guaraz
    BAR
  18. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Iván Tapia · assist Elías Pereyra
    BAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RIVER PLATE AVG 7.3
BARRACAS CENTRAL AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.4
xG
0.4
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
76.0%
POSSESSION %
24.0%
573.0
PASSES
184.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
52.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
20.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
RIVER PLATE 3 shots
Lucas Beltran
1/2
Lucas Silva
0/1
BARRACAS CENTRAL 4 shots
Gonzalo Morales
2/3
Gonzalo Maroni
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.430.44
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT 22' H 0.43 A 0.44 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 39%
61% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-3-2
SUBSTITUTES · RIVER PLATE
24
Juan Cruz Me...
M
8
Mauro Aramba...
M
31
Facundo Gonz...
D
36
Ulises Gimén...
D
20
Giovanni Gon...
D
13
Lautaro Rive...
D
33
Ezequiel Cen...
G
18
Lucas Beltra...
F
35
Joaquín Frei...
F
10
Ángel Correa
F
COACH: Eduardo Coudet
SUBSTITUTES · BARRACAS CENTRAL
33
Gonzalo Maro...
M
28
Rodrigo Boga...
M
24
Enzo Taborda
F
20
Jhonatan Can...
F
25
Yeison Gordi...
M
16
Ivan Guaraz
F
37
Gastón Campi
D
32
Fernando Tob...
D
17
Elías Pereyr...
D
2
Nicolas Capr...
D
1
Juan Espínol...
G
7
Juan Ignacio...
F
COACH: Damian Ayude
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Nazareno Arasa, Argentina
RIV MANAGER
Eduardo Coudet
head coach
BAR MANAGER
Damian Ayude
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
RIV WINS
0
DRAWS
1
BAR WINS
87.5%
12.5%
20 3
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.88
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
RIVER PLATE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L L
BARRACAS CENTRAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
RIVER PLATE #2
Lost · already at 152 pts
BARRACAS CENTRAL #6
Won · already at 9 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Instituto Cordoba 6 4 1 1 +3 13
D W W W W
1 Sarmiento Junin 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W L L W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D D D W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
D W L L L
2 Gimnasia M. 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Argentinos JRS 5 4 0 1 +4 12
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Belgrano Cordoba 6 3 1 2 +3 10
L W W D L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 6 3 3 0 +4 12
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L W L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W W D L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W W D L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Defensa Y Justicia 6 3 2 1 0 11
W D W L W
5 Atletico Tucuman 6 2 3 1 +2 9
D W L D W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
D W L L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W D L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
D W L L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Barracas Central 6 3 0 3 -1 9
L L L W W
6 Newells Old Boys 6 3 1 2 +2 10
W W L D L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
D W L L W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Gimnasia L.P. 6 3 0 3 -2 9
L L W W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
D L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Platense 6 2 2 2 -3 8
W D W L L
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
W L L W L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
D L L L D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Deportivo Riestra 6 2 1 3 +1 7
D L W L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Tigre 5 2 2 1 +2 8
D W D W L
9 Huracan 6 2 2 2 0 8
D L W D L
9 Union Santa Fe 6 2 1 3 -1 7
W L L W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
D W W W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L L L W W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 -2 7
D D D W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W D W L W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Independ. Rivadavia 6 2 2 2 -1 8
D L W L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D W D W L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W W W L
11 San Lorenzo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D W L L W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Banfield 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L W L D W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 0 4 0 6
L W L L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W L D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W D W L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Racing Club 6 1 2 3 -3 5
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L W W L L
13 Lanus 5 2 0 3 0 6
L W L L W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W L D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 6 1 2 3 -4 5
D L L D L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 2 0 3 -2 6
L W W L L
14 River Plate 6 1 1 4 -2 4
D W L L L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D L L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W W L D L
15 Aldosivi 6 0 2 4 -5 2
L D L L L
15 Talleres Cordoba 5 1 0 4 -4 3
L L W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L L D L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D L W L L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Iván Tapia
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ivan Guaraz
    Foul
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dardo Miloc
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jhonatan Candia
    Foul
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauro Arambarri
    Foul
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tomás Ezequiel Galván
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yonatthan Rak
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tomás Porra
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Facundo Colidio
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Norberto Briasco
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gonzalo Morales
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Norberto Briasco
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lautaro Pereyra
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Fausto Vera
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Ezequiel Centurión
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Jappert
    Foul
  • 41'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - video review · Lucas Martinez Quarta
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gonzalo Morales
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
RIVER PLATE WIN
1.36
73.5% implied
↑ best 1.41
DRAW
4.25
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.47
BARRACAS CENTRAL WIN
10.31
9.7% implied
↑ best 12.00

Market favors River Plate. AI projects RIVER PLATE 62% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RIVER PLATE 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.37 4.10 10.50 +4.5%
1xBet 1.36 4.47 10.40 +4.4%
Bet365 1.33 4.33 12.00 +5.7%
Betano 1.40 4.40 11.75 +5.5%
Betfair 1.33 4.33 11.00 +4.9%
BetVictor 1.33 4.40 11.00 +4.9%
Dafabet 1.41 4.15 7.90 +1.3%
Marathonbet 1.34 4.40 10.25 +4.2%
SBO 1.36 4.03 8.10 +1.7%
Unibet 1.40 4.10 11.00 +4.9%
William Hill 1.36 4.00 9.50 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.74
2.5 O 2.29 U 1.60
3.5 O 4.44 U 1.18
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.81 9 bks
NO
1.38 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.00
Away -0.5 2.94
Away -0.75 2.66
Away -1 2.28
Away -1.25 1.87
Away -1.5 1.64
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.