GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · TIGRE 37%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 1 · SAT, 25 JUL · 17:45 LOCAL
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO
4TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
TIGRE
D L D W L
· 13TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 70' Sergio Ojeda
GOALS
Lucas Bruera
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lucas Bruera
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 96 mins
· 11% pass acc
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.09
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.16
39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
17
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 9'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Villalba
    TIG
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Santiago González · assist Jalil Elias
    TIG
  3. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mauro Valiente · assist Juan Garro
    EST
  4. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yeison Moreno · assist Javier Ferreira
    EST
  5. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tiago Serrago
    TIG
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sebastián Medina · assist Gonzalo Martínez
    TIG
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alfio Oviedo · assist Ignacio Russo
    TIG
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Siro Rosane · assist Fernando Rodríguez
    EST
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Facundo Cobos · assist Nicolás Talpone
    EST
  10. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sergio Ojeda · assist Matias Valenti
    EST
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Javier Ferreira
    EST
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tiago Serrago · assist Ignacio Peluffo
    TIG
  13. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Martín Garay · assist Santiago López
    TIG
  14. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matias Valenti
    EST
  15. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tomas Gonzalez · assist Francesco Lo Celso
    EST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO AVG 7.8
TIGRE AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
1.2
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
315.0
PASSES
487.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO 3 shots
Agustin Quiroga
1/2
Sergio Ojeda
1/1
TIGRE 6 shots
Gonzalo Martínez
3/5
Jalil Elias
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.09 – 1.16
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 70' H 1.09 A 1.16 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
8.7
1
LUCAS BRU
 7.7
29
AGUSTIN Q
 7.2
30
SERGIO OJ
31
MATIAS VA
 7.5
28
FACUNDO C
8
SIRO ROSA
 7.7
13
FRANCISCO
14
GONZALO G
22
MAURO VAL
10
TOMAS GON
12
FELIPE ZE
 6.9
24
FEDERICO
32
JUAN VILL
 8.2
20
ALAN BARR
17
GUILLERMO
8
MARTíN GA
 7.2
27
SANTIAGO
21
SEBASTIáN
33
ELíAS CAB
11
TIAGO SER
19
ALFIO OVI
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO
9
Javier Ferre...
F
77
Ibrahim Hesa...
M
27
Juan Garro
F
26
Ezequiel For...
M
40
Francesco Lo...
M
19
Nicolás Talp...
M
23
Fernando Rod...
D
86
Matías Pagli...
D
45
Raúl Lozano
D
43
Agustín Last...
G
32
Mateo Bajami...
F
COACH: Ruben Forestello
SUBSTITUTES · TIGRE
22
Santiago Lóp...
F
28
Gonzalo Mart...
M
47
Sebastian Le...
M
50
Ignacio Pelu...
F
30
Jalil Elias
M
23
Gonzalo Requ...
D
40
Luciano Minn...
D
3
Nahuel Baneg...
D
2
Joaquín Laso
D
4
Valentín Mor...
D
1
Luka Fuster
G
29
Ignacio Russ...
F
COACH: Diego Dabove
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Ferreyra
—
EST MANAGER
Ruben Forestello
head coach
TIG MANAGER
Diego Dabove
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
EST WINS
1
DRAWS
2
TIG WINS
33.3%
66.7%
0 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 3
26 Jan 2026
Tigre
2 – 0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
L
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L
TIGRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO #4
Won · already at 3 pts
Knockout Phase
TIGRE #10
Lost · already at 20 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Deportivo Riestra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
W D W L L
1 Argentinos JRS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W W L
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L D W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 Independiente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
W L W L W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L W W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 Belgrano Cordoba 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W W W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W L W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W L D D D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Gimnasia M. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W L W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Racing Club 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L L W W D
4 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L D D W
4 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L L L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W L W L W
5 Huracan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Newells Old Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W D D W D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Barracas Central 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 Platense 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W L W D L
7 Aldosivi 1 0 1 0 0 1
D D L D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L L W D
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
D L W D D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Atletico Tucuman 1 0 1 0 0 1
D W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W L D D W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Defensa Y Justicia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L L
9 Independ. Rivadavia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L D W D
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
L W D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
D L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
L D L D D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Central Cordoba de Santiago 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D W L
10 Sarmiento Junin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Rosario Central 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L W L L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W D
11 San Lorenzo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
12 Talleres Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Gimnasia L.P. 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W D D L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L D W L
13 Instituto Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D L W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W D L D
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Tigre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L D L D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D D L D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L L W D W
14 Banfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W D D W D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
W L L L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 River Plate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W D W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tomas Gonzalez
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matias Valenti
    Delay of game
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Martín Garay
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tiago Serrago
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Javier Ferreira
    Foul
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sergio Ojeda
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Facundo Cobos
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Siro Rosane
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alfio Oviedo
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sebastián Medina
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tiago Serrago
    Foul
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yeison Moreno
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mauro Valiente
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Santiago González
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 9'
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Villalba
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ESTUDIANTES DE R WIN
3.49
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.80
DRAW
2.81
35.6% implied
↑ best 2.90
TIGRE WIN
2.35
42.6% implied
↑ best 2.47

Market favors Tigre. AI projects TIGRE 37%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TIGRE 37% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.50 2.84 2.32 +6.4%
1xBet 3.56 2.88 2.35 +6.9%
Bet365 3.40 2.90 2.38 +5.6%
Betano 3.55 2.87 2.37 +6.8%
Betfair 3.50 2.70 2.30 +6.4%
BetVictor 3.50 2.80 2.40 +6.4%
Dafabet 3.35 2.76 2.38 +5.1%
Marathonbet 3.50 2.83 2.31 +6.4%
Pinnacle 3.70 2.79 2.47 +8.0%
SBO 3.16 2.72 2.34 +3.4%
Superbet 3.50 2.90 2.37 +6.4%
Unibet 3.80 2.80 2.28 +8.7%
William Hill 3.40 2.70 2.30 +5.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.70 U 2.12
2.5 O 3.20 U 1.33
3.5 O 6.89 U 1.09
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.43 10 bks
NO
1.50 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.40
Away -0.5 1.30
Away -0.75 1.19
Away -1 1.04
Away -1.25 1.03
Away -1.5 1.03
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.