GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · ESTUDIANTES L.P. 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 1 · SUN, 26 JUL · 20:15 LOCAL
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
14TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L D W
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
INDEPENDIENTE
L W L W D
· 2ND · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 81' Guido Carrillo (P)
GOALS
⚽ 76' Gabriel Ávalos ⚽ 82' Santiago Montiel
Rodrigo Rey
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Rodrigo Rey
Independiente · 93 mins
· 14% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.74
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.34
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
14
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
66%
5
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomás Palacios
    EST
  2. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Leonardo Godoy
    IND
  3. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matías Abaldo · assist Maxi Meza
    IND
  4. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alexis Castro · assist Fabricio Pérez
    EST
  5. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Joaquín Tobio Burgos · assist Brian Aguirre
    EST
  6. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Ávalos · assist Santiago Montiel
    IND
  7. 81'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Guido Carrillo · assist Guido Carrillo
    EST
  8. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Santiago Montiel
    IND
  9. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Leonardo Godoy · assist Santiago Arias
    IND
  10. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Maximiliano Gutiérrez · assist David Martínez
    IND
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ramiro Funes Mori · assist Lucas Alario
    EST
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tiago Palacios · assist Edwuin Cetré
    EST
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ezequiel Piovi · assist José Sosa
    EST
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gabriel Ávalos · assist Kevin Lomónaco
    IND
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTUDIANTES L.P. AVG 7.4
INDEPENDIENTE AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.3
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
364.0
PASSES
256.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
66.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
5.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTUDIANTES L.P. 3 shots
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
0/2
Ezequiel Piovi
0/1
INDEPENDIENTE 6 shots
Gabriel Ávalos
3/3
Santiago Montiel
1/1
Sebastián Valdez
1/1
Facundo Zabala
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.74 – 1.34
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 81' 76' 82' H 1.74 A 1.34 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.2
16
FERNANDO
 8.0
24
TOMáS PAL
26
RAMIRO FU
4
SANTIAGO
20
ERIC MEZA
 7.5
17
JOAQUíN T
22
ALEXIS CA
 7.2
21
EZEQUIEL
32
MIKEL AMO
9
GUIDO CAR
10
TIAGO PAL
 8.3
33
RODRIGO R
 6.9
22
FACUNDO Z
 7.3
36
SEBASTIáN
13
JUAN FEDO
29
LEONARDO
23
IVáN MARC
16
MATEO PER
19
MATíAS AB
 8.2
7
SANTIAGO
28
MAXIMILIA
 7.9
9
GABRIEL Á
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES L.P.
7
José Sosa
M
11
Facundo Farí...
M
19
Adolfo Gaich
F
27
Lucas Alario
F
28
Brian Aguirr...
F
8
Gabriel Neve...
M
29
Fabricio Pér...
F
40
Eros Mancuso
D
35
Valente Pier...
D
13
Gastón Bened...
D
1
Fabricio Iac...
G
18
Edwuin Cetré
F
COACH: Alexander Medina
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPENDIENTE
20
Facundo Cruz
M
10
Luciano Cabr...
M
8
Maxi Meza
F
34
Felipe Tempo...
F
32
David Martín...
M
14
Lautaro Mill...
M
4
Santiago Ari...
D
35
Juan Miguel...
D
3
Jonathan De...
D
26
Kevin Lomóna...
D
1
Joaquín Bláz...
G
18
Facundo Vald...
F
COACH: Gustavo Quinteros
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
P. Dovalo
—
EST MANAGER
Alexander Medina
head coach
IND MANAGER
Gustavo Quinteros
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
EST WINS
4
DRAWS
3
IND WINS
30%
40%
30%
12 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Jan 2026
Independiente
1 – 1
Estudiantes L.P.
D
11 Aug 2024
Estudiantes L.P.
0 – 2
Independiente
L
09 Apr 2023
Independiente
1 – 2
Estudiantes L.P.
W
21 Jun 2022
Independiente
2 – 1
Estudiantes L.P.
L
13 Feb 2022
Estudiantes L.P.
2 – 1
Independiente
W
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D W
INDEPENDIENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #1
Lost · already at 31 pts
Playoffs
INDEPENDIENTE #2
Won · already at 3 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Deportivo Riestra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
W D W L L
1 Argentinos JRS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W W L
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L D W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 Independiente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
W L W L W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L W W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 Belgrano Cordoba 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W W W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W L W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W L D D D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Gimnasia M. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W L W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Racing Club 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L L W W D
4 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L D D W
4 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L L L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W L W L W
5 Huracan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Newells Old Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W D D W D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Barracas Central 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 Platense 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W L W D L
7 Aldosivi 1 0 1 0 0 1
D D L D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L L W D
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
D L W D D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Atletico Tucuman 1 0 1 0 0 1
D W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W L D D W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Defensa Y Justicia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L L
9 Independ. Rivadavia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L D W D
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
L W D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
D L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
L D L D D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Central Cordoba de Santiago 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D W L
10 Sarmiento Junin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Rosario Central 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L W L L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W D
11 San Lorenzo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
12 Talleres Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Gimnasia L.P. 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W D D L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L D W L
13 Instituto Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D L W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W D L D
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Tigre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L D L D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D D L D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L L W D W
14 Banfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W D D W D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
W L L L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 River Plate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W D W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gabriel Ávalos
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ezequiel Piovi
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tiago Palacios
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ramiro Funes Mori
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Maximiliano Gutiérrez
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Leonardo Godoy
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Santiago Montiel
  • 81'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Guido Carrillo
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Ávalos
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Joaquín Tobio Burgos
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alexis Castro
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matías Abaldo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Leonardo Godoy
    Foul
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomás Palacios
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
2.15
46.5% implied
↑ best 2.20
DRAW
2.95
33.9% implied
↑ best 3.05
INDEPENDIENTE WIN
3.83
26.1% implied
↑ best 4.16

Market favors Estudiantes L.P.. AI projects ESTUDIANTES L.P. 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ESTUDIANTES L.P. 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.16 2.92 3.80 +5.7%
1xBet 2.15 2.98 3.97 +5.5%
Bet365 2.15 2.90 4.00 +5.5%
Betano 2.20 2.92 3.95 +6.5%
Betfair 2.15 3.00 3.70 +5.5%
BetVictor 2.15 3.00 3.80 +5.5%
Dafabet 2.17 3.05 3.45 +5.9%
Marathonbet 2.11 2.93 3.90 +4.6%
Pinnacle 2.20 2.96 4.16 +6.5%
SBO 2.18 2.84 3.33 +6.1%
Superbet 2.17 3.00 3.90 +5.9%
Unibet 2.10 3.00 4.00 +4.4%
William Hill 2.10 2.80 3.80 +4.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.59 U 2.32
2.5 O 2.81 U 1.41
3.5 O 5.81 U 1.12
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.27 10 bks
NO
1.57 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.00
Away -0.5 1.69
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.27
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.