GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · BOCA JUNIORS 47%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 1 · SUN, 26 JUL · 22:30 LOCAL
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA
1ST · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
BOCA JUNIORS
L D L L W
· 15TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 7' B. Sánchez ⚽ 23' Antony Alonso ⚽ 38' A. Díaz
GOALS
B. Sánchez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
B. Sánchez
Deportivo Riestra · 69 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 11% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.1
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

19%
BALL POSSESSION %
81%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
11
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
2
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    B. Sánchez · assist Antony Alonso
    DEP
  2. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Antony Alonso · assist C. Quintana
    DEP
  3. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Díaz
    DEP
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Velasco · assist S. Villa
    BOC
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    W. Alarcón · assist Á. Romero
    BOC
  6. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Antony Alonso · assist J. Goitía
    DEP
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Díaz · assist N. Benegas
    DEP
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    K. Zenón · assist Tomás Aranda
    BOC
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Leonel Flores · assist M. Merentiel
    BOC
  10. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Céliz
    DEP
  11. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    B. Sánchez · assist T. González
    DEP
  12. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Goitía
    DEP
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    M. Delgado · assist C. Rey
    BOC
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    P. Monje · assist I. Gariglio
    DEP
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    F. Miño · assist N. Watson
    DEP
  16. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. Watson
    DEP
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA AVG 7.6
BOCA JUNIORS AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
19.0%
POSSESSION %
81.0%
178.0
PASSES
760.0
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
8.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA 3 shots
B. Sánchez
1/1
A. Díaz
1/1
C. Quintana
0/1
BOCA JUNIORS 4 shots
A. Velasco
0/2
W. Alarcón
0/1
S. Ascacíbar
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 69%
31% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-3
4-2-3-1
1
IGNACIO A
 7.7
2
C. QUINTA
 7.2
22
C. PAZ
 7.2
24
F. MIñO
15
N. SANSOT
14
P. MONJE
8
M. CéLIZ
36
M. BRACAM
7
ANTONY AL
 7.8
11
A. DíAZ
 8.1
10
B. SáNCHE
1
Á. MONTER
3
L. BLANCO
 6.5
26
MARCO PEL
2
L. DI LOL
27
M. BRAIDA
 6.7
15
W. ALARCó
 6.6
18
M. DELGAD
 6.9
20
A. VELASC
 6.5
25
S. ASCACí
21
K. ZENóN
19
LEONEL FL
SUBSTITUTES · DEPORTIVO RIESTRA
27
J. Goitía
D
32
G. Flores
F
9
N. Benegas
F
29
M. Graneros
F
21
T. González
F
20
Thiago Lauro
M
16
N. Watson
M
13
R. Gallo
D
6
I. Gariglio
D
3
Eric Tovo
D
23
M. Arzamendi...
G
35
Ángel String...
F
COACH: Gustavo Benitez
SUBSTITUTES · BOCA JUNIORS
23
C. Rey
M
16
M. Merentiel
F
22
S. Villa
F
11
Á. Romero
F
10
Tomás Aranda
M
42
Facundo Herr...
D
24
Dylan Gorosi...
D
4
N. Figal
D
32
Ayrton Costa
D
12
L. Brey
G
13
J. García
G
37
Gonzalo Geli...
F
COACH: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DEP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BOC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Hernan Mastrangelo, Argentina
—
DEP MANAGER
Gustavo Benitez
head coach
BOC MANAGER
Rodolfo Arruabarrena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
DEP WINS
1
DRAWS
1
BOC WINS
50%
50%
1 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
25 Jan 2026
Boca Juniors
1 – 0
Deportivo Riestra
L
27 Oct 2024
Boca Juniors
1 – 1
Deportivo Riestra
D
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L L
BOCA JUNIORS LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA #1
Won · already at 3 pts
Knockout Phase
BOCA JUNIORS #1
Lost · already at 159 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Deportivo Riestra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
W D W L L
1 Argentinos JRS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W W L
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L L W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L D W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 Independiente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
W L W L W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L W W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L L W W W
2 Belgrano Cordoba 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W W W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W L W W L
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W L D D D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Gimnasia M. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W W L W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Racing Club 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D D
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L L W W D
4 Lanus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L D D W
4 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L L L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W L W L W
5 Huracan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L W D L
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Newells Old Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W D D W D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Barracas Central 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
W L D D D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
W L D D L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 Platense 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L D
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
W L W D L
7 Aldosivi 1 0 1 0 0 1
D D L D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L L W D
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
D L W D D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L W D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Atletico Tucuman 1 0 1 0 0 1
D W D L D
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W L D D W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Defensa Y Justicia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L L L L
9 Independ. Rivadavia 1 0 1 0 0 1
D L D W D
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
L W D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
D L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
L D L D D
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Central Cordoba de Santiago 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D W L
10 Sarmiento Junin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W L L
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Rosario Central 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L L W L L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W D
11 San Lorenzo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
12 Talleres Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L D D W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Gimnasia L.P. 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W D D L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L D W L
13 Instituto Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D L W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W D L D
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Tigre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L D L D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D D L D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Estudiantes L.P. 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L L W D W
14 Banfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L W D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W D D W D
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
W L L L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 River Plate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L L W W W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 1 -3 0
L L W W W
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
W D W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · N. Watson
    Foul
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · F. Miño
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · P. Monje
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · M. Delgado
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Goitía
    Foul
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · B. Sánchez
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Céliz
    Delay of game
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Leonel Flores
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · K. Zenón
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Díaz
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Antony Alonso
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · W. Alarcón
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Velasco
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Díaz
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Antony Alonso
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · B. Sánchez
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
DEPORTIVO RIESTR WIN
4.64
21.6% implied
↑ best 5.03
DRAW
2.87
34.8% implied
↑ best 3.00
BOCA JUNIORS WIN
2.00
50% implied
↑ best 2.07

Market favors Boca Juniors. AI projects BOCA JUNIORS 47%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOCA JUNIORS 47% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.70 2.88 1.96 +3.7%
1xBet 4.88 2.82 2.03 +4.5%
Bet365 4.33 3.00 2.00 +1.9%
Betano 4.90 2.95 2.07 +4.6%
Betfair 4.75 2.80 1.95 +3.9%
BetVictor 4.60 2.90 2.00 +3.3%
Dafabet 4.20 2.85 2.04 +1.2%
Marathonbet 4.80 2.77 1.99 +4.2%
Pinnacle 5.03 2.88 2.04 +5.1%
SBO 4.04 2.75 2.01 +0.2%
Superbet 4.50 3.00 2.02 +2.8%
Unibet 5.00 2.85 1.98 +5.0%
William Hill 4.60 2.80 1.95 +3.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.73 U 2.08
2.5 O 3.29 U 1.31
3.5 O 7.26 U 1.08
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.61 10 bks
NO
1.44 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.24
Away -0.5 1.20
Away -0.75 1.08
Away -1 1.02
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.