AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ESTUDIANTES L.P. 35%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - 9 · SUN, 03 MAY · 00:15 LOCAL
PLATENSE
22ND · 108 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L W
FT
0 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
L D D D W
· 7TH · 136 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 70' Alexis Castro ⚽ 78' Lucas Alario
Lucas Alario
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lucas Alario
Estudiantes L.P. · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 16% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

87%
BALL POSSESSION %
76%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
16
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
269%
PASS ACCURACY %
251%
7
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 8'
    Var
    Edwuin Cetré
    EST
  2. 59'
    Subst
    Gabriel Neves
    EST
  3. 59'
    Subst
    Mikel Amondarain · assist Ezequiel Piovi
    EST
  4. 70'
    Goal · 0-1
    Alexis Castro · assist Edwuin Cetré
    EST
  5. 74'
    Subst
    Tiago Palacios · assist Alexis Castro
    EST
  6. 74'
    Subst
    Fabricio Pérez · assist Brian Aguirre
    EST
  7. 78'
    Goal · 0-2
    Lucas Alario · assist Santiago Núñez
    EST
  8. 81'
    Card
    Mikel Amondarain
    EST
  9. 86'
    Subst
    Joaquín Tobio Burgos · assist Edwuin Cetré
    EST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PLATENSE AVG 6.9
ESTUDIANTES L.P. AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
7.0
ON TARGET
8.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
87.0%
POSSESSION %
76.0%
351.0
PASSES
329.0
269.0%
PASS ACCURACY
251.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
5.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
10.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PLATENSE 8 shots
Gonzalo Lencina
3/3
Guido Mainero
1/2
Mateo Mendia
2/2
Nicolás Retamar
0/1
ESTUDIANTES L.P. 6 shots
Lucas Alario
1/2
Edwuin Cetré
0/2
Alexis Castro
1/1
Santiago Núñez
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · PLATENSE
24
Martín Barri...
M
28
Manuel Tucke...
F
21
Augusto Lott...
F
23
Leonardo Her...
M
10
Franco Zapio...
M
18
Bautista Mer...
F
27
Santiago Dal...
M
4
Agustín Lago...
D
3
Tomás Ariel...
D
6
Eugenio Ragg...
D
22
Nicolás Suma...
G
9
Tomas Nasif
F
COACH: Walter Zunino
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES L.P.
32
Mikel Amonda...
M
29
Fabricio Pér...
F
8
Gabriel Neve...
M
9
Guido Carril...
F
24
Tomás Palaci...
D
10
Tiago Palaci...
M
11
Facundo Farí...
M
20
Eric Meza
D
13
Gastón Bened...
D
17
Joaquín Tobi...
F
16
Fernando Mus...
G
14
Leandro Gonz...
D
COACH: Alexander Medina
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PLA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Ramirez
PLA MANAGER
Walter Zunino
head coach
EST MANAGER
Alexander Medina
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PLA WINS
3
DRAWS
3
EST WINS
25%
37.5%
37.5%
8 10
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
PLATENSE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L W
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
PLATENSE #12
Lost · already at 16 pts
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #1
Won · already at 31 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W W L W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D W W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W W L W L
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
W W L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
W W D W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D W W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W L D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Joaquín Tobio Burgos
    10th Substitution
  • 81'
    Card · Mikel Amondarain
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 78'
    Goal · 0-2 · Lucas Alario
    2nd Goal
  • 74'
    Subst · Fabricio Pérez
    6th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Tiago Palacios
    5th Substitution
  • 70'
    Goal · 0-1 · Alexis Castro
    1st Goal
  • 59'
    Subst · Mikel Amondarain
    1st Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Gabriel Neves
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 8'
    Var · Edwuin Cetré
    Goal disallowed
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PLATENSE WIN
3.20
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.32
DRAW
2.72
36.8% implied
↑ best 2.85
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
2.57
38.9% implied
↑ best 2.70

Market favors Estudiantes L.P.. AI projects ESTUDIANTES L.P. 35%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ESTUDIANTES L.P. 35% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.15 2.72 2.58 +0.3%
1xBet 3.26 2.70 2.56 +1.3%
Bet365 3.10 2.80 2.70 -0.3%
Betano 3.30 2.72 2.62 +1.7%
Betfair 3.25 2.63 2.60 +1.2%
BetVictor 3.13 2.80 2.60 +0.1%
Dafabet 3.20 2.70 2.55 +0.8%
Marathonbet 3.24 2.70 2.54 +1.1%
Pinnacle 3.32 2.73 2.62 +1.9%
SBO 2.95 2.67 2.52 -1.9%
Unibet 3.25 2.85 2.48 +1.2%
William Hill 3.20 2.62 2.50 +0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.67 U 2.16
2.5 O 3.09 U 1.35
3.5 O 6.62 U 1.09
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.31 9 bks
NO
1.55 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.45
Away -0.5 1.34
Away -0.75 1.20
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.05
Away -1.5 1.04
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.