GOALSENSE
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Thai Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 30 · SUN, 10 MAY · 11:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
SUKHOTHAI FC
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME
MUANGTHONG UNITED
⚽ 35' Romeu ⚽ 57' J. Baggio ⚽ 66' Romeu
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SUK
1 – 1
MUA
most likely scoreline · 14.2% probability
AI PICKS SUKHOTHAI FC TO WIN 42%
FT 3 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SUK WIN 42%
DRAW 28%
MUA WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 70% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 70% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched mid-table sides; slight home edge from form split (LWWWW at home vs DLDLL away) offset by away team's superior league position.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SUKHOTHAI FC FAVORED
42%
Sukhothai strong home form (LWWWW last 5) vs Muangthong weak away form (DLDLL) — home edge ~5–7%
+25.0%
League position nearly identical (14th vs 13th, 25 vs 26 pts) with poor goal differentials both sides
+20.0%
SportMonks model (39% home, 35% away, 26% draw) close to bookmaker consensus; BTTS at 58–60% reasonable given both teams' offensive capability
+15.0%
WHY MUANGTHONG UNITED CHALLENGED
30%
Sukhothai strong home form (LWWWW last 5) vs Muangthong weak away form (DLDLL) — home edge ~5–7%
+25.0%
League position nearly identical (14th vs 13th, 25 vs 26 pts) with poor goal differentials both sides
+20.0%
SportMonks model (39% home, 35% away, 26% draw) close to bookmaker consensus; BTTS at 58–60% reasonable given both teams' offensive capability
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Sukhothai strong home form (LWWWW last 5) vs Muangthong weak away form (DLDLL) — home edge ~5–7%
  • League position nearly identical (14th vs 13th, 25 vs 26 pts) with poor goal differentials both sides
  • SportMonks model (39% home, 35% away, 26% draw) close to bookmaker consensus; BTTS at 58–60% reasonable given both teams' offensive capability
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 35' ROMEU ⚽ 57' J. BAGGIO ⚽ 66' ROMEU
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.9
6.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
·
1
14.2
13.5
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.5
7.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.2%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.9%
2 — 0 7.5%
Top 5 = 61.6% · rest 38.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.54
42.0%
2.38
+6.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.48
70.0%
1.43
+3.3%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.34
28.0%
3.57
-6.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.54
60.0%
1.67
-7.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.67
54.0%
1.85
-9.8%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
72.0%
1.39
-10.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.44
58.0%
1.72
-16.5%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.42
30.0%
3.33
-27.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.