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Thai Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 30 · SUN, 10 MAY · 11:00 LOCAL
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CHONBURI FC
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
NAKHON RATCHASIMA FC
⚽ 90+2' Yotsakon Burapha ⚽ 90+4' Jorge Fellipe
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CHO
1 – 0
NAK
most likely scoreline · 17.2% probability
AI PICKS CHONBURI FC TO WIN 58%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
CHO WIN 58%
DRAW 22%
NAK WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 80% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 80% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Chonburi favoured at home but recent form mixed; Nakhon's away record dire but lean towards 1-0 home win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CHONBURI FC FAVORED
58%
Chonburi 8th vs Nakhon 15th (12-pt gap); Nakhon 0-5 away this season — dramatic form split
+25.0%
Home form DDDDW (1W in 5) softens Chonburi edge; Nakhon's road woes dominate outcome
+20.0%
Bookmaker home win at 51.3% slightly undervalues home advantage given away-form collapse
+15.0%
WHY NAKHON RATCHASIMA FC CHALLENGED
20%
Chonburi 8th vs Nakhon 15th (12-pt gap); Nakhon 0-5 away this season — dramatic form split
+25.0%
Home form DDDDW (1W in 5) softens Chonburi edge; Nakhon's road woes dominate outcome
+20.0%
Bookmaker home win at 51.3% slightly undervalues home advantage given away-form collapse
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Chonburi 8th vs Nakhon 15th (12-pt gap); Nakhon 0-5 away this season — dramatic form split
  • Home form DDDDW (1W in 5) softens Chonburi edge; Nakhon's road woes dominate outcome
  • Bookmaker home win at 51.3% slightly undervalues home advantage given away-form collapse
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 92' YOTSAKON B ⚽ 94' JORGE FELL
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.2
4.2
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.2
12.9
4.8
1.2
0.2
·
·
2
9.9
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.8
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.2%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 12.9%
0 — 1 11.2%
2 — 0 9.9%
Top 5 = 66.2% · rest 33.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.89
58.0%
1.72
+9.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
80.0%
1.25
-0.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
78.0%
1.28
-5.5%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.61
56.0%
1.79
-9.8%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.57
22.0%
4.55
-21.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.80
42.0%
2.38
-24.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.55
48.0%
2.08
-25.7%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.34
20.0%
5.00
-33.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.