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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CHARLOTTE 48%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 21 · SAT, 22 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
CHARLOTTE
5TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L W D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
DC UNITED
L D D W D
· 11TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 64' David Schnegg ⚽ 66' W. Cleary ⚽ 77' P. Biel
GOALS
⚽ 55' Louis Munteanu
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Keisuke Kurokawa
    DC
  2. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Silvan Hefti
    DC
  3. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Louis Munteanu · assist João Peglow
    DC
  4. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    David Schnegg
    CHA
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. de la Torre · assist B. Bronico
    CHA
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Aloko · assist Liel Abada
    CHA
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Westwood · assist Djibril Diani
    CHA
  8. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    W. Cleary · assist P. Biel
    CHA
  9. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    João Peglow
    DC
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Idan Toklomati Jorno · assist Archie Goodwin
    CHA
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kimito Nono · assist Hosei Kijima
    DC
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jackson Hopkins · assist Nathan Ordaz
    DC
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brandon Servania · assist Nikola Markovic
    DC
  14. 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. Biel · assist Liel Abada
    CHA
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    A. Saint-Maximin · assist Tyger Smalls
    CHA
  16. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tyger Smalls
    CHA
  17. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    João Peglow · assist Jared Stroud
    DC
  18. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    P. Biel
    CHA
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups were not recorded for this fixture.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
CHA WINS
2
DRAWS
1
DC WINS
70%
20%
10%
18 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Oct 2025
DC United
0 – 1
Charlotte
W
16 Jul 2025
Charlotte
2 – 1
DC United
W
20 Oct 2024
DC United
0 – 3
Charlotte
W
15 Jun 2024
Charlotte
1 – 0
DC United
W
16 Sep 2023
Charlotte
0 – 0
DC United
D
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W D
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
CHARLOTTE #5
Won · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
DC UNITED #11
Lost · already at 24 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 20 10 3 7 +7 33
W L L D W
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 20 7 5 8 +5 26
L L D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · P. Biel
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · João Peglow
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tyger Smalls
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · A. Saint-Maximin
  • 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. Biel
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brandon Servania
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jackson Hopkins
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kimito Nono
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Idan Toklomati Jorno
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · João Peglow
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · W. Cleary
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Westwood
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Aloko
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. de la Torre
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · David Schnegg
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Louis Munteanu
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Silvan Hefti
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Keisuke Kurokawa
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLOTTE WIN
1.76
56.8% implied
↑ best 1.83
DRAW
3.86
25.9% implied
↑ best 4.00
DC UNITED WIN
4.32
23.1% implied
↑ best 4.75

Market favors Charlotte. AI projects CHARLOTTE 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLOTTE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
Bet365 1.73 3.90 4.75 +2.9%
Betano 1.83 3.95 4.45 +2.7%
Betfair 1.75 4.00 4.20 +3.0%
BetVictor 1.70 3.90 4.40 +2.4%
Dafabet 1.80 3.90 4.40 +2.4%
Marathonbet 1.72 3.88 4.30 +2.2%
Pinnacle 1.77 4.00 4.53 +3.0%
SBO 1.75 3.55 3.91 -0.2%
Superbet 1.78 3.85 4.30 +2.0%
Unibet 1.77 3.85 4.10 +2.0%
William Hill 1.73 3.70 4.20 +1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.50
2.5 O 1.63 U 2.25
3.5 O 2.57 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 8 bks
NO
2.23 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.45
Away -0.5 2.06
Away -0.75 1.86
Away -1 1.61
Away -1.25 1.47
Away -1.5 1.38
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.