GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · VANCOUVER WHITECAPS 62% · Value: Over 2.5 64%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · THU, 20 AUG · 02:30 LOCAL
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS
2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D L W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
HOUSTON DYNAMO
W W W W D
· 1ST · 38 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 34' Franco Negri
Mathías Laborda
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mathías Laborda
Vancouver Whitecaps · 94 mins
· 79% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.13
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.41
63%
BALL POSSESSION %
37%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
8
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
7
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andrés Cubas
    VAN
  2. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Franco Negri
    HOU
  3. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustin Resch
    HOU
  4. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustín Bouzat
    HOU
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · assist Thomas Müller
    VAN
  6. 64'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Rayan Elloumi
    VAN
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Guilherme · assist Duncan McGuire
    HOU
  8. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Emmanuel Sabbi · assist Bruno Quiñonez
    VAN
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Andrés Cubas · assist Ralph Priso
    VAN
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Franco Negri · assist Marcelo Saracchi
    HOU
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Héctor Herrera · assist Diadié Samassékou
    HOU
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lawrence Ennali · assist Duane Holmes
    HOU
  13. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tate Johnson · assist Sam Adekugbe
    VAN
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Édier Ocampo · assist Nikola Djordjevic
    VAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS AVG 7.4
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
0.4
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
1.0
ON TARGET
4.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
37.0%
569.0
PASSES
350.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS 1 shots
Mathías Laborda
0/1
HOUSTON DYNAMO 2 shots
Franco Negri
2/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.13 – 0.41
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 34' H 1.13 A 0.41 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
YOHEI TAK
28
TATE JOHN
 7.3
33
TRISTAN B
 8.2
2
MATHíAS L
18
ÉDIER OCA
20
ANDRéS CU
8
OLIVER LA
7
CHEICK TI
 7.3
25
RYAN GAUL
11
EMMANUEL
19
RAYAN ELL
 7.0
31
JONATHAN
 7.6
21
FRANCO NE
 7.5
5
LUCAS HAL
34
AGUSTIN R
11
LAWRENCE
16
HéCTOR HE
 7.5
6
ARTUR
20
GUILHERME
30
AGUSTíN B
8
JACK MCGL
19
MATEUSZ B
SUBSTITUTES · VANCOUVER WHITECAPS
26
Jean-Claude...
M
29
Mihail Ghera...
D
32
Isaac Boehme...
G
41
Nikola Djord...
D
3
Sam Adekugbe
D
6
Ralph Priso
M
14
Bruno Quiñon...
F
13
Thomas Mülle...
F
97
Liam MacKenz...
M
COACH: Jesper Sorensen
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
9
Ondrej Lingr
M
28
Erik Sviatch...
D
3
Antônio Carl...
D
26
Blake Gillin...
G
14
Duane Holmes
M
18
Diadié Samas...
M
4
Marcelo Sara...
D
23
Duncan McGui...
F
24
Ibrahim Aliy...
F
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica
—
VAN MANAGER
Jesper Sorensen
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
VAN WINS
4
DRAWS
3
HOU WINS
30%
40%
30%
18 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
17 May 2026
Houston Dynamo
1 – 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
L
18 Aug 2025
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 – 1
Houston Dynamo
D
17 Jul 2025
Houston Dynamo
0 – 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
W
19 Sep 2024
Houston Dynamo
1 – 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
D
21 Jul 2024
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 – 4
Houston Dynamo
L
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D L W
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
VANCOUVER WHITECAPS #2
Lost · already at 37 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
HOUSTON DYNAMO #1
Won · already at 38 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Houston Dynamo 20 12 2 6 +5 38
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 20 14 4 2 +25 46
W W D L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 19 11 4 4 +22 37
L W D D L
2 Inter Miami 20 11 6 3 +10 39
D L D W W
3 Los Angeles FC 21 10 4 7 +14 34
L L D W W
3 Chicago Fire 19 11 2 6 +11 35
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 20 10 3 7 +7 33
W L L D W
4 San Jose Earthquakes 20 10 3 7 +10 33
L L L D L
5 FC Dallas 20 9 6 5 +9 33
W W D L D
5 FC Cincinnati 20 8 6 6 +2 30
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 20 8 6 6 +2 30
D W D W W
6 Charlotte 20 8 5 7 +4 29
D W L W D
7 Colorado Rapids 20 9 1 10 +5 28
W W W L W
7 New York City FC 20 7 5 8 +5 26
L L D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 20 7 4 9 -12 25
L L W L L
8 Real Salt Lake 19 8 4 7 +3 28
L D D L L
9 Portland Timbers 20 8 3 9 +1 27
W L W W D
9 DC United 20 5 9 6 -6 24
L D D W D
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 21 6 7 8 -5 25
W L D D L
10 Orlando City SC 20 6 3 11 -18 21
L D L W W
11 Minnesota United FC 20 6 7 7 -6 25
L D D D L
11 Toronto FC 20 4 9 7 -7 21
D W D L D
12 Columbus Crew 20 5 5 10 -5 20
L L D W L
12 Seattle Sounders 19 7 3 9 -5 24
L L L L L
13 San Diego 20 6 6 8 +2 24
L W D W L
13 Philadelphia Union 20 5 5 10 -7 20
D W W W W
14 Austin 20 5 5 10 -14 20
W L L L W
14 CF Montreal 20 5 5 10 -10 20
W D D L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Édier Ocampo
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tate Johnson
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lawrence Ennali
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Héctor Herrera
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Franco Negri
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Andrés Cubas
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Emmanuel Sabbi
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Guilherme
  • 64'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Rayan Elloumi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustín Bouzat
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustin Resch
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Franco Negri
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · Andrés Cubas
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
VANCOUVER WHITEC WIN
1.54
64.9% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.25
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.50
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
5.56
18% implied
↑ best 5.80

Market favors Vancouver Whitecaps. AI projects VANCOUVER WHITECAPS 62% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VANCOUVER WHITECAPS 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.54 4.20 5.60 -1.8%
888Sport 1.50 4.20 5.00 -1.8%
Bet365 1.57 4.10 5.75 -1.4%
Betano 1.60 4.45 5.80 -0.5%
Betfair 1.50 4.33 5.50 -1.1%
BetVictor 1.53 4.20 5.75 -1.4%
Dafabet 1.56 4.50 5.80 -0.2%
Marathonbet 1.52 4.20 5.70 -1.5%
Pinnacle 1.57 4.48 5.64 -0.3%
SBO 1.50 4.17 5.61 -1.8%
Superbet 1.55 4.40 5.50 -0.7%
Unibet 1.58 3.85 5.60 -1.3%
William Hill 1.50 4.20 5.00 -1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.44
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.21
3.5 O 2.60 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.71 10 bks
NO
2.04 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.02
Away -0.5 2.44
Away -0.75 2.20
Away -1 1.91
Away -1.25 1.67
Away -1.5 1.53
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.