GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · LOS ANGELES GALAXY 38% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · THU, 20 AUG · 02:30 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
12TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D D L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
L L L D L
· 4TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 79' J. Paintsil
GOALS
Jakob Glesnes
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jakob Glesnes
Los Angeles Galaxy · 87 mins
· 26% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
LA Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes | Full Match Highlights | 10-MAN TEST!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.37
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.35
37%
BALL POSSESSION %
63%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
21
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
2
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 24'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Harbor Miller
    LOS
  2. 29'
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. Fernandez
    SAN
  3. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Sanabria
    LOS
  4. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Sanabria
    LOS
  5. 45'
    Card · Red Card
    Lucas Sanabria
    LOS
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Tsakiris · assist T. Werner
    SAN
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jack Skahan · assist O. Bouda
    SAN
  8. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dave Romney
    SAN
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    N. Fernandez · assist Beau Leroux
    SAN
  10. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luka Jovanovic · assist Preston Judd
    SAN
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    H. Lozano · assist Robert Taylor
    LOS
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    P. Marie · assist Vitor Costa
    SAN
  13. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Paintsil · assist Harbor Miller
    LOS
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Paintsil · assist Troy Elgersma
    LOS
  15. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jack Jasinski
    SAN
  16. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kyogo Furuhashi · assist J. Nelson
    LOS
  17. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Justin Haak
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.6
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
2.4
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
21.0
7.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
0.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
37.0%
POSSESSION %
63.0%
323.0
PASSES
538.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
5.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
17.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 5 shots
J. Paintsil
4/4
H. Lozano
1/1
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 5 shots
Max Floriani
0/2
I. Harkes
0/2
P. Marie
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.37 – 2.35
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 79' H 1.37 A 2.35 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.2
12
J. MARCIN
3
J. AUDE
4
M. YOSHID
 8.2
5
JAKOB GLE
 7.6
26
HARBOR MI
15
JUSTIN HA
8
LUCAS SAN
 7.2
11
H. LOZANO
18
MARCO REU
 7.9
28
J. PAINTS
7
KYOGO FUR
 7.2
1
ANGUS GUN
2
J. RICKET
4
DAVE ROMN
 7.2
25
MAX FLORI
17
JACK JASI
 6.7
20
N. FERNAN
 6.9
6
I. HARKES
 7.3
3
P. MARIE
10
N. TSAKIR
16
JACK SKAH
9
LUKA JOVA
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
24
R. Ramos
F
16
I. Parente
M
76
Troy Elgersm...
M
27
E. Thommy
M
14
J. Nelson
D
20
Chris Rindov
D
1
N. Micovic
G
21
Robert Taylo...
M
COACH: Greg Vanney
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
7
O. Bouda
F
11
T. Werner
F
34
Beau Leroux
M
87
Vitor Costa
D
40
J. A. Gonzal...
M
28
B. Kikanovic
F
5
Daniel Munie
D
31
Francesco Mo...
G
19
Preston Judd
F
COACH: Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ramy Touchan, USA
—
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
LOS WINS
2
DRAWS
1
SAN WINS
70%
20%
10%
23 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Jul 2026
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
29 Jun 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
29 May 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
30 Jun 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
0 – 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
22 Apr 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
4 – 3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D D L
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #12
Won · already at 26 pts
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #4
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Justin Haak
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kyogo Furuhashi
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jack Jasinski
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Paintsil
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Paintsil
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · P. Marie
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · H. Lozano
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luka Jovanovic
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · N. Fernandez
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dave Romney
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jack Skahan
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Tsakiris
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'
    Card · Red Card · Lucas Sanabria
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Sanabria
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Sanabria
  • 29'
    Card · Yellow Card · N. Fernandez
  • 24'
    Card · Yellow Card · Harbor Miller
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
2.16
46.3% implied
↑ best 2.22
DRAW
3.88
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.06
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
2.92
34.2% implied
↑ best 3.10

Market favors Los Angeles Galaxy. AI projects LOS ANGELES GALAXY 38% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOS ANGELES GALAXY 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.18 4.00 2.78 +3.0%
888Sport 2.15 3.70 2.80 +1.0%
Bet365 2.15 3.90 3.10 +2.4%
Betano 2.12 4.00 3.05 +3.0%
Betfair 2.15 3.90 2.88 +2.4%
BetVictor 2.10 3.90 3.00 +2.4%
Dafabet 2.22 3.95 2.95 +2.7%
Marathonbet 2.13 3.88 2.90 +2.2%
Pinnacle 2.19 4.06 3.03 +3.4%
SBO 2.12 3.74 2.85 +1.3%
Superbet 2.20 3.90 2.95 +2.4%
Unibet 2.18 3.80 2.85 +1.7%
William Hill 2.15 3.70 2.80 +1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.29
2.5 O 1.40 U 2.88
3.5 O 2.01 U 1.78
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.36 10 bks
NO
2.94 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.93
Away -0.5 1.69
Away -0.75 1.54
Away -1 1.37
Away -1.25 1.31
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.