GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · THU, 20 AUG · 00:00 LOCAL
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SPORTING KANSAS CITY
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
ST. LOUIS CITY
⚽ 55' Calvin Harris
GOALS
⚽ 45+2' Eduard Löwen
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SPO
1 – 2
ST.
most likely scoreline · 10.5% probability
AI PICKS ST. LOUIS CITY TO WIN 44%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SPO WIN 32%
DRAW 24%
ST. WIN 44%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.56% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

St. Louis City's league position, form, and H2H edge outweigh home advantage; expect away win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SPORTING KANSAS CITY CHALLENGED
32%
St. Louis 9 pts clear, 6th vs 15th; 27 GF vs 18 GF, 25 GA vs 48 GA — massive quality gap
+25.0%
SKC home form weak (LWLWD); STL away form strong (WWDWL) — split favours visitors
+20.0%
H2H: STL won 3 of last 5 (including 3-2, 3-1 away); SKC won only once (2-0 at home)
+15.0%
WHY ST. LOUIS CITY FAVORED
44%
St. Louis City's league position, form, and H2H edge outweigh home advantage; expect away win.
+30.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • St. Louis 9 pts clear, 6th vs 15th; 27 GF vs 18 GF, 25 GA vs 48 GA — massive quality gap
  • SKC home form weak (LWLWD); STL away form strong (WWDWL) — split favours visitors
  • H2H: STL won 3 of last 5 (including 3-2, 3-1 away); SKC won only once (2-0 at home)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 47' EDUARD Lö ⚽ 55' CALVIN HAR
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.2
10.5
7.2
3.7
1.5
0.5
1
4.7
9.7
9.9
6.8
3.5
1.4
0.5
2
2.3
4.6
4.7
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.5%
0 — 1 10.2%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.7%
0 — 3 7.2%
Top 5 = 47.5% · rest 52.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.77
32.0%
3.13
+20.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.92
56.0%
1.79
+7.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.50
68.0%
1.47
+1.7%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
62.0%
1.61
-4.9%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.91
24.0%
4.17
-6.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.22
76.0%
1.32
-7.1%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
68.0%
1.47
-15.0%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
44.0%
2.27
-19.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.