GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–3 · NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 98% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 92 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
DC UNITED
9TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W D D
FT
0 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
L L D W D
· 4TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 23' Alhassan Yusuf ⚽ 45' Alhassan Yusuf ⚽ 66' Alhassan Yusuf
Alhassan Yusuf
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alhassan Yusuf
New England Revolution · 77 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 47% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.48
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.63
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
15
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
91%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 13'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brooklyn Raines
    NEW
  2. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alhassan Yusuf · assist Peyton Miller
    NEW
  3. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andre Dozzell
    DC
  4. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matt Polster
    NEW
  5. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alhassan Yusuf · assist Jack Harrison
    NEW
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sean Nealis · assist Brandon Servania
    DC
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jackson Hopkins · assist Nathan Ordaz
    DC
  8. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alhassan Yusuf · assist Jack Harrison
    NEW
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Louis Munteanu · assist Hosei Kijima
    DC
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kimito Nono · assist Nikola Markovic
    DC
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dor Turgeman · assist Wilson Harris
    NEW
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Matt Polster · assist Cody Baker
    NEW
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jack Harrison · assist Marcos Zambrano
    NEW
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Carles Gil · assist Judah Siqueira
    NEW
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Peyton Miller · assist Griffin Yow
    NEW
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Andre Dozzell · assist Jared Stroud
    DC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DC UNITED AVG 7.0
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION AVG 8.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
2.6
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
2.0
ON TARGET
7.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
311.0
PASSES
470.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
91.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DC UNITED 2 shots
Louis Munteanu
0/2
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 4 shots
Alhassan Yusuf
3/4
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.48 – 2.63
2.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 23' 45' 66' H 1.48 A 2.63 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
6.9
1
SEAN JOHN
6
KEISUKE K
13
SEAN NEAL
3
LUCAS BAR
5
SILVAN HE
 7.2
25
JACKSON H
21
ANDRE DOZ
 7.3
4
MATTI PEL
2
KIMITO NO
 6.7
11
LOUIS MUN
9
TAI BARIB
 7.5
30
MATT TURN
23
WILLIAM S
 7.7
2
MAMADOU F
 7.2
22
ETHAN KOH
8
MATT POLS
 9.9
80
ALHASSAN
21
BROOKLYN
10
CARLES GI
25
PEYTON MI
99
DOR TURGE
 8.3
11
JACK HARR
SUBSTITUTES · DC UNITED
32
Oscar Avilez
F
8
Jared Stroud
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
23
Brandon Serv...
M
27
Nikola Marko...
D
26
Alex Bono
G
22
Nathan Ordaz
F
COACH: Rene Weiler
SUBSTITUTES · NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
17
Marcos Zambr...
F
77
Diego Fagúnd...
M
14
Jackson Yuei...
M
7
Griffin Yow
F
65
Judah Siquei...
F
15
Cody Baker
D
4
Tanner Beaso...
D
33
Donovan Pari...
G
27
Wilson Harri...
F
COACH: Marko Mitrovic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ricardo Fierro, USA
—
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Marko Mitrovic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
DC WINS
1
DRAWS
6
NEW WINS
30%
10%
60%
12 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 Apr 2026
New England Revolution
1 – 0
DC United
L
09 Aug 2025
New England Revolution
2 – 0
DC United
L
28 May 2025
DC United
1 – 1
New England Revolution
D
05 Oct 2024
New England Revolution
1 – 2
DC United
W
25 Feb 2024
DC United
3 – 1
New England Revolution
W
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W D D
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–3 · result locked
DC UNITED #9
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION #4
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Houston Dynamo 20 12 2 6 +5 38
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 20 14 4 2 +25 46
W W D L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 19 11 4 4 +22 37
L W D D L
2 Inter Miami 20 11 6 3 +10 39
D L D W W
3 Los Angeles FC 21 10 4 7 +14 34
L L D W W
3 Chicago Fire 19 11 2 6 +11 35
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 20 10 3 7 +7 33
W L L D W
4 San Jose Earthquakes 20 10 3 7 +10 33
L L L D L
5 FC Dallas 20 9 6 5 +9 33
W W D L D
5 FC Cincinnati 20 8 6 6 +2 30
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 20 8 6 6 +2 30
D W D W W
6 Charlotte 20 8 5 7 +4 29
D W L W D
7 Colorado Rapids 20 9 1 10 +5 28
W W W L W
7 New York City FC 20 7 5 8 +5 26
L L D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 20 7 4 9 -12 25
L L W L L
8 Real Salt Lake 19 8 4 7 +3 28
L D D L L
9 Portland Timbers 20 8 3 9 +1 27
W L W W D
9 DC United 20 5 9 6 -6 24
L D D W D
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 21 6 7 8 -5 25
W L D D L
10 Orlando City SC 20 6 3 11 -18 21
L D L W W
11 Minnesota United FC 20 6 7 7 -6 25
L D D D L
11 Toronto FC 20 4 9 7 -7 21
D W D L D
12 Columbus Crew 20 5 5 10 -5 20
L L D W L
12 Seattle Sounders 19 7 3 9 -5 24
L L L L L
13 San Diego 20 6 6 8 +2 24
L W D W L
13 Philadelphia Union 20 5 5 10 -7 20
D W W W W
14 Austin 20 5 5 10 -14 20
W L L L W
14 CF Montreal 20 5 5 10 -10 20
W D D L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Andre Dozzell
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Peyton Miller
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Carles Gil
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jack Harrison
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Matt Polster
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dor Turgeman
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kimito Nono
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Louis Munteanu
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alhassan Yusuf
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jackson Hopkins
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sean Nealis
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alhassan Yusuf
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matt Polster
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · Andre Dozzell
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alhassan Yusuf
  • 13'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brooklyn Raines
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
DC UNITED WIN
2.54
39.4% implied
↑ best 2.63
DRAW
3.51
28.5% implied
↑ best 3.60
NEW ENGLAND REVO WIN
2.60
38.5% implied
↑ best 2.66

Market favors DC United. AI projects NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 98% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 98% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.50 3.60 2.56 +58.9%
888Sport 2.45 3.50 2.50 +58.0%
Bet365 2.60 3.50 2.60 +59.5%
Betano 2.60 3.45 2.65 +60.3%
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.63 +60.0%
BetVictor 2.55 3.50 2.55 +58.8%
Dafabet 2.60 3.55 2.65 +60.3%
Marathonbet 2.54 3.45 2.57 +59.1%
Pinnacle 2.63 3.60 2.66 +60.4%
Superbet 2.60 3.50 2.65 +60.3%
Unibet 2.40 3.50 2.65 +60.3%
William Hill 2.45 3.50 2.50 +58.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.19
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.09
3.5 O 2.76 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.26 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.65
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.36
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.