GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · DRAW 48% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
PHILADELPHIA UNION
13TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W L
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
INTER MIAMI
L D W W W
· 2ND · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' Indiana Vassilev ⚽ 58' Neil Pierre
GOALS
⚽ 21' Daniel Pinter ⚽ 26' Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami · Captain · 91 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 21% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.57
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.48
42%
BALL POSSESSION %
58%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
5
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Indiana Vassilev · assist Frankie Westfield
    PHI
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Pinter · assist Luis Suárez
    INT
  3. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lionel Messi · assist Ian Fray
    INT
  4. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kai Wagner
    PHI
  5. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sergio Reguilón
    INT
  6. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ian Fray
    INT
  7. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Neil Pierre · assist Milan Iloski
    PHI
  8. 62'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Milan Iloski
    PHI
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Indiana Vassilev · assist Quinn Sullivan
    PHI
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sergio Reguilón · assist Noah Allen
    INT
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Telasco Segovia · assist David Ayala
    INT
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Bruno Damiani · assist Ezekiel Alladoh
    PHI
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jesus Bueno · assist Alejandro Bedoya
    PHI
  14. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Milan Iloski
    PHI
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ezekiel Alladoh
    PHI
  16. 90'+9
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daniel Pinter · assist David Ruíz
    INT
  17. 90'+13
    Card · Yellow Card
    Quinn Sullivan
    PHI
  18. 90'+13
    Card · Red Card
    Cavan Sullivan
    PHI
  19. 90'+13
    Card · Red Card
    Yannick Bright
    INT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PHILADELPHIA UNION AVG 7.5
INTER MIAMI AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.6
xG
1.5
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
6.0
ON TARGET
3.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
42.0%
POSSESSION %
58.0%
278.0
PASSES
408.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PHILADELPHIA UNION 7 shots
Milan Iloski
1/2
Indiana Vassilev
1/2
Neil Pierre
2/2
Bruno Damiani
1/1
INTER MIAMI 3 shots
Daniel Pinter
2/2
Lionel Messi
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.57 – 1.48
2.1 1.5 1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 11' 58' 21' 26' H 2.57 A 1.48 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
18
ANDRE BLA
27
KAI WAGNE
26
NATHAN HA
 7.3
44
NEIL PIER
 7.5
39
FRANKIE W
 7.6
19
INDIANA V
8
JESUS BUE
21
DANLEY JE
6
CAVAN SUL
 7.7
10
MILAN ILO
 7.5
9
BRUNO DAM
 7.7
97
DAYNE ST.
3
SERGIO RE
37
MAXIMILIA
2
GONZALO L
17
IAN FRAY
8
TELASCO S
 8.0
5
CASEMIRO
42
YANNICK B
 6.9
56
DANIEL PI
9
LUIS SUáR
 9.0
10
LIONEL ME
SUBSTITUTES · PHILADELPHIA UNION
51
Malik Jakupo...
F
14
Jeremy Rafan...
M
16
Ben Bender
M
33
Quinn Sulliv...
M
28
Agustin Anel...
F
11
Alejandro Be...
M
5
Japhet Sery...
D
76
Andrew Rick
G
23
Ezekiel Alla...
F
COACH: Ryan Richter
SUBSTITUTES · INTER MIAMI
22
David Ayala
M
41
David Ruíz
M
59
Preston Plam...
M
88
Alexander Sh...
M
4
Facundo Mura
D
32
Noah Allen
D
15
Fricio Caice...
D
34
Rocco Ríos N...
G
54
Lovens Delin...
F
COACH: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Filip Dujic, Canada
—
PHI MANAGER
Ryan Richter
head coach
INT MANAGER
Guillermo Hoyos Angel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PHI WINS
2
DRAWS
6
INT WINS
20%
20%
60%
17 – 24
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
4.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
24 May 2026
Inter Miami
6 – 4
Philadelphia Union
L
24 May 2025
Philadelphia Union
3 – 3
Inter Miami
D
29 Mar 2025
Inter Miami
2 – 1
Philadelphia Union
L
14 Sep 2024
Inter Miami
3 – 1
Philadelphia Union
L
15 Jun 2024
Philadelphia Union
1 – 2
Inter Miami
L
PHILADELPHIA UNION LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
INTER MIAMI LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
PHILADELPHIA UNION #13
Lost · already at 20 pts
INTER MIAMI #2
Lost · already at 39 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Houston Dynamo 20 12 2 6 +5 38
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 20 14 4 2 +25 46
W W D L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 19 11 4 4 +22 37
L W D D L
2 Inter Miami 20 11 6 3 +10 39
D L D W W
3 Los Angeles FC 21 10 4 7 +14 34
L L D W W
3 Chicago Fire 19 11 2 6 +11 35
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 20 10 3 7 +7 33
W L L D W
4 San Jose Earthquakes 20 10 3 7 +10 33
L L L D L
5 FC Dallas 20 9 6 5 +9 33
W W D L D
5 FC Cincinnati 20 8 6 6 +2 30
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 20 8 6 6 +2 30
D W D W W
6 Charlotte 20 8 5 7 +4 29
D W L W D
7 Colorado Rapids 20 9 1 10 +5 28
W W W L W
7 New York City FC 20 7 5 8 +5 26
L L D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 20 7 4 9 -12 25
L L W L L
8 Real Salt Lake 19 8 4 7 +3 28
L D D L L
9 Portland Timbers 20 8 3 9 +1 27
W L W W D
9 DC United 20 5 9 6 -6 24
L D D W D
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 21 6 7 8 -5 25
W L D D L
10 Orlando City SC 20 6 3 11 -18 21
L D L W W
11 Minnesota United FC 20 6 7 7 -6 25
L D D D L
11 Toronto FC 20 4 9 7 -7 21
D W D L D
12 Columbus Crew 20 5 5 10 -5 20
L L D W L
12 Seattle Sounders 19 7 3 9 -5 24
L L L L L
13 San Diego 20 6 6 8 +2 24
L W D W L
13 Philadelphia Union 20 5 5 10 -7 20
D W W W W
14 Austin 20 5 5 10 -14 20
W L L L W
14 CF Montreal 20 5 5 10 -10 20
W D D L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+13
    Card · Red Card · Yannick Bright
  • 90'+13
    Card · Red Card · Cavan Sullivan
  • 90'+13
    Card · Yellow Card · Quinn Sullivan
  • 90'+9
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daniel Pinter
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Ezekiel Alladoh
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Milan Iloski
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jesus Bueno
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Bruno Damiani
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Telasco Segovia
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sergio Reguilón
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Indiana Vassilev
  • 62'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Milan Iloski
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Neil Pierre
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ian Fray
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sergio Reguilón
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kai Wagner
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lionel Messi
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Pinter
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Indiana Vassilev
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PHILADELPHIA UNI WIN
2.30
43.5% implied
↑ best 2.36
DRAW
4.08
24.5% implied
↑ best 4.35
INTER MIAMI WIN
2.59
38.6% implied
↑ best 2.67

Market favors Philadelphia Union. AI projects DRAW 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 4.10 2.56 +23.6%
888Sport 2.20 4.00 2.50 +23.0%
Bet365 2.35 4.10 2.60 +23.6%
Betano 2.32 4.10 2.67 +23.6%
Betfair 2.30 4.20 2.55 +24.2%
BetVictor 2.25 4.10 2.63 +23.6%
Dafabet 2.36 4.20 2.65 +24.2%
Marathonbet 2.21 4.10 2.67 +23.6%
Pinnacle 2.35 4.35 2.65 +25.0%
SBO 2.30 3.84 2.54 +22.0%
Superbet 2.35 4.00 2.65 +23.0%
Unibet 2.35 3.95 2.55 +22.7%
William Hill 2.25 4.00 2.50 +23.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 7.19
2.5 O 1.33 U 3.20
3.5 O 1.86 U 1.92
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.33 10 bks
NO
3.13 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.78
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.27
Away -1.5 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.